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COVID-19: Vancouver Island in a January spike while BC cases decrease

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Dr. Bonnie Henry is calling it a precipice, a plateau from which the novel coronavirus could spring upwards, or decline.

New cases in B.C. have hovered around 500 per day, but on Vancouver Island, numbers have anything but plateaued.

While B.C. is showing a gradual decline in new cases, Island Health is smashing through new highs weekly. The Island took 10 months to reach 1,000 cumulative cases. Three weeks later, that total has already reached 1,458.

What’s behind the exponential increase? Vancouver Island’s Chief Medical Health Officer Dr. Richard Stanwick isn’t sure.

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But whatever the cause, the Island is seeing double digit case counts every day in January. The region has registered 25 or more new cases 11 times. Ten of those totals came in the past three weeks.

Contact tracing teams have gone all out — as of Jan. 26, the region had 753 people isolating after being identified as close contacts, and 217 people confirmed as positive. Total cases are still manageable, hospitals are not at capacity.

In fact, Vancouver Island has been able to offer support to Northern B.C., an area that is bursting at capacity for beds.

Most of the current Island cases are within the Central Island region, between the Nanaimo hospital outbreak, some school exposures, and Cowichan Tribes which has had more than 150 cases. The First Nation’s membership is sheltering in place until at least Feb. 5.

Indigenous people are four times more likely to experience the worst effects of COVID-19, Stanwick said.

“This is open to speculation as to why, whether they are under-housed, or a is there a propensity to it? The simple fact is unfortunately they are more vulnerable to the effects,” Stanwick said.

It’s one of the reasons First Nations communities are included in priority vaccinations along with long-term care and assisted living residents and workers.

“The good news is that we have finished immunizing all long-term care clients who have wished to be immunized as of [Jan. 24], and are working hard to complete all of our assisted living by mid-week,” Stanwick said.

But we’re far from out of the woods, even with positive first steps.

“It’s only the first dose they’ve gotten, and this is where I cross my fingers and my toes. It takes 14 days to get a good immune response mounted by the body. So we’re still vulnerable for two more weeks. There is a possibility we could still see outbreaks in our long-term care and assisted living facilities.”

The First Nations Health Authority has set a goal of delivering vaccinations to all First Nations on the Island by the end of March. That process is well underway.

What really worries Stanwick is the rising number of people who have no clue where they contracted the virus. It makes contact tracing nearly impossible, and makes it a lot harder to control the spread.

Take the U.K. variant for example; one Central Island resident caught it while travelling. They passed it to two others, but all three people followed quarantine rules and the strain died there.

The South African variant — which has not yet been found on the Island — is of unknown origin at this time.

“It’s when it surprises us that’s where we worry the most,” Stanwick said.

Vancouver Island’s positivity rate is another concern. Dr. Henry regularly says the goal is to keep it at 1 per cent or below, but the Island is almost at 4 per cent right now.

“We’re still looking at a few months out for wide vaccinations. We are so close, I’d hate to see us backslide into the same situation as the U.K., going into full lock down,” he said.

“The orders [Dr. Henry] puts in place have worked. They’ve gotten us where we are, we’ve just got to hang in a little longer.”

In the meantime, Stanwick said Vancouver Island Health Authority is assigning environmental health officers to identify places where standards are not being met. It’s not a hunt to issue fines, he said, but an effort to help people understand what Work Safe requirements are. However, they are issuing fines to people unwilling to comply.

For more news from Vancouver Island and beyond delivered daily into your inbox, please click here.

Source: – Nanaimo News Bulletin

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Business Plan Approved for Cancer Centre at NRGH – My Cowichan Valley Now

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A business plan for a new BC Cancer Centre at Nanaimo Regional General Hospital has been approved by the province. 

 

Health Minister Adrian Dix  says the state-of-the-art cancer facility will benefit patients in Nanaimo and the surrounding region through the latest medical technology.
 

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The facility will have 12 exam rooms, four consultation rooms and space for medical physicists and radiation therapists, medical imaging and radiation treatment of cancer patients. 

 

The procurement process is underway, and construction is expected to begin in 2025 and be complete in 2028. 

 

Upgrades to NRGH have also been approved, such as a new single-storey addition to the ambulatory care building and expanded pharmacy. 

 

Dix says Nanaimo’s population is growing rapidly and aging, and stronger health services in the region, so people get the health care they need closer to home. 

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Outdated cancer screening guidelines jeopardizing early detection, doctors say – Powell River Peak

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A group of doctors say Canadian cancer screening guidelines set by a national task force are out-of-date and putting people at risk because their cancers aren’t detected early enough. 

“I’m faced with treating too many patients dying of prostate cancer on a daily basis due to delayed diagnosis,” Dr. Fred Saad, a urological oncologist and director of prostate cancer research at the Montreal Cancer Institute, said at a news conference in Ottawa on Monday. 

The Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care, established by the Public Health Agency of Canada, sets clinical guidelines to help family doctors and nurse practitioners decide whether and when to recommend screening and other prevention and early detection health-care measures to their patients.

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Its members include primary-care physicians and nurse practitioners, as well as specialists, a spokesperson for the task force said in an email Monday. 

But Saad and other doctors associated with the Coalition for Responsible Healthcare Guidelines, which organized the news conference, said the task force’s screening guidelines for breast, prostate, lung and cervical cancer are largely based on older research and conflict with the opinions of specialists in those areas. 

For example, the task force recommends against wide use of the prostate specific antigen test, commonly known as a PSA test, for men who haven’t already had prostate cancer. Saad called that advice, which dates back to 2014, “outdated” and “overly simplistic.” 

The task force’s recommendation is based on the harms of getting false positive results that lead to unnecessary biopsies and treatment, he said. 

But that reasoning falsely assumes that everyone who gets a positive PSA test will automatically get a biopsy, Saad said. 

“We are way beyond the era of every abnormal screening test leading to a biopsy and every biopsy leading to treatment,” he said, noting that MRIs can be used to avoid some biopsies.

“Canadian men deserve (to) have the right to decide what is important to them, and family physicians need to stop being confused by recommendations that go against logic and evidence.”

Dr. Martin Yaffe, co-director of the Imaging Research Program at the Ontario Institute for Cancer Research, raised similar concerns about the task force’s breast cancer screening guideline, which doesn’t endorse mammograms for women younger than 50.

That’s despite the fact that the U.S. task force says women 40 and older may decide to get one after discussing the risks and benefits with their primary-care provider. 

The Canadian task force is due to update its guidance on breast cancer screening in the coming months, but Yaffe said he’s still concerned.

“The task force leadership demonstrates a strong bias against earlier detection of disease,” he said.

Like Saad, Yaffe believes it puts too much emphasis on the potential harm of false positive results.

“It’s very hard for us and for patients to balance this idea of being called back and being anxious transiently for a few days while things are sorted out, compared to the chance of having cancer go undetected and you end up either dying from it or being treated for very advanced disease.”

But Dr. Eddy Lang, a member of the task force, said the harms of false positives should not be underestimated. 

“We’ve certainly recommended in favour of screening when the benefits clearly outweigh the harms,” said Lang, who is an emergency physician and a professor at the University of Calgary’s medical school. 

“But we’re cautious and balanced and want to make sure that we consider all perspectives.” 

For example, some men get prostate cancer that doesn’t progress, Lang said, but if they undergo treatments they face risks including possible urinary incontinence and erectile dysfunction. 

Lang also said the task force monitors research “all the time for important studies that will change our recommendations.” 

“And if one of them comes along, we prioritize the updating of that particular guideline,” he said. 

The Canadian Cancer Society pulled its endorsement from the task force’s website in December 2022, saying it hadn’t acted quickly enough to review and update its breast cancer screening guidelines to consider including women between 40 and 50. 

“(The Canadian Cancer Society) believes there is an obligation to ensure guidelines are keeping pace with the changing environment and new research findings to ensure people in Canada are supported with preventative health care,” it said in an emailed statement Monday evening. 

Some provinces have implemented more proactive early detection programs, including screening for breast cancer at younger ages, using human papillomavirus (HPV) testing to screen for cervical cancer and implementing CT scanning to screen for lung cancer, doctors with the Coalition for Responsible Healthcare Guidelines said. 

But that leads to “piecemeal” screening systems and unequal access across the country, said Dr. Shushiela Appavoo, a radiologist with the University of Alberta.

Plus, many primary-care providers rely on the national task force guidelines in their discussions with patients, she said. 

“The strongest association … with a woman actually going for her breast cancer screen is whether or not her doctor recommends it to her. So if her doctor is not recommending it to her, it doesn’t matter what the provincial guideline allows,” Appavoo said. 

In addition to updating its guideline for breast cancer screening this spring, the task force is due to review its guidelines for cervical cancer screening in 2025 and for lung cancer and prostate cancer screening in 2026, according to its website.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published April 16, 2024.

Canadian Press health coverage receives support through a partnership with the Canadian Medical Association. CP is solely responsible for this content.

Nicole Ireland, The Canadian Press

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Opioid Deaths Doubled Across Canada After Pandemic Onset – Medscape

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Premature opioid-related deaths doubled in Canada after the onset of COVID-19 pandemic, and more than one in four deaths occurred in young adults, a new study suggested.

“The intersection of the COVID-19 pandemic with the drug toxicity crisis in Canada has created an urgent need to better understand the patterns of opioid-related deaths across the country to inform targeted public health responses,” the study authors wrote.

Some Canadian provinces were disproportionately affected by the crisis, they noted. For example, in Alberta, close to half of all deaths among people aged 20-39 years were opioid-related.

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Shaleesa Ledlie

“Although the finding that the early loss of life was increasing over time was expected, the magnitude of this burden across Canada surprised me,” lead author Shaleesa Ledlie, MPH, a PhD candidate at the Leslie Dan Faculty of Pharmacy of the University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, told Medscape Medical News.

In addition to the increase in Alberta, she said, “in Manitoba, opioid-related death rates and the associated years of life lost increased almost fivefold between 2019 and 2021. This really reinforces the urgency of this issue across Canada and identifies regions where focused attention might be warranted.”

The study was published online on April 15 in Canadian Medical Association Journal.

Significant Increases

Researchers conducted a repeated cross-sectional analysis of accidental opioid-related deaths from 2019 through 2021 in nine Canadian provinces and territories. All provinces and territories for which age- and sex-stratified data were available at the time of the study were included: British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, and the Northwest Territories. These areas represent 98% of Canada’s population.

Deaths were determined to be accidental or intentional by the coroner or medical examiner in each province or territory who investigated the death, according to Ledlie.

The primary outcome was the burden of premature opioid-related death, measured by potential years of life lost (YLL). The secondary outcome was the proportion of deaths attributable to opioids.

Overall, the annual YLL from opioid-related deaths doubled during the study period, from 3.5 YLL per 1000 population in 2019 to 7.0 YLL per 1000 in 2021.

In 2021, the highest burdens of death were observed among men (9.9 YLL per 1000) and young adults aged 20-29 years (12.8 YLL per 1000) and 30-39 years (16.5 YLL per 1000).

More than 70% of all opioid-related deaths occurred among men each year (73.9% in 2021), and about 25% of deaths occurred among people between the ages of 30 and 39 years (29.5% in 2021).

Geographic Variation

The annual increases by age and sex in each province and territory were generally consistent with the overall analysis. The observed changes in YLL over time varied geographically, however. They ranged from a 0.8-fold decrease in Nova Scotia (1581 YLL in 2019 to 1324 YLL in 2021) to a 4.7-fold increase in Manitoba (2434 YLL in 2019 to 11,543 YLL in 2021).

In 2021, the rate of YLL ranged from a low of 1.4 per 1000 in Nova Scotia to a high of 15.6 per 1000 in Alberta, whereas the absolute number of YLL ranged from 93 in the Northwest Territories to 111,633 in Ontario.

Between 2019 and 2021, the average percentage of all deaths attributed to opioids increased in all age groups. In 2019, 1.7% of deaths among people younger than 85 years were related to opioids. This proportion increased to 3.2% of deaths in 2021.

The largest relative increase between 2019 and 2021 (50.3%) was among young people. Opioid-attributable deaths increased from 19.3% to 29.0% among those aged 30-39 years. This change was followed by a 48.0% increase among those aged 20-29 years from 19.8% to 29.3%.

The authors noted that the study was limited by their inability to examine four provinces and territories for which the numbers of opioid-related deaths were suppressed because of small counts (ie, < 5). However, sensitivity analyses suggested that the demographic distribution of these deaths followed a pattern like that of the overall results.

More Information Needed

Commenting on the study for Medscape Medical News, S. Monty Ghosh, MD, MPH, an assistant professor at the University of Alberta, clinical assistant professor at the University of Calgary, and co-medical lead of Alberta Health Services’ Rapid Access Addiction Medicine program in Calgary, said, “The study was fairly robust in its evaluation. Their approach statistically is sound and makes sense, given the quality of data they received.” Ghosh did not participate in the analysis.

photo of Monty Ghosh
S. Monty Ghosh, MD

It would be important to know whether the premature deaths were polysubstance related, he noted. “More nuanced data in Alberta demonstrated that most of the deaths are related to polysubstance use on top of fentanyl. This includes alcohol, meth, as well as substance contaminants such as benzodiazepines, and more lately (outside of the research period), xylazine.”

Furthermore, Ghosh added, “It would be good to see more demographic information around the youth in Alberta. For instance, were they housed or unhoused? Are they Indigenous? Anecdotally, we know that blue-collar workers, especially those in Alberta who work in construction and oil rigs, have a disproportionate rate of substance use and at times substance death. This was seen in British Columbia and Ontario.”

What’s Being Done

The government of Alberta is responding to these data, said Ghosh. For example, in 2022, specialized funding was provided to enable young adults to access gold-standard opioid agonist treatment. The treatment was rolled out through Alberta’s Virtual Opioid Dependency Program (VODP) and other community-based addiction programs. “This [program] still needs to be more focused on homeless youth, however, who may not have access to technology or other resources.”

Furthermore, the government recently announced a $1.55-billion plan to continue building the Alberta Recovery model, he said. “This is the largest investment seen in our province. Safer supply or prescribed alternatives is very controversial in Alberta and thus is not an option available to this population.”

In addition, he said, the Ministry of Seniors and Community Social Services recently began “coordinated work with other ministries to support vulnerable and equity-deserving populations around this issue, including creating navigation centers for housing, income support, and access to treatment through the VODP.”

Ledlie noted that various policies and programs have been developed in response to the ongoing drug toxicity crisis. Some were included in a recent review that her team conducted to summarize the evidence from Canadian safer opioid supply programs. “We found that in general, these programs had positive impacts on clients, including reduced rates of opioid toxicities and improvements in quality of life.”

“Because most healthcare is coordinated at the provincial or territorial level, the investments into, and accessibility of, treatment and harm-reduction services tend to vary across Canada,” she said. “Even in regions where these programs exist, we know that they are not always accessible for various reasons, such as a lack of resources preventing widespread expansion and geographic barriers in more remote and rural regions.”

“One example of a simple yet life-saving harm reduction measure that has been effectively implemented by most provincial and territorial governments is the availability of publicly funded naloxone kits,” she added. “Given the widespread societal impacts of opioid toxicities described in our study, we believe it is pivotal for all levels of government to coordinate to ensure equitable access to evidence-based services across the country, while still providing the opportunity to tailor and adapt those responses to the unique needs of local communities.”

The study was supported by grants from the Ontario Ministry of Health and the Canadian Institutes of Health Research. Ledlie is supported by an Ontario Graduate Scholarship and the Network for Improving Health Systems Trainee Award. Ledlie and Ghosh declared no relevant financial relationships.

Marilynn Larkin, MA, is an award-winning medical writer and editor whose work has appeared in numerous publications, including Medscape Medical News and its sister publication MDedge, The Lancet (where she was a contributing editor), and Reuters Health.

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