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Do happier workers lead to better investment returns?

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Why does bad management even exist? Not only does it make you miserable: It makes you no money either.

Bad management leads to bad morale and bad results. Anyone who’s worked for a badly run organization has seen this in action. And fresh evidence comes from some amazing new research on mutual-fund companies from Elias Ohneberg and Pedro Saffi at Cambridge University’s Judge business school.

In a nutshell, they found that if the employees at a fund company are unhappy, the company’s mutual funds are likely to produce poor investment results. If the employees are happy, there’s a good chance the funds will perform really well.

“Mutual-fund managers [who] work for companies with higher employee satisfaction perform better,” they say.

Saffi tells me that the performance gap between funds at the happiest companies and those at the unhappiest works out at around 1.44 percentage points a year.

In investment terms, that is huge.

Read: Are you nearing retirement? Here’s how to transition your portfolio from growth to income.

This is the result of a deep and detailed analysis. The pair looked at 437 mutual-fund companies managing a total of 3,266 funds. They studied them over a full 10-year period, from 2009 to 2019.

How did they measure employee satisfaction? They looked at all the reviews that staff posted at Glassdoor.com, a website on which employees give job seekers the inside dope on what it’s actually like to work somewhere. They focused specifically on employees who had job titles relevant to mutual-fund performance, typically meaning titles related to research, trading and fund management.

And then they looked at the performance of the companies’ funds against their benchmarks.

Just a 1-point increase on the 5-point scale of average employee satisfaction leads to 0.36 percentage point in “alpha” or higher investment performance, when adjusted for things like investment style and objectives.

This was only true when they measured the satisfaction of employees working on asset management jobs, and not for those in the rest of the company, they found.

Do the funds perform better because the employees are happier — or are the employees happier because the funds are performing better? Saffi tells me he and Ohneberg can’t be sure, but they ran a clever test to see if they could find out. They looked at mutual funds at fund companies that were taken over by happier companies. The result? Those funds ended up doing better — much better.

It’s a heroic research study. And it’s intuitive. With apologies to Tolstoy, who once wrote that “every unhappy family is unhappy in its own way,” unhappy organizations tend to share a lot of similarities, including “busywork,” bad processes and self-serving bosses who are deeply cunning morons. The employees work longer hours but achieve less. A lot of energy is wasted on internal conflict.

The question is why these organizations persist. As Ohneberg and Saffi show, they are bad for business as well as bad for everything else.

Personally, I blame management consultants. (I used to be one.) They help keep client firms alive that should be allowed to die.

Yet Gallup, after surveying 112,000 organizations in 96 countries worldwide, reports that 60% of people are emotionally detached at work and 19% are miserable. In the U.S. and Canada, 50% said they experienced “a lot” of stress during the workday and 41% a lot of worry. Just 33%, one in three, said they felt engaged.

Oh, and the U.S. came out on top of all the regions in the world. Just 14% of European workers felt engaged at work. A third of workers in India and adjacent countries felt a lot of anger during the workday.

Gallup estimates — guesses — that low employee engagement costs the world $7.8 trillion annually, lowering GDP by 11%. Well, maybe. But, according to the new research, it costs money.

Ohneberg and Saffi don’t say which fund companies have the happiest employees. But before investing in a mutual fund, it might be worth checking the employee ratings at Glassdoor.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite down more than 200 points, U.S. stock markets also fall

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 150 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 150 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in technology, financial and energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also pushed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 171.41 points at 23,298.39.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 278.37 points at 41,369.79. The S&P 500 index was up 38.17 points at 5,630.35, while the Nasdaq composite was up 177.15 points at 17,733.18.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.19 cents US compared with 74.23 cents US on Wednesday.

The October crude oil contract was up US$1.75 at US$76.27 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.10 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$18.70 at US$2,556.50 an ounce and the December copper contract was down less than a penny at US$4.22 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 29, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Investment

Crypto Market Bloodbath Amid Broader Economic Concerns

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The crypto market has recently experienced a significant downturn, mirroring broader risk asset sell-offs. Over the past week, Bitcoin’s price dropped by 24%, reaching $53,000, while Ethereum plummeted nearly a third to $2,340. Major altcoins also suffered, with Cardano down 27.7%, Solana 36.2%, Dogecoin 34.6%, XRP 23.1%, Shiba Inu 30.1%, and BNB 25.7%.

The severe downturn in the crypto market appears to be part of a broader flight to safety, triggered by disappointing economic data. A worse-than-expected unemployment report on Friday marked the beginning of a technical recession, as defined by the Sahm Rule. This rule identifies a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least half a percentage point from its lowest point in the past year.

Friday’s figures met this threshold, signaling an abrupt economic downshift. Consequently, investors sought safer assets, leading to declines in major stock indices: the S&P 500 dropped 2%, the Nasdaq 2.5%, and the Dow 1.5%. This trend continued into Monday with further sell-offs overseas.

The crypto market’s rapid decline raises questions about its role as either a speculative asset or a hedge against inflation and recession. Despite hopes that crypto could act as a risk hedge, the recent crash suggests it remains a speculative investment.

Since the downturn, the crypto market has seen its largest three-day sell-off in nearly a year, losing over $500 billion in market value. According to CoinGlass data, this bloodbath wiped out more than $1 billion in leveraged positions within the last 24 hours, including $365 million in Bitcoin and $348 million in Ether.

Khushboo Khullar of Lightning Ventures, speaking to Bloomberg, argued that the crypto sell-off is part of a broader liquidity panic as traders rush to cover margin calls. Khullar views this as a temporary sell-off, presenting a potential buying opportunity.

Josh Gilbert, an eToro market analyst, supports Khullar’s perspective, suggesting that the expected Federal Reserve rate cuts could benefit crypto assets. “Crypto assets have sold off, but many investors will see an opportunity. We see Federal Reserve rate cuts, which are now likely to come sharper than expected, as hugely positive for crypto assets,” Gilbert told Coindesk.

Despite the recent volatility, crypto continues to make strides toward mainstream acceptance. Notably, Morgan Stanley will allow its advisors to offer Bitcoin ETFs starting Wednesday. This follows more than half a year after the introduction of the first Bitcoin ETF. The investment bank will enable over 15,000 of its financial advisors to sell BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC. This move is seen as a significant step toward the “mainstreamization” of crypto, given the lengthy regulatory and company processes in major investment banks.

The recent crypto market downturn highlights its volatility and the broader economic concerns affecting all risk assets. While some analysts see the current situation as a temporary sell-off and a buying opportunity, others caution against the speculative nature of crypto. As the market evolves, its role as a mainstream alternative asset continues to grow, marked by increasing institutional acceptance and new investment opportunities.

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