CPPIB down $1 billion on ill-timed Royal Caribbean Cruises investment, filings suggest - Financial Post | Canada News Media
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CPPIB down $1 billion on ill-timed Royal Caribbean Cruises investment, filings suggest – Financial Post

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Canadian retail investors spent the majority of March watching in terror as their portfolios crumbled alongside the stock market, but they weren’t alone: It’s now clear that the professionals who handle billions of dollars in investments for Canada’s largest pension plans were not immune from the pain either.

The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, for one, appears to be sitting on a loss of more than $1 billion on an ill-timed investment in Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd., a cruise line whose share price collapsed following the outbreak of COVID-19, regulatory filings released on Wednesday suggest.

Canada’s largest pension plan, which has more than $420 billion in assets under management, discloses its portfolio of U.S.-listed stocks every quarter to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Those filings show that the pension fund invested heavily in the Miami-based cruise line in the three months ending on Dec. 31, 2019. CPPIB already owned about US$332 million worth of Royal Caribbean stock going into that quarter, but then tripled the number of shares it held. The move made Royal Caribbean one of CPPIB’s Top 10 U.S.-listed equity holdings, and brought the value of the investment to US$1.08 billion.

What CPPIB could not know was that cruise lines were about to play a high-profile role in the spread of COVID-19. Early in March, multiple ships became de-facto petri dishes for the virus with passengers falling ill in droves. Investors quickly dumped the stocks and Royal Caribbean, which was trading at US$135.32 before the pandemic hit, lost 85 per cent of its value.

CPPIB appears to have sold only 472 of the 8,102,492 shares it owned in December, while the overall value of the position plunged from US$1.08 billion to US$260.6 million by March 31. Using the exchange rates on that day, the decline of nearly US$820 million would translate to well over $1 billion CAD.

Because the filings only disclose end-of-quarter holdings, and do not account for trades within the quarter, a precise gain or loss could not be determined. CPPIB declined to comment on the investment.

Keith Ambachtsheer, president of KPA Advisory Services and director emeritus at the International Center for Pension Management, said CPPIB can comfortably hold on to shares of a stock that have seen their value tumble because its investment horizon extends decades into the future.

The pension hasn’t realized a loss because it hasn’t sold all of the shares and CPPIB can afford to be patient and see if they regain their value once concerns over COVID-19 diminish.

“They have a much longer time horizon because the base CPP is still 75 per cent driven by just contributions and 25 per cent by the investment portion,” Ambachtsheer said. “You can’t avoid the reality that even with sustainable cash flows that the capital value is going to fluctuate over time. The luxury you have if you’re a long-term investor is that you don’t care.”

For years, the cruise line industry had been a popular investment among retail and institutional investors alike. Business was booming for the industry, which became a top vacation option for middle-class travellers. It set new records for the number of passengers every year since 2013, according to the Cruise Line International Association. Another record of 32 million passengers was expected in 2020, according to the association’s forecasts, before the pandemic shut down the the industry.

Over the years, cruise stocks have flourished as a result. Royal Caribbean more than doubled between September 2016 and February 2020. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd followed a similar growth pattern. Aside from their growth, they also provided with enticing dividend payments. In 2019, Royal Caribbean’s dividend yield was nearly three per cent. Carnival Corp.’s was closer to five per cent.

CPPIB held smaller investments in Norwegian and Carnival, but has sold thousands of the shares since the beginning of the year.

After trading as low as US$19.25, Royal Caribbean shares have since rebounded somewhat, briefly trading near US$50, before falling off again. They closed Thursday at US$35.15.

• Email: vferreira@nationalpost.com | Twitter:

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Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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