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Divide emerges as big banks cope with strained consumers

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TORONTO – Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce reported its third-quarter profit rose compared with a year ago as it set aside less money for bad loans, bucking a trend seen this quarter among other banks.

CIBC said Thursday its net income totalled $1.80 billion or $1.82 per diluted share in for the quarter ended July 31, up from $1.43 billion or $1.47 per diluted share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue totalled $6.60 billion, up from $5.85 billion.

CIBC’s provision for credit losses for the quarter amounted to $483 million, down from $736 million a year earlier.

“While tighter monetary policy has slowed demand for loans in the industry on both sides of the border this year, we’re expecting business activity to pick up through 2025 amid further interest rate relief and stronger economic growth,” said CIBC chief executive Victor Dodig on the bank’s call with analysts.

Dodig said while commercial clients are “feeling more buoyant” after the Bank of Canada slashed its key interest rate in both June and July, consumers are still “more tentative when it comes to borrowing.”

“But with two or three rate cuts and five-year fixed mortgages getting to a better rate, a price point maybe slightly below four per cent, I think you’ll see that sentiment become more solidified, and we would see that as encouraging for the business going forward,” he said.

CIBC chief risk officer Frank Guse added the bank continues to have a “prudent outlook on credit performance overall,” with unemployment remaining a headwind.

Canada’s unemployment rate has steadily risen over the past year and sat at 6.4 per cent as of July, Statistics Canada data shows.

“It’s very hard to say when exactly that will peak and get better. We don’t expect it to go up dramatically and that’s what you see in our outlook and in our provisioning,” said Guse.

“We continue to expect this to be a headwind and then over time, interest rates will have a positive impact and will mitigate some of that pressure, but that will be lagging a little bit as well.”

On an adjusted basis, CIBC said it earned $1.93 per diluted sharein its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.52 per diluted share in the same quarter last year.

Analysts on average had expected an adjusted profit of $1.74 per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

Jefferies analyst John Aiken called it a strong quarter for CIBC, noting it was one of three banks to come in “well ahead of consensus’ expectations” over the three-month period.

With credit quality being the main focus during this round of bank earnings,Royal Bank of Canada stood out in part because it set aside much less money than expected for potentially bad loans.

Meanwhile, BMO saw its stock under pressure because its provisions came in worse than expected for the second quarter in a row.

“The combination of prolonged high interest rates, economic uncertainty and changing consumer preferences had an acute impact,” said BMO chief executive Darryl White as he explained how the bank didn’t meet its own expectations.

While banks saw fortunes swing up and down on the credit question, they were generally united in warning that the picture could still worsen in the quarters ahead.

“We still see a consumer who faces a lot of headwinds with the current rate environment,” said RBC chief risk officer Graeme Hepworth, noting how a wave of pending mortgage renewals and rising unemployment will create more stress ahead.

And while the focus was largely on credit, TD Bank Group stood out for its U.S. regulatory issues. The bank announced it was setting aside US$2.6 billion, on top of the US$450 million the previous quarter, to deal with the financial impact of investigations into the shortcomings of its anti-money laundering program.

Scotiabank analyst Meny Grauman highlighted CIBC’s reduced money for bad loans, calling it “a very positive development in its own right given the stress that CIBC saw in its U.S. office portfolio last year and into this year.”

CIBC’s Canadian personal and business banking unit earned $628 million in its latest quarter, up from $499 million in the same quarter last year, helped by higher revenue and a lower provision for credit losses, partially offset by higher expenses.

The bank’s Canadian commercial banking and wealth management segment earned $468 million, up from $467 million a year earlier, while its U.S. commercial banking and wealth management business earned $215 million, up from $73 million a year ago.

CIBC’s capital markets and direct financial services unit earned $388 million for the third quarter, down from $494 million in the same quarter last year.

The bank’s corporate and other unit reported a profit of $96 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $101 million a year ago.

— With files from Ian Bickis

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 29, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:CM, TSX:RY, TSX:BNS, TSX:BMO, TSX:TD)

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Ready for liftoff: Why Canada’s telecom sector sees opportunity in satellite internet

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TORONTO – When a severe tropical cyclone hit New Zealand in February 2023, it left thousands on the country’s North Island without internet or cellphone service for nearly a week, as major roads carrying vital fibre optic cables were washed out.

Of residents who managed to retain an internet connection amid Cyclone Gabrielle, many relied on a lifeline that didn’t even exist just a few years earlier: SpaceX’s satellite internet service known as Starlink.

The company, which provides internet service through a constellation of thousands of satellites orbiting the globe, has seen significant uptake in New Zealand since launching there in 2021 — especially among rural communities — which helped keep users connected after the storm.

Bronwyn Howell, a telecommunications policy researcher at New Zealand’s Victoria University of Wellington, said 14 per cent of rural households in New Zealandare connected to satellite, almost solely driven by Starlink.

“Satellite is the gift that keeps on giving,” said Howell.

“The game is changing.”

The technology seems poised for liftoff in Canada, too.

As the future of connectivity via satellite continues to take shape, industry watchers say its growth could have significant implications for solving resiliency challenges, improving connectivity in rural and remote communities, and increasing competition in Canada’s telecom sector.

Academics, industry executives and regulatory officials gathered in Toronto on Oct. 16 for a conference hosted by the Ivey Business School, which delved into the role that satellite technology can play in Canadian telecommunications.

“Satellite is not a niche technology. It’s not just the technology that fills in some of the hard-to-reach parts, it’s a technology that cuts across the entire telecom agenda,” CRTC vice-chairperson Adam Scott said during the conference.

“The better satellite technology becomes the more attractive an option it could be to customers. Maybe not for everyone, but for some, including some who are not accustomed to having much competition or choice at all.”

Howell said satellite’s introduction in New Zealand has marked “the end of natural monopoly” for connectivity in rural communities.

“Now, in fact, many of the rural areas have better competition than some of the peri-urban and suburban areas, because they have a real and viable choice of satellite service that works,” she said.

“The strategic options are now much wider.”

In June, the federal government launched a consultation into expanding wireless services through satellite technology, with Industry Minister François-Philippe Champagne hailing it as “the next frontier where Canadians will be able to use their current phone … to have absolute connectivity.”

Champagne also said in an interview at the time that with natural disasters on the rise, satellite connections could serve as a backup when traditional networks go down due to power outages.

The government’s study is set to wrap up this month, with new regulatory rules expected to be announced in the coming months and in place by April 2025, said Andre Arbour, director general of telecommunications and internet policy at Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada.

“It can be invaluable, and maybe the only option in the wake of some type of natural disaster when the traditional infrastructure is damaged and being repaired,” he said.

In the meantime, some Canadian carriers are already working on development.

Rogers Communications Inc. announced partnerships last year with SpaceX and Lynk Global to deliver satellite-to-phone connectivity across Canada. By last December, Rogers said it has passed a key milestone by completing a test call using Lynk’s low-earth orbit satellites and its own wireless spectrum.

Telus Corp. also said it successfully trialled the technology in late 2023 in partnership with Montreal-based telecom provider TerreStar Solutions Inc. and non-terrestrial network service provider Skylo.

Last month, Ottawa announced a $2.14-billion loan to satellite operator Telesat to help that company build its broadband satellite constellation, called Lightspeed. The government said Lightspeed would enable people in the most remote parts of the country, including in Indigenous communities, mines and forestry companies, to access cheaper, more reliable internet.

The first of an initial 198 satellites is scheduled to launch in 2026.

Michèle Beck, Telesat’s senior vice-president of Canadian sales, said the technology is “creating a level of resiliency that we’ve never seen before.”

“It can be used anywhere in Canada, as long as you have an antenna to land in. It’s fungible,” she said.

“You can configure it where you need it at any particular time. It’s an insurance that would allow you then to provide that continuity where you need it.”

She highlighted another advantage of the technology when it comes to trying to prevent mass outages — individual satellites are spread out across a constellation.

“You don’t have a big fat target in the sky,” said Beck.

“You’ve got many, many satellites creating this network and if one or two gets taken out or denied, jammed, you still have hundreds more to complete the links.”

In Northern Canada, where some remote communities have a history of connectivity challenges such as slow or unreliable speeds, high prices and data caps, many have pointed to satellites as a potential solution, said Rob McMahon, associate professor of media and technology at the University of Alberta.

Speaking at the Ivey conference, McMahon shared research surrounding customer experiences from two communities in the Northwest Territories, which showed Starlink users tended to report fewer hiccups than customers of other broadband services.

But McMahon noted limitations to the technology. Starlink, in particular, currently has a limited customer base — it became available in Canada in 2021 — and may see declines in speed or quality of service as uptake grows, he said.

Consumer costs are also still relatively high, with the company charging $140 per month for service and $499 for hardware in Canada.

“Reliability is somewhat unclear. There’s no local technicians to provide support if the service goes down, for example,” said McMahon.

Arbour added satellite shouldn’t be seen as a full substitute for 4G or 5G communications. He said the departmenthas received complaints about “dead zones” where satellite internet doesn’t seem to work, even in centralized locations.

“It’s not in the middle of Hudson Bay,” he said. “It’s not too far from the (Greater Toronto Area), actually.”

Howell said those concerns echo some of the lessons learned thus far from New Zealand’s experience with satellite.

She said governments and regulators shouldn’t abandon their focus on improving service of traditional broadband networks in order to see satellite take off.

“There are going to be very different options created for a handful of consumers at the geographic periphery of society, but it doesn’t take away the importance of all of the other stuff that we’ve all been working on for the last so many years,” she said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 27, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:RCI.B, TSX:T)



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Homeless tent encampment returns to Montreal thoroughfare after it was dismantled

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Homeless tent encampment returns to Montreal thoroughfare after it was dismantled

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Popular Banff landmark being moved |

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A dark wooden Banff sign that has been popular with visitors seeking selfies at the national park is being moved. A town official says the amount of traffic the sign attracts is becoming a danger to pedestrians and a headache for motorists. (Oct. 27, 2024)



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