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Coronavirus brings a reminder of the iron law of politics – Financial Times

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When you think about coronavirus, what is your thought process? Perhaps if you are a policymaker or a global business leader you think about the hit to economic growth. But otherwise the likelihood is that your thoughts are of the risk to you and your family, followed by concentric rings of friends, colleagues and so on. Do we have vulnerable relatives? How will we get to work? Will my job be safe? Should I stockpile?

For now, Boris Johnson’s government is being judged impressionistically on its handling of the crisis in the UK. Voters are giving him the benefit of the doubt. Brits can congratulate themselves on the measured intelligence of Chris Whitty, the chief medical officer, and an evidence-based debate over whether to shut down parts of the economy.

But then the UK is still measuring the outbreak in the hundreds. Ultimately the response will be judged by the population’s direct experience. Were the desperately ill denied respirators or hospital beds? Did the National Health Service care for our mothers? Did shops run out of food? An NHS unable to cope will do Mr Johnson damage, hence the emphasis on slowing the spread.

There is nothing remarkable or wrong in this ingrained behaviour. But it should remind us that this is how most people view politics. The phrase “all politics is local”, most widely associated with Tip O Neill, former Speaker of the US House of Representatives, is perhaps the only real iron law of politics. At one level, MPs understand this well. They know how any issue plays in their seat. Take fuel duties. Globally, MPs see the need for green taxes; locally they know how many voters rely on cars.

Yet one reason for the rise of populist movements is that too many leaders forgot this law. In the UK, as too many of globalisation’s spoils stayed in the affluent south east of England, its cause was championed in abstract concepts, explaining the benefits of free trade or immigration to gross domestic product.

There is no benefit in a sharp-suited politician in London smugly telling voters Britain is booming if it does not feel that way to them; if their experience is cuts to public services and their children moving away to find a job. Economically the globalists had a strong case — good public services require a strong economy — but they convinced themselves they had won the argument in perpetuity and forgot the iron law.

Progressive leaders like Tony Blair and Bill Clinton, and other so-called third way social democrats, had a rising economic tide lifting all boats to manage the tension between globalisation and communities. The 2008 financial crisis changed that. There are few better examples of globalist disconnect than George Osborne’s 2012 decision, while UK chancellor, to cut the top rate of income tax even as he was cutting welfare payments. He can argue that tax revenues rose but this misses the point. Before that decision he was claiming that, “We are all in this together”. Afterwards, voters knew that we weren’t.

The success of nationalist populism — from Mr Trump to Brexit — has been built on a keener appreciation of this iron law. The hard truth for liberal internationalists is that the right has understood this better. The new third way is less about the path between controlled and capitalist economics than the route between localism and globalism.

Mr Johnson’s Brexit advocacy makes him an unconvincing pilot for this course. But the prime minister understands the approach even if we doubt his commitment to it. His aim is to show people that their voices are being heard, that their schools and hospitals will improve. His demand for “levelling up” is a recognition of the need for more equitable redistribution of the rewards of an open economy.

If all politics is local then localism must inform all politics. (This is why Labour leadership contender Lisa Nandy is right to highlight better bus networks and why, in this crisis, ministers are right to pledge help for gig economy workers who need to self-isolate. We are demanding altruistic action from people who experience a weaker contract with society and to whom employers feel little duty).

One can be entirely cynical of Mr Johnson’s politics. He will struggle to square his global Britain rhetoric with his actions. His Brexit stance may cause more economic damage than can be rectified by local policies; his immigration policy may be too hard line for the needs of key sectors. But he and his allies have understood, faster than his rivals, that the iron law cannot be gainsaid and he is closer to a new third way than his enemies would like to admit.

Globalists may argue this crisis proves the need for international co-operation. But recent years suggest the case for open economies is going to have to be remade with an unswerving eye towards local benefits. Those who wish to beat Mr Johnson and his ilk must find a new way to frame their arguments, to demonstrate to all voters how lofty ideals will directly improve their own lives.

Coronavirus is a global phenomenon experienced locally. So again is politics.

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Saskatchewan NDP’s Beck holds first caucus meeting after election, outlines plans

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REGINA – Saskatchewan Opposition NDP Leader Carla Beck says she wants to prove to residents her party is the government in waiting as she heads into the incoming legislative session.

Beck held her first caucus meeting with 27 members, nearly double than what she had before the Oct. 28 election but short of the 31 required to form a majority in the 61-seat legislature.

She says her priorities will be health care and cost-of-living issues.

Beck says people need affordability help right now and will press Premier Scott Moe’s Saskatchewan Party government to cut the gas tax and the provincial sales tax on children’s clothing and some grocery items.

Beck’s NDP is Saskatchewan’s largest Opposition in nearly two decades after sweeping Regina and winning all but one seat in Saskatoon.

The Saskatchewan Party won 34 seats, retaining its hold on all of the rural ridings and smaller cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Nova Scotia election: Liberals say province’s immigration levels are too high

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia‘s growing population was the subject of debate on Day 12 of the provincial election campaign, with Liberal Leader Zach Churchill arguing immigration levels must be reduced until the province can provide enough housing and health-care services.

Churchill said Thursday a plan by the incumbent Progressive Conservatives to double the province’s population to two million people by the year 2060 is unrealistic and unsustainable.

“That’s a big leap and it’s making life harder for people who live here, (including ) young people looking for a place to live and seniors looking to downsize,” he told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

Anticipating that his call for less immigration might provoke protests from the immigrant community, Churchill was careful to note that he is among the third generation of a family that moved to Nova Scotia from Lebanon.

“I know the value of immigration, the importance of it to our province. We have been built on the backs of an immigrant population. But we just need to do it in a responsible way.”

The Liberal leader said Tim Houston’s Tories, who are seeking a second term in office, have made a mistake by exceeding immigration targets set by the province’s Department of Labour and Immigration. Churchill said a Liberal government would abide by the department’s targets.

In the most recent fiscal year, the government welcomed almost 12,000 immigrants through its nominee program, exceeding the department’s limit by more than 4,000, he said. The numbers aren’t huge, but the increase won’t help ease the province’s shortages in housing and doctors, and the increased strain on its infrastructure, including roads, schools and cellphone networks, Churchill said.

“(The Immigration Department) has done the hard work on this,” he said. “They know where the labour gaps are, and they know what growth is sustainable.”

In response, Houston said his commitment to double the population was a “stretch goal.” And he said the province had long struggled with a declining population before that trend was recently reversed.

“The only immigration that can come into this province at this time is if they are a skilled trade worker or a health-care worker,” Houston said. “The population has grown by two per cent a year, actually quite similar growth to what we experienced under the Liberal government before us.”

Still, Houston said he’s heard Nova Scotians’ concerns about population growth, and he then pivoted to criticize Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for trying to send 6,000 asylum seekers to Nova Scotia, an assertion the federal government has denied.

Churchill said Houston’s claim about asylum seekers was shameful.

“It’s smoke and mirrors,” the Liberal leader said. “He is overshooting his own department’s numbers for sustainable population growth and yet he is trying to blame this on asylum seekers … who aren’t even here.”

In September, federal Immigration Minister Marc Miller said there is no plan to send any asylum seekers to the province without compensation or the consent of the premier. He said the 6,000 number was an “aspirational” figure based on models that reflect each province’s population.

In Halifax, NDP Leader Claudia Chender said it’s clear Nova Scotia needs more doctors, nurses and skilled trades people.

“Immigration has been and always will be a part of the Nova Scotia story, but we need to build as we grow,” Chender said. “This is why we have been pushing the Houston government to build more affordable housing.”

Chender was in a Halifax cafe on Thursday when she promised her party would remove the province’s portion of the harmonized sales tax from all grocery, cellphone and internet bills if elected to govern on Nov. 26. The tax would also be removed from the sale and installation of heat pumps.

“Our focus is on helping people to afford their lives,” Chender told reporters. “We know there are certain things that you can’t live without: food, internet and a phone …. So we know this will have the single biggest impact.”

The party estimates the measure would save the average Nova Scotia family about $1,300 a year.

“That’s a lot more than a one or two per cent HST cut,” Chender said, referring to the Progressive Conservative pledge to reduce the tax by one percentage point and the Liberal promise to trim it by two percentage points.

Elsewhere on the campaign trail, Houston announced that a Progressive Conservative government would make parking free at all Nova Scotia hospitals and health-care centres. The promise was also made by the Liberals in their election platform released Monday.

“Free parking may not seem like a big deal to some, but … the parking, especially for people working at the facilities, can add up to hundreds of dollars,” the premier told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

— With files from Keith Doucette in Halifax

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Beyoncé channels Pamela Anderson in ‘Baywatch’ for Halloween video asking viewers to vote

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NEW YORK (AP) — In a new video posted early Election Day, Beyoncé channels Pamela Anderson in the television program “Baywatch” – red one-piece swimsuit and all – and asks viewers to vote.

In the two-and-a-half-minute clip, set to most of “Bodyguard,” a four-minute cut from her 2024 country album “Cowboy Carter,” Beyoncé cosplays as Anderson’s character before concluding with a simple message, written in white text: “Happy Beylloween,” followed by “Vote.”

At a rally for Donald Trump in Pittsburgh on Monday night, the former president spoke dismissively about Beyoncé’s appearance at a Kamala Harris rally in Houston in October, drawing boos for the megastar from his supporters.

“Beyoncé would come in. Everyone’s expecting a couple of songs. There were no songs. There was no happiness,” Trump said.

She did not perform — unlike in 2016, when she performed at a presidential campaign rally for Hillary Clinton in Cleveland – but she endorsed Harris and gave a moving speech, initially joined onstage by her Destiny’s Child bandmate Kelly Rowland.

“I’m not here as a celebrity, I’m not here as a politician. I’m here as a mother,” Beyoncé said.

“A mother who cares deeply about the world my children and all of our children live in, a world where we have the freedom to control our bodies, a world where we’re not divided,” she said at the rally in Houston, her hometown.

“Imagine our daughters growing up seeing what’s possible with no ceilings, no limitations,” she continued. “We must vote, and we need you.”

The Harris campaign has taken on Beyonce’s track “Freedom,” a cut from her landmark 2016 album “Lemonade,” as its anthem.

Harris used the song in July during her first official public appearance as a presidential candidate at her campaign headquarters in Delaware. That same month, Beyoncé’s mother, Tina Knowles, publicly endorsed Harris for president.

Beyoncé gave permission to Harris to use the song, a campaign official who was granted anonymity to discuss private campaign operations confirmed to The Associated Press.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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