Feds' climate change plan could pose 'significant new risk to economy', says superintendent - Toronto Sun | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Economy

Feds' climate change plan could pose 'significant new risk to economy', says superintendent – Toronto Sun

Published

 on


The Federal Cabinet’s climate change plan could pose a “significant new risk” to the economy if it costs employment in transport, utilities and energy sector says Canada’s Superintendent of Financial Institutions.

During the Annual Review of Insolvency Law conference held Feb. 7 in Vancouver, Jeremy Rudin said Canadians have “very little reliable information” on the impact of any sharp reduction in greenhouse gas emissions,” as reported by Blacklock’s Reporter.

“We need to ask ourselves, even if the financial system is prepared to navigate through a severe and prolonged recession, how might it still be unprepared for a transition to a low greenhouse gas emission economy?” Rudin told lawyers in attendance. “I think answering that question will be our principal challenge in addressing the prudential implications of climate change in the years ahead.

“We will have more to say about our work in this area as the year progresses,” Rudin said, without further elaboration.

The Superintendent of Financial Institutions said while issues such as wildfires or flooding posed a liability risk to insurers, the “impact on the insurance industry will be significant but manageable.”

However, Rudin cited unknown “transition risks” as Cabinet attempts to meet its greenhouse gas emission targets.

“Transition risk arises from efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions rather than from changing climate itself,” he said. “These risks will result principally from the policies governments have or will put in place to reduce emissions. It is also possible that transition risks will arise from changes in investor or consumer sentiment.”

Rudin said the first round will be the impact of the transition on those industries that will see its activities and possibly entire business models strongly and directly disrupted. He said industries such as fossil fuel production, electricity generation and transportation are likely on the list and there’s a possibility that there will be others.

He suggests the second round of transition risk will come as the decline in profits and employment in the disrupted industries “ripples through the broader economy.”

“The impact on the economy need not be all negative … but at present we have very little reliable information about the second-round impact of the transition as so much depends on future policy decisions and yet-to-be-proven technologies,” Rudin said. “And we have to recognize we won’t have much reliable evidence until we are well into the transition. So the prudent thing to do is to prepare for the possibility that the overall economic impact of the transition will be sharply negative, at least for some time.”

Let’s block ads! (Why?)



Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Energy stocks help lift S&P/TSX composite, U.S. stock markets also up

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was higher in late-morning trading, helped by strength in energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also moved up.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 34.91 points at 23,736.98.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 178.05 points at 41,800.13. The S&P 500 index was up 28.38 points at 5,661.47, while the Nasdaq composite was up 133.17 points at 17,725.30.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.56 cents US compared with 73.57 cents US on Monday.

The November crude oil contract was up 68 cents at US$69.70 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up three cents at US$2.40 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$7.80 at US$2,601.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.28 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Canada’s inflation rate hits 2% target, reaches lowest level in more than three years

Published

 on

 

OTTAWA – Canada’s inflation rate fell to two per cent last month, finally hitting the Bank of Canada’s target after a tumultuous battle with skyrocketing price growth.

The annual inflation rate fell from 2.5 per cent in July to reach the lowest level since February 2021.

Statistics Canada’s consumer price index report on Tuesday attributed the slowdown in part to lower gasoline prices.

Clothing and footwear prices also decreased on a month-over-month basis, marking the first decline in the month of August since 1971 as retailers offered larger discounts to entice shoppers amid slowing demand.

The Bank of Canada’s preferred core measures of inflation, which strip out volatility in prices, also edged down in August.

The marked slowdown in price growth last month was steeper than the 2.1 per cent annual increase forecasters were expecting ahead of Tuesday’s release and will likely spark speculation of a larger interest rate cut next month from the Bank of Canada.

“Inflation remains unthreatening and the Bank of Canada should now focus on trying to stimulate the economy and halting the upward climb in the unemployment rate,” wrote CIBC senior economist Andrew Grantham.

Benjamin Reitzes, managing director of Canadian rates and macro strategist at BMO, said Tuesday’s figures “tilt the scales” slightly in favour of more aggressive cuts, though he noted the Bank of Canada will have one more inflation reading before its October rate announcement.

“If we get another big downside surprise, calls for a 50 basis-point cut will only grow louder,” wrote Reitzes in a client note.

The central bank began rapidly hiking interest rates in March 2022 in response to runaway inflation, which peaked at a whopping 8.1 per cent that summer.

The central bank increased its key lending rate to five per cent and held it at that level until June 2024, when it delivered its first rate cut in four years.

A combination of recovered global supply chains and high interest rates have helped cool price growth in Canada and around the world.

Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem recently signalled that the central bank is ready to increase the size of its interest rate cuts, if inflation or the economy slow by more than expected.

Its key lending rate currently stands at 4.25 per cent.

CIBC is forecasting the central bank will cut its key rate by two percentage points between now and the middle of next year.

The U.S. Federal Reserve is also expected on Wednesday to deliver its first interest rate cut in four years.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Federal money and sales taxes help pump up New Brunswick budget surplus

Published

 on

 

FREDERICTON – New Brunswick‘s finance minister says the province recorded a surplus of $500.8 million for the fiscal year that ended in March.

Ernie Steeves says the amount — more than 10 times higher than the province’s original $40.3-million budget projection for the 2023-24 fiscal year — was largely the result of a strong economy and population growth.

The report of a big surplus comes as the province prepares for an election campaign, which will officially start on Thursday and end with a vote on Oct. 21.

Steeves says growth of the surplus was fed by revenue from the Harmonized Sales Tax and federal money, especially for health-care funding.

Progressive Conservative Premier Blaine Higgs has promised to reduce the HST by two percentage points to 13 per cent if the party is elected to govern next month.

Meanwhile, the province’s net debt, according to the audited consolidated financial statements, has dropped from $12.3 billion in 2022-23 to $11.8 billion in the most recent fiscal year.

Liberal critic René Legacy says having a stronger balance sheet does not eliminate issues in health care, housing and education.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version