A leading economist who formerly set Israel’s fiscal policy escalated his rhetoric Wednesday against planned government moves to weaken the judiciary, impassionedly warning they could leave the economy in shambles and dismissing the current attempts by the coalition to calm the mounting economic concerns as “an insult to people’s intelligence.”
Jacob Frenkel, who headed the Bank of Israel from 1991 to 2000 and until recently chaired JP Morgan Chase International, lamented that each day of the government’s legislative blitz made the situation worse, as Israel’s international image is dealt a serious blow and major companies and investors move elsewhere.
“It should worry us very much,” Frenkel told Channel 12 news when asked about the weakening of the Israeli shekel (NIS), which over the past month has lost almost 10 percent of its value relative to the US dollar.
“The [value of the] shekel is a reflection of the reality behind it. We have a situation of total uncertainty — economic uncertainty, political uncertainty and institutional uncertainty, which affects all components of the economy: Consumers, manufacturers, investors, the ordinary citizen,” he said. “And this uncertainty is homemade, it isn’t an external shock.
“We’ve had an amazing run with years of stability, and with one fell swoop, with irresponsible decisions, all that can be damaged.”
Get The Times of Israel’s Daily Edition by email and never miss our top stories
Frenkel has repeatedly sounded the alarm over the past month, but none of his past remarks were as blunt as those in Wednesday’s TV interview.
He was asked about the recent call by Foreign Minister Eli Cohen on the government to intervene in the Bank of Israel’s work after its Governor Amir Yaron once again increased the interest rate, to 4.25%, the eighth time it has been hiked in 10 months in attempts to rein in inflation.
Bank of Israel Governor Amir Yaron speaks during a press conference at the Bank of Israel in Jerusalem, January 2, 2023. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)
Cohen’s urging of government intervention destabilized matters even further, forcing Netanyahu to issue three statements in as many days aimed at promising that the Bank of Israel will remain independent.
Advertisement
“I thought this argument was behind us,” Frenkel said. “Today, someone questions the [central bank] governor’s authority? We have inflation in Israel, and the government decided it wants stability in prices. The primary tool to achieve that is the interest rate, and the governor must be allowed to work. Every noise of this type… increases the inflationary pressure and will force the governor to continue using the interest rate tool.
“The main question is whether we want to be a proper country, with separate authorities that have roles, responsibilities and professionals — and not everything is political,” Frenkel said heatedly.
The legal overhaul would grant the government total control over the appointment of judges, including to the High Court, all but eliminate the High Court’s ability to review and strike down legislation, and allow politicians to appoint — and fire — their own legal advisers.
A broad and vocal chorus of criticism stretching from the judiciary through civil society and the business community has warned that the overhaul moves will essentially neuter Israel’s democratic system of checks and balances. Meanwhile, local officials and foreign allies have expressed worries that the moves could leave minority rights unprotected, and the business community has warned that the turmoil could sour the investment environment in Israel, heaping more pressure on the government to enter talks and water down the plans.
Former Bank of Israel Governor Jacob Frenkel, left, and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at a press conference at the Knesset in Jerusalem, June 24, 2013. (Miriam Alster / Flash90)
Asked about the impact of the process on the country’s economy, Frenkel said: “It endangers it, but it’s not too late yet. We can stop the carriage from going downhill. But every day, the situation worsens, because our image is suffering very serious blows.”
Frenkel said that not only are major companies and investors increasingly moving their money outside Israel, but the country is also losing its human capital, and with it, critical knowledge in various fields.
Advertisement
“For years we were proud that we are a ‘startup nation.’ Why endanger that?” he said, adding that the expedited manner in which the government is advancing its sweeping reforms gives the distinct impression of “underhanded opportunism.”
Asked about widespread claims by members and backers of the government that the economic scare is being purposely created and fanned by political rivals, Frenkel became even more impassioned, saying the question wasn’t about the legitimacy of a democratically elected government, but about calming down large parts of the public that genuinely fear its moves will harm the economy.
“If the public isn’t convinced, please convince it. And if the public is right, please listen to it,” he said, citing President Isaac Herzog’s plea to halt the legislative process and hold negotiations to forge a widely accepted judicial reform. “How can you so blatantly degrade the president’s request?”
President Isaac Herzog delivers a message to the nation from his office in Jerusalem, February 12, 2023. (Haim Zach/GPO)
“It isn’t right to accuse anyone who asks a question of having a political agenda. Politicians must understand that investors are independent and are capable of managing their affairs without the government,” he said. “Not everything is political. People have real patriotism, investors and Jewish communities in Israel and abroad care about the country, and they don’t want to see destruction.
“Please wake up, before the country goes downhill. There is a good chance of reversing the trend because the infrastructure is strong. We have much to lose, and we shouldn’t lose our compass.
“People have intelligence — it is an insult to their intelligence to come and tell them: ‘Trust us,’ when they don’t trust them. Please, prove it.”
Netanyahu didn’t directly respond to Frenkel’s interview, but during a cabinet meeting Thursday he rejected the mounting economic concerns voiced by him and many other prominent critics.
“There are some who are trying to destabilize Israel’s economy and to create hysteria for political reasons, hysteria that has no ground in reality,” he claimed during the meeting, which discussed the upcoming state budget.
“Israel’s economy is strong and it will keep getting stronger. Thanks to our power, thanks to the independence of the Bank of Israel, which will be preserved, and thanks to the responsible and active economic policy we are leading. Those who sow hysteria and fear will be proven wrong.”
TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index posted modest gains Monday, while U.S. markets also rose near the end of the day to kick off the week in the green.
Stocks were down earlier in the afternoon in part because of comments from U.S. Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell, said Anish Chopra, managing director at Portfolio Management Corp.
Powell said Monday that more interest rate cuts are coming, but not quickly.
“We’re looking at it as a process that will play out over some time,” he said at a conference in Nashville, Tenn.
“It’ll depend on the data, the speed at which we actually go.”
The Fed isn’t in a hurry to cut its key interest rate, said Chopra, as it weighs the upside risks to inflation and the downside risks to the job market.
“Inflation could go up, it could go down, but they believe that if the data remains consistent with what they’ve seen, there will be two more rate cuts coming, but they will be smaller,” said Chopra.
Though the central bank has already signalled it expects to make two more quarter-percentage-point cuts this year, market watchers had been hoping for another outsized cut before the end of the year, he said.
“So I think Powell’s comments from this afternoon disappointed the markets and investors in the sense that if they were anticipating bigger rate cuts, that’s not the news they got.”
In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 17.15 points at 42,330.15. The S&P 500 index was up 24.31 points at 5,762.48, while the Nasdaq composite was up 69.58 points at 18,189.17.
The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 41.31 points at 23,998.13.
At the end of this week, markets will get the latest report on the U.S. labour market, perhaps the most closely watched economic data right now after a couple of softer-than-expected reports prompted fears that higher rates were having too hard an impact on jobs.
If the report is weaker than expected this time, that could change the Fed’s thinking around its interest rate trajectory, said Chopra.
However, the Fed’s next rate decision is in November, he noted, so there’s still another labour report after this week’s release for the central bank to weigh.
Overseas, Asian markets had a frenzied start to the week, with Japanese markets down 4.8 per cent while stocks in China saw their best day in almost 16 years.
Japanese markets sank because investors are questioning whether the new government will be supportive of higher interest rates, said Chopra.
Meanwhile, Chinese markets rallied on the news of more stimulus to the country’s economy, he said.
The Canadian dollar traded for 73.93 cents US, according to XE.com, compared with 74.08 cents US on Friday.
The November crude oil contract was down a penny at US$68.17 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was up two cents at US$2.92 per mmBTU.
The December gold contract was down US$8.70 at US$2,659.40 an ounceand the December copper contract was down five cents at US$4.55 a pound.
— With files from The Associated Press
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 30, 2024.
TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index fell in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in base metal stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed to start the trading week.
The S&P/TSX composite index was down 44.33 points at 23,912.49.
In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 101.56 points at 42,211.44. The S&P 500 index was down 0.67 points at 5,737.50, while the Nasdaq composite was up 3.97 points at 18,123.56.
The Canadian dollar traded for 74.04 cents US compared with 74.08 cents US on Friday.
The November crude oil contract was up 66 cents at US$68.84 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was up two cents at US$2.93 per mmBTU.
The December gold contract was down US$14.90 at US$2,653.20 an ounce and the December copper contract was down seven cents at US$4.53 a pound.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 30, 2024.
VANCOUVER – Canada’s labour minister says striking grain terminal workers in Metro Vancouver and their employers have reached a tentative labour deal.
Steven MacKinnon announced the agreement between Grain Workers Union Local 333 and the Vancouver Terminal Elevators’ Association in a post on social media platform X, but provided no other details.
The union confirmed the tentative deal in a statement on Facebook, saying its members will conduct the ratification vote by Oct. 4.
The notification from the union also says picket lines were to be removed Saturday and members will return to work pending ratification, ending the strike that had paralyzed grain shipments from Metro Vancouver’s port.
The dispute had previously led to picket lines going up at six Metro Vancouver grain terminals on Tuesday as about 600 workers went on strike.
Canadian grain producers had urged a resolution in the dispute, noting about 52 per cent of the country’s grains moved through Metro Vancouver terminals last year en route to being exported.
Farmers say the strike, happening during crop harvesting, would result in as much as $35 million per day in lost exports.
The Western Grain Elevator Association said on Friday that talks had stalled after two days of negotiations this week, with the employer saying it had increased its offers to settle “outstanding issues.”
The employers group had said they’ve reached the end of their “financial ability to conclude an agreement that industry can absorb” with the last offer, and it was up to the federally appointed mediator to report the results to MacKinnon for the next steps.
MacKinnon says in his tweet that both parties put in “the work necessary to get a deal done.”
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 28, 2024.