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DeSantis’ feud with Disney puts the future of foreign investment in question

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In the brawl between Ron DeSantis and The Walt Disney Company, it is tough to predict who will prevail, but there is already one unqualified loser: Florida’s economic prospects.

If Disney’s recent decision to pull the plug on a $1B campus in Lake Nona is any indication, we’re likely to see a decline in companies, both foreign and domestic, choosing to locate in Florida. We can also bet on a smaller proportion of the foreign investment dollars coming into the United States and making their way to the Sunshine State.

One role most governors have is as an advocate for foreign trade and foreign direct investment. The U.S. president, an office to which DeSantis aspires, has an even broader mandate: Keep peace and prosperity while being an advocate for foreign policy, trade and foreign direct investment as part of a single strategy with a clear message. DeSantis’ record as governor doesn’t bode well for long-term success in either job.

President Biden’s recent trip to Ireland provides a vivid contrast. Most of the headlines focused on his charm offensive. He made much of America’s and his family’s personal ties to the nation. But Biden also made room for a compelling economic message. On the 25th anniversary of the Good Friday Agreement, he made the stakes clear: Continued peace in Northern Ireland means continued investment from the United States.

On DeSantis’ recent trip to the United Kingdom, meant to resemble a head of state’s visit, the governor’s performance was underwhelming. “Horrendous,” “bored” and “low-wattage,” were just a few descriptions from U.K. business leaders. For a short, first trade mission to a friendly U.S. ally, this is a poor start.

If DeSantis can’t charm businesses abroad and is willing to behave recklessly toward companies at home, such as Disney — Florida’s largest private employer and the reason Orlando Airport brings in record numbers of foreign tourists — what will his leadership do to our place in the global economy?

Culture-warrior posing might turn short-term outrage into votes, but it does not bode well for statesmanship or long-term prosperity. And it is in the long-term where we see what weaponizing state power to score cultural wins looks like.

Take Hungary. DeSantis’ policies have often been compared to those of Viktor Orban, Hungary’s far-right prime minister. Both spoke at CPAC in Florida last year. Both have used anti-LGBTQ rhetoric to win votes, rhetoric that later became law. And under Orban, Hungary has seen a decrease in E.U. funding for domestic projects and is at risk of being seen as a pariah state. This is not a model any U.S. state, much less our nation, will want to emulate.

In Uganda earlier this month, the country’s leadership put the finishing touches on a bill criminalizing gays and lesbians. Thirty-four other sub-Saharan countries have similar laws. When I was head of the Export-Import Bank under President Obama, I had numerous discussions with ambassadors from Africa about how such laws can impede foreign direct investment, hampering the prospects of millions of Africans.

Even in our own country, there are comparisons to be made.

In 1986, when I was president of catalog company Lillian Vernon, founded by my mother, we narrowed down locations for a 500,000-square-foot distribution center from 12 states to two, Virginia and South Carolina. We chose Virginia, in part, because we were uncertain about the prospects in South Carolina for a woman-founded and -led business with an openly gay man as president. The recent far-right turn of South Carolina’s Legislature, with laws targeting drag shows, gender-affirming healthcare and LGBTQ-inclusive education, as well as a legislative attack on reproductive rights, have all, sadly, confirmed our decision.

Elected officials have a choice. They can pander to extremists on vital issues or they can keep to our traditions of open debate and the rule of law. They can make our country competitive by attracting investment, providing economic incentives and strengthening education or they can risk it all to punish their cultural foes.

With economic threats from a possible recession and an ever-more competitive global economy, we don’t have any more time to waste on culture-warrior posturing, a distraction that nevertheless causes real economic and social harm.

Fred P. Hochberg was chairman of the U.S. Export-Import Bank from 2009 to 2017. He is the author of Trade is Not a Four-Letter Word: How Six Everyday Products Make the Case for Trade, published by Simon & Schuster.

Editor’s note: This oped has been updated to include Disney’s Lake Nona decision.

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Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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