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Conservative leader Erin O’Toole seeks to dethrone Trudeau

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A month ago the prospect of Canada‘s charismatic Liberal prime minister, Justin Trudeau, losing power to a little-known ex-air force navigator would have been faintly ridiculous.

When Trudeau called the Sept. 20 election, he had a hefty lead in opinion polls. But with less than two weeks to go, public opinion has soured on him to such an extent that Conservative leader Erin O’Toole could end Trudeau’s six years in office.

Trudeau, 49, sought the vote – two years ahead of schedule – to try to capitalize on his management of the pandemic to win a majority in parliament. Since 2019, he has only had a minority, forcing him to depend on other parties to govern.

But he appears to have underestimated the repercussions of calling the election during a worsening fourth wave of COVID-19, and O’Toole never speaks without accusing the prime minister of putting Canadians in harm’s way for personal ambition.

People also seem to be tiring of Trudeau, a factor that helped make the 48-year-old O’Toole a real competitor. Liberals knocking on doors say some voters are unhappy with the early election call and the massive amount of money the government spent combating the pandemic.

“Certainly part of our success is because Trudeau is not doing well,” said one Conservative strategist.

O’Toole has run a disciplined campaign, mostly with virtual events from Ottawa, which he says is a bid to limit the potential spread of COVID-19 at rallies.

His challenge is to expand a base that rarely falls below 30% or rises above 38% in public support, the level needed to win a majority under Canada‘s electoral system. Even the most favorable poll so far put him at around 36%.

O’Toole won the party leadership by courting its influential social-conservative wing, which opposes abortion, gun control and government intervention in the economy.

But now he is promising worker representation on corporate boards and more protection for those in the gig economy, positions that no Conservative leader has taken before. He also supports abortion rights, unlike his predecessor.

“There are people who have never voted Conservative that we need to reach out to,” said one of the party’s top officials.

O’Toole’s relatively few public events outside Ottawa have encountered no hecklers or protesters, unlike Trudeau, who has been dogged by crowds of people loudly opposing vaccination mandates.

O’Toole is not as snappily dressed as Trudeau, who loves to work a crowd and is one of the world’s most prominent Canadians.

But O’Toole is upbeat on the campaign trail, often smiling and joined by his wife and two school-age children. After 12 years in the military, he became a lawyer before entering politics and was veterans affairs minister in 2015 under the previous Conservative government.

“He’s not the flashiest guy on the planet. I’m sure Erin will be the first person to admit that. But what he’s trying to project is competence and stability, focused on the things that matter to people,” said Conservative strategist Garry Keller.

TRUDEAU ‘HAS LIED TO US MANY TIMES’

O’Toole says Trudeau is corrupt and spending far too much money dealing with COVID-19. He promises to balance the budget inside a decade, although he has yet to detail how he will do it.

“Justin Trudeau is making your life less affordable today and expecting your kids and grandkids to pay your debts tomorrow,” O’Toole told a small socially distanced crowd in Vancouver during a campaign rally last week.

Retired lawyer John Richardson, 76, who attended the rally, described O’Toole as “mainstream, and he’s got real solutions,” adding Trudeau “is terrible, he’s not truthful, he’s lied to us many times.”

Previous Conservative leaders often had combative relations with the media, but O’Toole has been more careful, sometimes sidestepping and on occasion simply ignoring questions.

He was also nimble enough to recognize the Afghanistan evacuations https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/their-blood-will-be-your-hands-kabuls-chaos-hits-canadian-pms-campaign-2021-08-26 as a weak point for Trudeau, who called the election the day the Taliban captured Kabul.

The road is now becoming tougher. While he did not make any huge mistakes in a French-language leaders’ debate last week, O’Toole did not land any big blows either. There are two more debates this week.

Trudeau has started to go on the attack, especially on O’Toole’s refusal to embrace vaccine mandates as COVID-19 cases rise.

The race is neck and neck, with a Nanos Research survey of 1,200 people for CTV on Monday putting the Liberals at 34.1% support and the Conservatives at 32%, a reversal from a day earlier, when Liberals trailed the Conservatives by 34.9% to 33.4%.

To help identify new voters, the Conservatives hired Stack Data Strategy, a British analytics firm, to track down those who might be attracted by the new, more centrist policies.

“It may not be everyone in the Conservative base’s cup of tea, but it’s a recognition that in order to broaden the base to be a viable electoral option, Conservatives have to be talking about these things,” said Keller.

The Liberals say O’Toole’s policy switches show he has a hidden agenda to slash spending and allow private firms into Canada‘s publicly funded healthcare system.

Indeed, under heavy pressure from the Liberals, O’Toole on Sunday scrapped a campaign promise to eliminate a ban on some assault weapons.

But O’Toole keeps pressing the message that Trudeau is concerned more about his image than results.

“Now is the time for a prime minister who actually gets something done. It is not about the photograph, Mr. Trudeau,” he told supporters in Nanaimo, British Columbia.

 

(Reporting by David Ljunggren; Editing by Steve Scherer and Peter Cooney)

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‘Disgraceful:’ N.S. Tory leader slams school’s request that military remove uniform

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia Premier Tim Houston says it’s “disgraceful and demeaning” that a Halifax-area school would request that service members not wear military uniforms to its Remembrance Day ceremony.

Houston’s comments were part of a chorus of criticism levelled at the school — Sackville Heights Elementary — whose administration decided to back away from the plan after the outcry.

A November newsletter from the school in Middle Sackville, N.S., invited Armed Forces members to attend its ceremony but asked that all attendees arrive in civilian attire to “maintain a welcoming environment for all.”

Houston, who is currently running for re-election, accused the school’s leaders of “disgracing themselves while demeaning the people who protect our country” in a post on the social media platform X Thursday night.

“If the people behind this decision had a shred of the courage that our veterans have, this cowardly and insulting idea would have been rejected immediately,” Houston’s post read. There were also several calls for resignations within the school’s administration attached to Houston’s post.

In an email to families Thursday night, the school’s principal, Rachael Webster, apologized and welcomed military family members to attend “in the attire that makes them most comfortable.”

“I recognize this request has caused harm and I am deeply sorry,” Webster’s email read, adding later that the school has the “utmost respect for what the uniform represents.”

Webster said the initial request was out of concern for some students who come from countries experiencing conflict and who she said expressed discomfort with images of war, including military uniforms.

Her email said any students who have concerns about seeing Armed Forces members in uniform can be accommodated in a way that makes them feel safe, but she provided no further details in the message.

Webster did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

At a news conference Friday, Houston said he’s glad the initial request was reversed but said he is still concerned.

“I can’t actually fathom how a decision like that was made,” Houston told reporters Friday, adding that he grew up moving between military bases around the country while his father was in the Armed Forces.

“My story of growing up in a military family is not unique in our province. The tradition of service is something so many of us share,” he said.

“Saying ‘lest we forget’ is a solemn promise to the fallen. It’s our commitment to those that continue to serve and our commitment that we will pass on our respects to the next generation.”

Liberal Leader Zach Churchill also said he’s happy with the school’s decision to allow uniformed Armed Forces members to attend the ceremony, but he said he didn’t think it was fair to question the intentions of those behind the original decision.

“We need to have them (uniforms) on display at Remembrance Day,” he said. “Not only are we celebrating (veterans) … we’re also commemorating our dead who gave the greatest sacrifice for our country and for the freedoms we have.”

NDP Leader Claudia Chender said that while Remembrance Day is an important occasion to honour veterans and current service members’ sacrifices, she said she hopes Houston wasn’t taking advantage of the decision to “play politics with this solemn occasion for his own political gain.”

“I hope Tim Houston reached out to the principal of the school before making a public statement,” she said in a statement.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Saskatchewan NDP’s Beck holds first caucus meeting after election, outlines plans

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REGINA – Saskatchewan Opposition NDP Leader Carla Beck says she wants to prove to residents her party is the government in waiting as she heads into the incoming legislative session.

Beck held her first caucus meeting with 27 members, nearly double than what she had before the Oct. 28 election but short of the 31 required to form a majority in the 61-seat legislature.

She says her priorities will be health care and cost-of-living issues.

Beck says people need affordability help right now and will press Premier Scott Moe’s Saskatchewan Party government to cut the gas tax and the provincial sales tax on children’s clothing and some grocery items.

Beck’s NDP is Saskatchewan’s largest Opposition in nearly two decades after sweeping Regina and winning all but one seat in Saskatoon.

The Saskatchewan Party won 34 seats, retaining its hold on all of the rural ridings and smaller cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Nova Scotia election: Liberals say province’s immigration levels are too high

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia‘s growing population was the subject of debate on Day 12 of the provincial election campaign, with Liberal Leader Zach Churchill arguing immigration levels must be reduced until the province can provide enough housing and health-care services.

Churchill said Thursday a plan by the incumbent Progressive Conservatives to double the province’s population to two million people by the year 2060 is unrealistic and unsustainable.

“That’s a big leap and it’s making life harder for people who live here, (including ) young people looking for a place to live and seniors looking to downsize,” he told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

Anticipating that his call for less immigration might provoke protests from the immigrant community, Churchill was careful to note that he is among the third generation of a family that moved to Nova Scotia from Lebanon.

“I know the value of immigration, the importance of it to our province. We have been built on the backs of an immigrant population. But we just need to do it in a responsible way.”

The Liberal leader said Tim Houston’s Tories, who are seeking a second term in office, have made a mistake by exceeding immigration targets set by the province’s Department of Labour and Immigration. Churchill said a Liberal government would abide by the department’s targets.

In the most recent fiscal year, the government welcomed almost 12,000 immigrants through its nominee program, exceeding the department’s limit by more than 4,000, he said. The numbers aren’t huge, but the increase won’t help ease the province’s shortages in housing and doctors, and the increased strain on its infrastructure, including roads, schools and cellphone networks, Churchill said.

“(The Immigration Department) has done the hard work on this,” he said. “They know where the labour gaps are, and they know what growth is sustainable.”

In response, Houston said his commitment to double the population was a “stretch goal.” And he said the province had long struggled with a declining population before that trend was recently reversed.

“The only immigration that can come into this province at this time is if they are a skilled trade worker or a health-care worker,” Houston said. “The population has grown by two per cent a year, actually quite similar growth to what we experienced under the Liberal government before us.”

Still, Houston said he’s heard Nova Scotians’ concerns about population growth, and he then pivoted to criticize Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for trying to send 6,000 asylum seekers to Nova Scotia, an assertion the federal government has denied.

Churchill said Houston’s claim about asylum seekers was shameful.

“It’s smoke and mirrors,” the Liberal leader said. “He is overshooting his own department’s numbers for sustainable population growth and yet he is trying to blame this on asylum seekers … who aren’t even here.”

In September, federal Immigration Minister Marc Miller said there is no plan to send any asylum seekers to the province without compensation or the consent of the premier. He said the 6,000 number was an “aspirational” figure based on models that reflect each province’s population.

In Halifax, NDP Leader Claudia Chender said it’s clear Nova Scotia needs more doctors, nurses and skilled trades people.

“Immigration has been and always will be a part of the Nova Scotia story, but we need to build as we grow,” Chender said. “This is why we have been pushing the Houston government to build more affordable housing.”

Chender was in a Halifax cafe on Thursday when she promised her party would remove the province’s portion of the harmonized sales tax from all grocery, cellphone and internet bills if elected to govern on Nov. 26. The tax would also be removed from the sale and installation of heat pumps.

“Our focus is on helping people to afford their lives,” Chender told reporters. “We know there are certain things that you can’t live without: food, internet and a phone …. So we know this will have the single biggest impact.”

The party estimates the measure would save the average Nova Scotia family about $1,300 a year.

“That’s a lot more than a one or two per cent HST cut,” Chender said, referring to the Progressive Conservative pledge to reduce the tax by one percentage point and the Liberal promise to trim it by two percentage points.

Elsewhere on the campaign trail, Houston announced that a Progressive Conservative government would make parking free at all Nova Scotia hospitals and health-care centres. The promise was also made by the Liberals in their election platform released Monday.

“Free parking may not seem like a big deal to some, but … the parking, especially for people working at the facilities, can add up to hundreds of dollars,” the premier told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

— With files from Keith Doucette in Halifax

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