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COVID-19 was 'expensive,' but Freeland says economy is improving in fiscal update – National Post

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The Liberal government is forecasting to end the current fiscal year $144.5 billion in the red

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OTTAWA – Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland offered few new economic measures in the Liberals’ fiscal update Tuesday, portraying the Canadian economy instead as well on the way to a post-pandemic recovery.

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Freeland delivered her speech in Parliament on Tuesday amid growing concerns about the Omicron variant of COVID-19, which appears to be spreading across the country. She said the government was budgeting $1.7 billion to buy more rapid tests and ship them out across the country to provinces.

Freeland said that funding will buy 180 million tests and provinces should use the ones they have in storage now.

“There is not a shortage of rapid tests today in Canada, and we have a lot more coming. I really urge Canadians, use rapid tests, use boosters, wear your masks.”

Freeland herself used rapid tests on Tuesday after two of her staff tested positive for COVID-19. She said she has since tested negative, but as a precaution gave the fiscal update virtually rather than appearing in person in Parliament.

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The government has also put aside $4.5 billion as a sort of contingency fund for Omicron related expenses, on top of money already set aside for wage and rent help for hard-hit industries. They have also budgeted $5 billion to help repair damage from the B.C. floods.

Freeland said the government’s plan during the pandemic was to ensure the economy came back as strong as possible.

“Keeping the Canadian economy on life support as we went into COVID-19 hibernation was expensive. But we knew that keeping Canadian families and businesses solvent would help our economy rebound,” she said.

According to the fiscal update, the government ended the last fiscal year, which ended in March, with a $327 billion deficit, down from the $354 billion it was projecting. It also is forecasting to end the current fiscal year $144.5 billion in the red, down roughly $10 billion from the $154.7 billion projected last year.

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Freeland touted job figures and GDP growth, which have trended positively in the last few months. She said the government wanted to ensure that Canada moved swiftly past the damage done by the pandemic, unlike what happened after the 2008 recession.

“We have already more than recovered lost jobs, a healing which took eight months longer after the much milder 2008 recession. And we are on track to recover lost GDP five months more quickly than after the 2008 contraction,” she said.

While the country has regained jobs and GDP growth, inflation has also soared in recent months, rising in October higher than it has been in nearly two decades. Freeland said the government is monitoring the impact, but believes inflation to be primarily a global phenomenon.

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“We know inflation is a global phenomenon driven by the unprecedented challenge of re-opening the world’s economy,” she said. “Turning the world economy back on is a good deal more complicated than turning it off.”

Conservative leader Erin O’Toole was quick to condemn the Liberals’ update as doing nothing for the inflation Canadians are seeing at grocery stores.

“Instead of delivering a plan to combat the cost of living crisis and secure our country’s recovery, the Liberal government is making life more expensive for Canadians,” he said. “Canadians cannot afford for life to get even more expensive – yet that’s exactly what the Liberals’ ideological agenda is doing.”

Freeland defended her party’s economic record pointing out the jobs lost in the pandemic have returned and said even with rising prices, Canadians are better off if they are working.

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“The single most important thing when it comes to the well being of most Canadians is having a job.”

O’Toole said the Liberal plan lacked vision and risked allowing Canada to fall behind its international peers.

“We can get back to building prosperity and great jobs for Canadians, but the Liberal government, as we heard today, has no plans to make that a reality.”

The Conservatives haven’t specifically ruled out supporting the government’s bill for pandemic benefits, but they have also not had many of their demands met.

The Liberals have offered some of what the NDP and the Bloc Québécois were seeking, including a fix for low-income seniors who received CERB payments and now face clawbacks to their Guaranteed Income Supplement.

The update puts aside $742.4 million for low-income seniors who may have taken both benefits and now face clawbacks.

The Bloc was also looking for support for cultural workers in Quebec who have not yet been able to return to regular gigs and performances and the government is putting $60 million aside for that.

• Email: rtumilty@postmedia.com | Twitter:

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Minimum wage to hire higher-paid temporary foreign workers set to increase

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OTTAWA – The federal government is expected to boost the minimum hourly wage that must be paid to temporary foreign workers in the high-wage stream as a way to encourage employers to hire more Canadian staff.

Under the current program’s high-wage labour market impact assessment (LMIA) stream, an employer must pay at least the median income in their province to qualify for a permit. A government official, who The Canadian Press is not naming because they are not authorized to speak publicly about the change, said Employment Minister Randy Boissonnault will announce Tuesday that the threshold will increase to 20 per cent above the provincial median hourly wage.

The change is scheduled to come into force on Nov. 8.

As with previous changes to the Temporary Foreign Worker program, the government’s goal is to encourage employers to hire more Canadian workers. The Liberal government has faced criticism for increasing the number of temporary residents allowed into Canada, which many have linked to housing shortages and a higher cost of living.

The program has also come under fire for allegations of mistreatment of workers.

A LMIA is required for an employer to hire a temporary foreign worker, and is used to demonstrate there aren’t enough Canadian workers to fill the positions they are filling.

In Ontario, the median hourly wage is $28.39 for the high-wage bracket, so once the change takes effect an employer will need to pay at least $34.07 per hour.

The government official estimates this change will affect up to 34,000 workers under the LMIA high-wage stream. Existing work permits will not be affected, but the official said the planned change will affect their renewals.

According to public data from Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, 183,820 temporary foreign worker permits became effective in 2023. That was up from 98,025 in 2019 — an 88 per cent increase.

The upcoming change is the latest in a series of moves to tighten eligibility rules in order to limit temporary residents, including international students and foreign workers. Those changes include imposing caps on the percentage of low-wage foreign workers in some sectors and ending permits in metropolitan areas with high unemployment rates.

Temporary foreign workers in the agriculture sector are not affected by past rule changes.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 21, 2024.

— With files from Nojoud Al Mallees

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

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OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Statistics Canada says levels of food insecurity rose in 2022

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.

In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.

The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.

Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.

In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.

It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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