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COVID-19 cases likely to go up under current red zone restrictions in Ottawa, scientist warns – CTV Edmonton

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OTTAWA —
A member of Ontario’s COVID-19 Science Advisory Table warns Ottawa will consistently see more days with triple-digit increases in COVID-19 cases in the next week or so as COVID-19 transmission continues to rise in the community.

And senior scientist at the Ottawa Hospital Dr. Doug Manuel suggests the Red-Control zone restrictions are “not going to hold” the transmission rates in Ottawa.

Ottawa moved into the Red-Control level of Ontario’s COVID-19 reopening framework on Friday, following a spike in COVID-19 cases.

Ottawa’s COVID-19 incidence rate increased from 33.8 cases per 100,000 on Feb. 28 to 50 cases on March 19.

“I think we’re at an interesting period. In Ottawa, we’re doing a bit better than other places that have been increasing more quickly,” said Dr. Manuel during an interview on CTV News at Six with anchor Stefan Keyes.

“In Ottawa, in the short-term we’re looking at increasing cases; we’ll probably be in the triple digits more consistently in a week or so, deaths are predicted to go down and hospitalizations over the short-term are going to stay flat.”

Ottawa Public Health reported 107 new cases of COVID-19 on Saturday and 86 new cases on Sunday. The 107 new cases of novel coronavirus in Ottawa on Saturday was the highest one-day increase since Jan. 21.

“So, the question after that is what’s going to influence it?” said Dr. Manuel about the COVID-19 transmission in the community.

“We’ve got the two big factors: the variants of concern is going to increase cases for a while and then we have the vaccine, which is going to help the hospitalizations and deaths.”

Ottawa is in the Red-Control zone after spending one month in the Orange-Restrict level.

“Currently, the cases would likely go up with the level of restrictions that we’ve got,” said Dr. Manuel, when asked if Ottawa needs to go into lockdown to control the spread of virus.

Manuel notes there is no set criteria for the province to move a region into the Gray-Lockdown level, which looks at increasing weekly case incidence and/or test positivity and outbreaks among vulnerable populations.

“We’re definitely not going back to orange for a while.”

LOCKDOWN NEEDED IN OTTAWA?

Speaking on Newstalk 580 CFRA Sunday morning with host Andrew Pinsent, Dr. Manuel said the likelihood of Ottawa moving into Gray-Lockdown is “pretty high.”

“It’s going up. I think the question is now moving into red zone, are we going to flatten that out?” said Dr. Manuel about COVID-19 transmission in Ottawa.

Dr. Manuel says while Ottawa’s COVID-19 rates have been increasing slower than other areas of Ontario, transmission could rise due to the variants of concern and the level of restrictions.

“I’m concerned that red is not going to hold us, especially with the new variants and that we’re going to continue to increase,” said Dr. Manuel.

“When we get into these sorts of triple digits (daily case increases), public health has a hard time keeping up with all the cases, so there starts to be a lag time in their contact tracing.”

Dr. Manuel says looking at the recent changes to restaurant capacity in the Red-Control zone, he is concerned the measures won’t “hold” the COVID-19 rates in Ottawa. Ontario’s new restrictions for bars and restaurants in the Red-Control zone is 50 per cent capacity of an establishment, up to a maximum of 50 people.

Pinsent asked if he anticipates a move into lockdown.

“I would say the likelihood is pretty high, or it’s definitely on my radar. When? I think we’re going to see how much the red is going to hold us, or we’re just going to blow right through it,” said Manuel.

“I don’t think it’s going to hold us. I think we’re probably going to continue on the same rate, if not higher. The math would say that we’re going to accelerate with the variants and just having more people and losing our ability to control.”

Dr. Manuel notes the variants of concern create a “different ballgame” with COVID-19 than in the fall.

Approximately 50 per cent of all new cases of COVID-19 in Ottawa involve a variant of concern.

Dr. Manuel says there are two factors pushing back against COVID-19 and the variants of concern this spring; more people gathering outside in the warm weather and we’re getting vaccinated with the COVID-19 doses.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

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Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

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Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

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U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

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TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

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