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Edmonton’s real estate moves toward buyer’s market

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Home resales continue to decline, latest numbers show, as Edmonton’s once red-hot real estate market is slipping away from favouring sellers as it did earlier in the year.
“It’s getting to be more of a buyer’s market versus at the start of the year when it was a full-on seller’s market,” says Paul Gravelle, chair of Realtors Association of Edmonton.
Recent statistics from September show 1,581 sales occurred, down from 1,876 last year — a drop of nearly 16 per cent. Activity is also down month over month about 12 per cent.

Average prices, which had previously been rising modestly year over year, have also started to lose momentum. Last month, the average price of a home was about $375,000 in the Greater Edmonton Area, down about 0.7 per cent year over year.

Still, single-family detached home average prices gained slightly to $463,051, up about two per cent from the same month last year. Yet days on the market are increasing even for the most in-demand housing segment, 44 versus 38 days in September last year.

Local realtor Drew Carlson notes the market “is definitely softening and people have to price their homes quite competitively.”

This marks a change from spring when sellers could price their homes higher and still see multiple offers, says the real estate agent with Drew Carlson Real Estate Team.

“People who were hunting in the $450,000 range are now not,” he says. “They’re cap is about $380,000 and so they are now looking at a duplex opposed to a single-family home.”

The higher mortgage rates are dampening demand, but they are not the main obstacle, Gravelle says. “The problem is the stress test.”

With the Bank of Canada hiking rates since March more than 300 basis points, increasing mortgages dramatically, most buyers now have to qualify under the stress test at their offered rate plus two percentage points, which is now more than six per cent.

In contrast, they had to qualify previously at 5.25 per cent, the Bank of Canada benchmark five-year fixed rate mortgage, at the start of the year.

The rising borrowing costs have pushed many buyers into lower priced segments, says Bev Hasinoff, realtor with Liv Real Estate in Edmonton.

“That is what we are seeing with apartment condos,” she says. “With rising mortgage rates changing how much people can qualify for, they are looking at affordable alternatives.”

Still, Gravelle says condo fees can be an impediment to growth in the segment. Even though the average price of a condo apartment in Edmonton was about $220,000 last month, amid 459 sales, prices still declined year over year by about two per cent while sales were down about one per cent.

“Not only do you have to account for the mortgage cost, but there are condo fees that can be about $700 a month, which roughly equates to $100,000 in reduced borrowing,” he says.

Still, a silver lining is buyers now have more choice at lower prices than at the market peak in spring.

“The advantage for buyers is that sellers realize they need to become more competitive with more properties to select from,” Hasinoff says, noting that inevitably will involve lower listing prices.

Yet unlike other markets in Canada, Gravelle notes Edmonton’s market remains in a good position buoyed by strong migration and jobs growth.

“We have a healthy economy with people moving here needing homes, which will help drive our market.”

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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