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CORONAVIRUS LIVE UPDATES: Markets deep in the red after initial uptick – Financial Post

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It has now been nine days since the NBA suspended its season, which in hindsight was the turning point for the COVID-19 crisis in North America. In the past week, the pandemic has been causing business, market and economic turmoil like we’ve never seen, and Financial Post reporter James McLeod is maintaining a live blog of updates. The National Post is also doing a liveblog with general news updates, so check that out.

Refresh this page regularly for fresh information throughout the day, and if you have business-specific tips, announcements and information that should be included here, please email jmcleod@postmedia.com.

3:35 p.m. — Competition Bureau watching for scams and price fixing: Competition Bureau commissioner Matthew Boswell, said that the Bureau is still on the job amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

“As Canada responds to the COVID-19 coronavirus situation, I would like to assure Canadians that the Competition Bureau remains vigilant against potentially harmful anti-competitive conduct by those who may seek to take advantage of consumers and businesses during these extraordinary circumstances,” Boswell said.

In particular, he said Canadians who see evidence of price fixing or scams claiming to offer a cure or treatment to COVID-19 should contact the Bureau.

3:19 p.m. — Markets in the red heading toward close: With less than an hour left for traders before the weekend, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the TSX/S&P composite and the Nasdaq are all in the red.

In Toronto, the TSX is down 201 points, or 1.65 per cent. The Nasdaq is down 191 points, or 2.68 per cent and the Dow has fallen 632 points, a decline of 3.15 per cent.

This morning, all these indexes were in positive territory, but the past week has been remarkably volatile, as investors grapple with the unfolding COVID-19 pandemic, and associated economic upheaval.

2:02 p.m. — Shopify offering resources and advice to small business: Ottawa-based e-commerce platform Shopify Inc. has more than a million merchants using their service, so the company has been aggregating business resources and advice for companies struggling in the face of economic turmoil.

The company has launched a COVID-19 page here. The company is also saying it will make $200 million in loans available to merchants through the Shopify Capital program.

1:55 p.m. — U.K. subsidizing 80% of wages: There’s quite a bit of chatter on Twitter right now about U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s economic announcement today. This thread offers a bit of info.

Specifically, this from the U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer: “Government grants will cover 80% of the salary of retained workers, up to a total of £2,500 a month, that’s above UK median earnings level.”

There’s already been a lot of reaction to the federal government’s economic rescue package so far, saying it’s not nearly big enough, so the U.K. covering 80% of wages will likely only intensify that sentiment.

1:25 p.m. — CAD is chained to oil: TD: In a new research note released Friday, TD Economics looks at the Canadian dollar’s plunge in value, and essentially concludes that Canada is along for the ride with world oil prices. The dollar is trading at around 0.69 U.S. cents

The CAD has dropped 12 per cent against the US dollar, despite the fact that Bank of Canada interest rates are higher than the Federal Reserve in the U.S.

“On the positive side, it is unlikely that the world price of oil will continue trading at current levels indefinitely,” TD wrote. “Breakeven prices based on operating costs for production of existing wells are well above current levels in most countries. Also, the USD is currently in high demand as a safe haven in the risk-off environmnet”

1:16 p.m. — TSX up, Dow down: The TSX/S&P composite is up about 2.3 per cent or 283 points right now, and the Dow is down about 114 points, or 0.57 per cent. With the enormous volatility in the markets over the past week, I’ll be keeping an eye on the indexes through to market close today.

1:00 p.m. — Masks, ventilators, hand sanitizers in high demand: While talking about procurement and Canadian manufacturing capacity, federal ministers repeatedly indicated that ventilators, protective masks and hand sanitizer are among the key items to support the health care workers fighting COVID-19.

The ministers said that Ottawa is attempting to buy these products, but because they come from global supply chains, Canada is competing with all other countries to acquire these items. Innovation Minister Navdeep Bains has said that the government is working to get Canadian businesses to retool their operation to make these items.

12:55 p.m. — COVID-19 like a war effort: Treasury Board President Jean-Yves Duclos said that the federal government response to the pandemic virus is akin to a war effort, and the federal government wants to orient Canadian manufacturing to help the health care sector fighting the disease.

Federal officials are calling on business to get in contact if they have ways to help making medical supplies.

12:40 p.m. — Companies step up to fight COVID-19: Federal Procurement Minister Anita Anand said that 5,800 companies have contacted the government offering to help providing supplies to fight COVID-19.

12:36 p.m. — Feds sign letters of intent to get business working on COVID-19 supplies: Innovation Minister Navdeep Bains announced a suite of measures to shift funding towards COVID-19 research and innovation issues, and the federal government has signed letters of intent with three companies to scale up production of key supplies.

Bains said Montreal company Medicom has stepped up to produce N95 masks, and Thornhill Medical is producing ventilators. He mentioned a third company but I missed it on the livestream. I will update this post as soon as I get those details.

Bains also mentioned the Auto Parts Manufacturing Association of Canada, which is committing to temporarily retool some of their facilities to make a range of products.

11:51 a.m. — Walmart Canada hiring 10,000 workers: In a post online, Walmart Canada says they’re hiring 10,000 people to keep stores open during the COVID-19 pandemic. The retailer is also moving to implement a system where the first hour after opening is reserved for senior citizens and people with disabilities.

11:40 a.m. — Kraft Dinner production crunch: There is a Montreal factory working around the clock to produce 400 boxes of Kraft Dinner every minute to keep up with the country’s demand. Just an excellent story by FP reporter Jake Edmiston.

11:25 a.m. — Manufacturing ventilators: Trudeau said that he’s confidence Canadian companies will be able to respond to the demand for more ventilators to address the COVID-19 illness.

“We know that Canadian companies are among the most innovative and agile in the world,” he said.

11:22 a.m. — Government support for retooling: Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said that there will be federal government financial support to allow manufacturers to retool factories to make hand sanitizer and other medical supplies to fight COVID-19. More detail will be provided when ministers hold a follow-up news conference at noon.

11:18 a.m. — Border shutdown at midnight: Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says the Canada-U.S. border will close to non-essential travel at midnight. He also said that they have an agreement with the U.S. to send back all irregular border crossers, something that the Conservative Party has been raising as an issue in the past few days.

11:08 a.m. — Barrick Gold still mining: In a news release, Toronto-based mining company Barrick Gold said mining operations are continuing, in spite of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“The corporate executive and site management teams engage continuously to monitor the situation and daily updates are received from each of the sites and offices,” Barrick said in the release.

“All non-essential business travel has been suspended and non-essential projects have been curtailed. In line with directives from our host governments and the international health authorities, we have put measures in place to mitigate the risk of infection while ensuring a safe environment for operations to continue as usual.”

Check out Gabriel Freidman’s story in the Financial Post for a wider look at what’s happening in the mining sector, and pressure to shut down operations.

11 a.m. — Restaurants considering closing permanently: Restaurants Canada says a survey of members indicates that foodservice providers need government assistance imminently, or they risk shutting down altogether.

“Facing a new reality of little-to-no income without a clear end date in sight, more than 90 per cent of respondents said they are very worried about the next three months. Most said they need help from government,” the industry association said in an emailed news release.

Restaurants Canada called for flexible arrangements on rent, relief from taxes, and payroll assistance for workers.

10:42 a.m. — Banks and insurance companies to do AGMs digitally: A joint statement from Canada’s major banks and insurance companies says they’ve received a court order allowing them to dispense with the normal requirement to hold an in-person annual general meeting.

The news came in a joint statement from BMO, CIBC, Canadian Western Bank, Laurentian Bank, National Bank, RBC, Scotiabank, TD Bank, Great-West Lifeco, Canada Life, Manulife and Sun Life.

From the news release: “In line with the latest directives from public health and government authorities, we have jointly obtained a court order that allows us to hold our annual meetings, in whole or in part, using electronic means. The order permits our meetings to be conducted over one or more of webcasting, teleconference or other electronic means, in each case in addition to, or instead of, an in-person meeting, and permits alternative means for distributing meeting materials. The order was obtained because Canadian banks and insurance companies are not permitted to conduct an electronic annual meeting in lieu of an in-person meeting without relief from the court.”

10:30 a.m. — Trudeau to speak at 11:15 a.m.: Once again, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will be speaking to the media at 11:15 a.m. outside his residence in Ottawa. He will be taking questions.

Following that media availability, Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland is scheduled to hold a news conference with various ministers at noon today.

There has been a lot of chatter about using idle manufacturing capacity to make ventilators, hospital gowns, face masks and other medical supplies to fight the pandemic. Government officials may have details to share on that front today.

10:19 a.m. — CFA Institute cancels exams: In a post on their website the CFA Institute announced that June exams will be postponed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and the requirement for social distancing.

You can read the full post here from the CFA Institute.

10:08 a.m. — U.S. Senators accused of insider trading: Not a Canadian story, but worth keeping an eye on an unfolding situation in the United States where multiple Senators are accused of making major stock transactions after receiving confidential briefings on the severity of the COVID-19 pandemic. Here’s the NY Times story on the situation.

As the U.S. grapples with the pandemic, and major disorganization at the federal level, it could be important to watch these corruption allegations.

9:55 a.m. — Markets open, TSX up, Dow down: After a brief uptick, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped in early trading Friday morning. The TSX/S&P composite is up about 2 per cent in early trading. I’ll be keeping an eye on this and posting regular updates throughout the day.

9:35 a.m. — Posthaste roundup: Check out the regular Posthaste morning roundup for what to keep an eye on today, but I want to draw your attention to one item in particular, because it could have a big impact on the markets:

As if investors didn’t have enough to worry about, today is quadruple witching day. This quarterly event in which investors unwind positions in futures and options contracts before their expiration has been know to cause mayhem at the best of times.

“Even in the sleepy times in the market things get weird on quadruple witching days,” Kim Forrest, chief investment officer of Bokeh Capital Partners told Bloomberg. “It’s going to be nuts. It’s icing on the icing.”

Today could be a wild ride.

9:27 a.m. — Canadian Natural pay cuts: Financial Post energy reporter Geoff Morgan was really good at his job before the crisis, and he’s been an essential source of information on the Alberta oil and gas sector. Here’s a story from Geoff about Canadian Natural handling the crash in oil prices by slashing spending and cutting salaries.

From the story: “Canadian Natural president Tim McKay’s salary is being cut 20 per cent, other members of the management team will see a 15 per cent pay cut and all vice-presidents will have their pay cut 12 per cent.”

9:11 a.m. — Car manufacturers ready to make ventilators: An interesting business angle on the COVID-19 situation to watch is how business is coming together to help address the crisis. Here’s a great story from FP reporters Emily Jackson and Naomi Powell about how auto manufacturers are looking at retooling their manufacturing lines to build vital medical equipment.

Various government officials were talking about this yesterday, so it’ll be interesting to see what sort of action we see on this front in the next week or two.

8:55 a.m. — Air Canada layoffs:More than 5,000 flight attendants have been laid off as Air Canada struggles to deal with the travel disruptions of the COVID-19 pandemic. The layoffs take effect in April, and that represents about 60 per cent of the airline’s flight attendants.

8:52 a.m. — Big changes at Loblaws: Yesterday Galen Weston, executive chairman of Loblaws Companies, announced significant changes to how the grocery chain will be operating during the pandemic. Weston posted a concise video message on Twitter and the company sent out an email to PC Optimum customers.

Here are the key points:

“We are reducing operating hours in our stores – for rest and sanitization (check online for details), we are modifying our service counters to have more pre-packaged product – for less touching,  (and) we will begin limiting the number of customers allowed in our busiest stores at the same time – for social distancing.”

This comes as grocery stores have been particularly hard hit by the pandemic, and government officials have been trying to assure people that supply chains remain intact, and there is no need to hoard food.

8:45 a.m. — Another Great Depression?: Here’s a bleak story from Financial Post reporters Geoff Zochodne and Victor Ferreira about the economic ramifications of the pandemic.

Smart people are saying the long-term consequences could be comparable to the Great Depression. Read the story for details.

March 19, 2020

Good morning! Today is shaping up to be yet another hectic day of business news, as North America continues to grapple with the consequences of the COVID-19 global pandemic. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is scheduled to speak to Canadians again, outside his residence where he’s in self-quarantine. Keep refreshing this page as we bring you business updates and market news throughout the day.

• Email: jmcleod@nationalpost.com | Twitter:

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stocks also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in the base metal sector, while U.S. stock markets were also higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was 143.00 points at 24,048.88.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 174.22 points at 42,088.97. The S&P 500 index was up 10.23 points at 5,732.49, while the Nasdaq composite was up 30.02 points at 18,112.23.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.23 cents US compared with 74.28 cents US on Wednesday.

The November crude oil contract was down US$1.68 at US$68.01 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down six cents at US$2.75 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$4.40 at US$2,689.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up 13 cents at US$4.62 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 26, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy to grow moderately, rates to fall below three per cent next year: Deloitte

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Deloitte Canada expects economic growth to pick up next year as it forecasts the Bank of Canada to cut its key interest rate below three per cent by mid-2025.

In the company’s fall economic outlook released Thursday, it forecasts the central bank’s interest rate will fall to 3.75 per cent by the end of this year and a neutral rate of 2.75 per cent by mid next year.

Meanwhile, it expects the economy to grow moderately as softer labour market conditions persist, especially as many homeowners have yet to face higher rates when they refinance their loans.

“We do think that we’re going to be in for a decent year next year,” said Dawn Desjardins, chief economist at Deloitte Canada.

It appears Canada will successfully skirt a recession despite the impact of higher borrowing costs on the economy, said Desjardins.

“It’s hard to argue that the economy is just skating through this period of higher interest rates. But having said that, the overall numbers themselves continue to show the economy is expanding,” she said.

“Yes, the labour market has softened, but I don’t think we’re in any kind of crisis in the labour market at this time.”

The Bank of Canada has cut its benchmark rate three times so far this year as inflation has eased, and signalled more cuts are coming.

Inflation in Canada hit the central bank’s two per cent target in August, falling from 2.5 in July to reach its lowest level since February 2021.

However, higher rates have weighed on economic growth and the labour market.

Deloitte’s predicted 2.75 per cent neutral rate — the rate at which the central bank’s monetary policy is neither stimulating nor holding back the economy — is higher than where interest rates were hovering in the years before the COVID-19 pandemic.

Desjardins said the forecast aligns with the central bank’s own projections. There are a number of factors on the horizon that may pose increased risk to inflation, she said, such as climate change.

“These are costly things that we’re going to have to deal with and will be embedded in prices. So that’s sort of how we get to this 2.75 (per cent).”

The report says the global backdrop continues to be challenging, with no clear ends to the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, growing trade frictions and an uncertain impact of the U.S. election on policy.

Consumers and businesses alike are still facing a lot of uncertainty, said Desjardins.

The heightened uncertainty, including from the looming U.S. election in November, makes businesses reticent to invest, she said, but added more clarity should come in the new year.

“We’ll see inflation coming down and interest rates coming down. So those are two powerful factors that will support an improvement in confidence both from the consumer side as well as the business side as we go through next year,” she said.

In its report, Deloitte said it’s still optimistic about Canada’s economy next year.

“Lower rates will ease the burden on the highly indebted household sector sufficiently to support a pickup in spending and a housing market recovery,” it said in the report. “After two years of subpar growth, we look for the economy to hit its stride in 2025.”

Deloitte said despite the easing of overall inflation, shelter prices — especially rent — “remain too high for comfort.” However, it also said interest rate cuts are expected to “rejuvenate construction activity,” with home-building activity set to rise throughout 2025.

While rate cuts should help stimulate the housing market, Deloitte said it expects the recovery to be modest amid poor affordability.

Desjardins said without a significant boost to housing supply, the affordability issue is unlikely to subside.

“We know that Canada has a pretty significant supply deficit on the housing side,” she said.

“The housing cannot be created overnight.”

However, she also doesn’t see house prices significantly increasing.

“I think we’re going to see some easing up on demand from new Canadians as we move forward. So that might give a little bit of a relief,” she said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 26, 2024.

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S&P/TSX composite moves lower Wednesday, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index edged lower on Wednesday, weighed down by the energy sector as the price of oil fell, while U.S. stock markets were mixed, with the S&P 500 and Dow slipping from the records set the day before.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed down 46.34 points at 23,905.88.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 293.47 points at 41,914.75. The S&P 500 index was down 10.67 points at 5,722.26, while the Nasdaq composite was up 7.68 points at 18,082.20.

It was a quieter day as investors anticipated important economic data to come later in the week, said Jennifer Tozser, senior wealth adviser and portfolio manager with Tozser Wealth Management at National Bank Financial Wealth Management.

The next report on U.S. GDP is scheduled for release Thursday, while Friday will bring the Personal Consumption Expenditures index.

Investors will be looking for hints in the data on what the U.S. Federal Reserve might do next, Tozser said.

“Now everybody’s just sitting there looking to see if tomorrow’s economic data suggests not only how many more cuts are to come, but how fast and what magnitude.”

Last week, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate by half a percentage point, the first cut since its hiking campaign to fight inflation.

Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada has already cut its key rate three times this year, as the Canadian economy and labour market have softened faster than in the U.S.

Central banks in both Canada and the U.S. are set to keep cutting interest rates, but Tozser said the path is less certain south of the border.

Lower rates and the promise of more cuts on the horizon are helping boost the recent sectoral rotation in markets, said Tozser, with a broader group of companies seeing gains as attention on the Magnificent Seven stocks eases.

“We’re seeing strength in the overall economy, not just those few leaders that have been able to swim against the tide,” she said.

Large tech companies like Nvidia have led gains this year on the back of optimism over artificial intelligence.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.28 cents US compared with 74.25 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down US$1.87 at US$69.69 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was up three cents at US$2.82 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.70 at US$2,684.70 an ounceand the December copper contract was down less than a penny at $4.49 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 25, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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