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Real eState
FP Answers: Will Calgary real estate prices go down? – Financial Post
Prices in Alberta’s oil capital aren’t likely to slump anytime soon
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In an increasingly complex world, the Financial Post should be the first place you look for answers. Our FP Answers initiative puts readers in the driver’s seat: you submit questions and our reporters find answers not just for you, but for all our readers. Today, we answer a question about where Calgary real estate prices are headed.
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Borrowing money got more expensive last week when the Bank of Canada raised its prime lending rate a full percentage point to 2.5 per cent, but Calgary homebuyers shouldn’t count on a steep drop in local real estate prices anytime soon.
A host of factors will likely temper any sudden sharp decline in housing prices, though June sales activity declined year over year by two per cent to 2,842 sales, according to the Calgary Real Estate Board (CREB).
CREB’s chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie said rising interest rates were having an impact on sales, but added that year-to-date sales are still at record levels and prices remain far above expectations for the year.
Even though housing sales in Alberta have fallen from their record highs earlier this year, sales should remain closer to pre-pandemic levels than they will in either British Columbia or Ontario, thereby supporting tighter markets and stronger price growth, Toronto-Dominion Bank economist Rishi Sondhi said.
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One contributing factor is that migration from other provinces to Western Canada continues to prop up housing demand and prices as prospective home buyers from Ontario and B.C., priced out of their respective local markets, flock to Alberta. As a result, Calgary has become a relative hotspot for many first-time homebuyers and young couples.
Michael Mak, senior economics analyst at Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., expects this inter-provincial migration trend to continue since housing remains much more affordable in Alberta than in cities such as Toronto and Vancouver. He also said Calgary’s stronger economy, lower unemployment rate and wage increases will also continue to support strong demand for local housing.
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But sales of Calgary luxury homes, property estimated to be worth more than $1 million, have been falling.
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Home construction slows with single-detached houses posting biggest decline
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Home prices, sales slide in June as rising rates put more buyers on sidelines
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CMHC expects 5% decline in home prices by 2023 if interest rates spike
Many wealthy investors purchased these homes as a place to park their money, said Chase Belair, principal broker and co-founder of online mortgage broker Nesto Inc. But rising interest rates mean these properties are now more expensive to carry and many investors can no longer afford the massive mortgages.
Falling luxury homes sales will bring down the average Calgary home price, but Belair said that’s going to offer little in terms of price relief to the average buyer in the short term because more modest home prices are staying flat.
Belair’s advice? Calgary home prices may trend down, but don’t bank on finding a cheaper home tomorrow.
• Email: rshelton@postmedia.com | Twitter:
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Real eState
Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board
TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.
The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.
The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.
“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.
“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”
The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.
New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.
In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.
The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.
“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.
“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”
He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.
“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.
“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”
All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.
Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.
“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.
“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.
The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
Real eState
Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb
HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.
Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.
Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.
The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.
Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.
They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.
The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.
The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
Real eState
Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market
Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.
Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.
Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500
Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438
Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103
Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015
Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181
Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839
Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359
Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent
How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.
The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
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