Former chief city planner Jennifer Keesmaat on the impact of the pandemic on the real estate market - Post City | Canada News Media
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Former chief city planner Jennifer Keesmaat on the impact of the pandemic on the real estate market – Post City

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Jennifer Keesmaat is the City of Toronto’s former chief city planner. Recently, she partnered with real estate developer Jason Marks to launch Markee Developments. The new group’s first project is Tyndale Green, a purpose-built rental project at the site of Tyndale University near Bayview and Finch. Post City spoke with Keesmaat about the impact of the pandemic on the real estate market.

How has the pandemic changed development?

I do think one of the lasting legacies of that is a broader recognition that, no matter what twists and turns happen in the broader economy, if we’re not building purpose-built, affordable rental housing, there’s going to be a segment of the population that is excluded from the housing market.

Has this impacted affordability?

Back in March, everyone was, like, does this mean it’s going to be easier to access affordable housing? Or is it going to be worse? And one of the things that we’ve discovered is that, in fact, anything that isn’t part of the higher end of the market is still completely detached from wages. We would like to see the average rent to be in keeping with the average wage. That’s how you know you have some stability. But that hasn’t gotten any better. In fact, if anything, it’s gotten even worse. So I think a lasting impact for me is a recognition that, OK, no matter what kind of shifts we see in the global economy, it’s almost like affordable rental and rental in particular is in its own little bubble. And we need to be thinking about it as something that needs to be provided, particularly for essential workers.

Any second thoughts to planning a rental community?

I don’t think that’s a long-term impact, for a simple reason, which is that some of the key drivers behind the rental market are on hold right now. That’s kind of like saying you will no longer have restaurants because right now the restaurant industry is failing. The restaurant industry will come back. It absolutely will. But it’s on hold right now. And there’ll be a lot of damage done in the meantime, for sure.

What will drive the rebound?

When it comes to rental, if we look at some of the key drivers, one is immigration. Well, what’s happened during the pandemic? Immigration has been on hold. Is immigration going to be on hold for the long term? Absolutely not. In fact, the Canadian government has made it clear that it is going to double immigration targets, once we get out of lockdown, to catch up the lost ground. That is going to drive rental supply. Another is foreign students.

How do you see the rest of the year playing out in real estate?

My prediction is that the demand is going to be very strong, for a couple of reasons. One is the high level of disposable income that people have been accumulating… And so you’ll probably see more movement once the lockdown is lifted and once we do have a vaccine. Look, the supply challenges that we had before the pandemic haven’t gone away. We still have a shortage of supply. When you bring those factors together, it’s very likely; although, I will tell you, I’m always the one on the panel who kind of shrinks when you ask for the predictions because the real estate market is so unpredictable. But I think every indication is that we’re going to see a very strong rebound, you know. It’s going to be like the roaring ’20s.

For the full interview with Ms. Keesmaat check out our new real estate podcast out soon on Apple iTunes and on TRNTO.com. And to hear more of her thoughts, get your tickets to Post City’s 2021 Real Estate Roundtable virtual event taking place on Thursday, Feb. 25. Register for the event at trnto.link/rert2021.

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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