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EIA Sees WTI Crude Averaging $44 In 2021 – OilPrice.com

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EIA Sees WTI Crude Averaging $44 In 2021 | OilPrice.com

Charles Kennedy

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WTI Crude oil prices are expected to average $44.24 per barrel next year, the EIA said in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), with the forecast price not much higher than the $42 spot price early on Wednesday.  

This year, WTI Crude prices are expected to average $38.24 per barrel, according to the EIA, which revised down slightly its estimates for the U.S. benchmark and for the international Brent benchmark compared to its estimates in the October STEO.  

In the November STEO this week, the EIA sees Brent Crude prices averaging $40.61 in 2020 and $46.59 next year. This compares to estimates of $41.19 for this year and $47.07 a barrel for 2021 in the October STEO. The October outlook also had higher price projections for WTI compared to the November forecasts. The October average estimate for 2020 was $38.76 a barrel, while the forecast for 2021 was $44.72.

EIA sees the record high global cases of COVID-19 and the return of Libyan oil sooner than market participants had expected as the main headwinds to oil prices now. The administration expects global inventories to continue falling in the coming months, but “high global oil inventory levels and surplus crude oil production capacity will limit upward pressure on oil prices,” it said.

Brent prices will likely stay near $40 a barrel through the end of 2020, the EIA said, and warned of downside risks.

“Uncertainty about responses to increasing COVID-19 cases presents downside risk to EIA’s global oil demand forecast for the fourth quarter of 2020 and first half of 2021,” according to the EIA, which also cut its estimate for global oil consumption between Q4 and mid-2021 by 400,000 bpd compared to the estimate from October.

“The pace of oil demand recovery will affect not only expectations of petroleum inventory withdrawals but also could affect planned oil supply increases” from the OPEC+ group, whose production “will generally be tailored to match the pace of global oil demand recovery,” the EIA said.

By Charles Kennedy for Oilprice.com

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Netflix’s subscriber growth slows as gains from password-sharing crackdown subside

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Netflix on Thursday reported that its subscriber growth slowed dramatically during the summer, a sign the huge gains from the video-streaming service’s crackdown on freeloading viewers is tapering off.

The 5.1 million subscribers that Netflix added during the July-September period represented a 42% decline from the total gained during the same time last year. Even so, the company’s revenue and profit rose at a faster pace than analysts had projected, according to FactSet Research.

Netflix ended September with 282.7 million worldwide subscribers — far more than any other streaming service.

The Los Gatos, California, company earned $2.36 billion, or $5.40 per share, a 41% increase from the same time last year. Revenue climbed 15% from a year ago to $9.82 billion. Netflix management predicted the company’s revenue will rise at the same 15% year-over-year pace during the October-December period, slightly than better than analysts have been expecting.

The strong financial performance in the past quarter coupled with the upbeat forecast eclipsed any worries about slowing subscriber growth. Netflix’s stock price surged nearly 4% in extended trading after the numbers came out, building upon a more than 40% increase in the company’s shares so far this year.

The past quarter’s subscriber gains were the lowest posted in any three-month period since the beginning of last year. That drop-off indicates Netflix is shifting to a new phase after reaping the benefits from a ban on the once-rampant practice of sharing account passwords that enabled an estimated 100 million people watch its popular service without paying for it.

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In a letter to shareholder, Netflix reiterated previous cautionary notes about its expansion into advertising, though the low-priced option including commercials has become its fastest growing segment.

“We have much more work to do improving our offering for advertisers, which will be a priority over the next few years,” Netflix management wrote in the letter.

As part of its evolution, Netflix has been increasingly supplementing its lineup of scripted TV series and movies with live programming, such as a Labor Day spectacle featuring renowned glutton Joey Chestnut setting a world record for gorging on hot dogs in a showdown with his longtime nemesis Takeru Kobayashi.

Netflix will be trying to attract more viewer during the current quarter with a Nov. 15 fight pitting former heavyweight champion Mike Tyson against Jake Paul, a YouTube sensation turned boxer, and two National Football League games on Christmas Day.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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