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Frank Stronach: Canada’s economy buckling under weight of growing debt

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Swelling bureaucracy and complex tax system are additional obstacles to success

Some financial experts say we’re headed towards a recession, while others maintain that we’re already in one. What no one would argue with, however, is the fact that our economy is slowing to a crawl.

Recessions come and go. Some are deeper and longer lasting than others, but the one thing they have in common is they always inflict pain and leave behind financial wreckage.

I can still vividly recall when the so-called economic meltdown ripped through financial markets in late 2008. I was the chairman of Magna International Inc., and the meltdown sent the North American automotive industry into a tailspin that would lead to Chrysler and General Motors filing for bankruptcy.

Hundreds of thousands of jobs in the auto industry were incinerated almost overnight. Magna, through absolutely no fault of our own, had to lay off a number of employees as a result of the economic collapse brought about by Wall Street’s casino capitalism. It wasn’t fair — but that’s the sort of damage economic downturns always cause.

In terms of where we’re at today, the question isn’t whether or not we’re heading into a recession. The real question is: why?

Why now, at a time when the government is pumping unprecedented billions of financial stimulus into our economy? Shouldn’t the economy be booming?

Here is my view: until we address several core underlying fundamentals, the economy will not only remain anemic, but will deteriorate even further. Three key factors are having a devastating and long-term impact on the Canadian economy.

The first of these is debt. The fall economic statement tabled a few weeks ago was packed with bad news, including the fact that debt service charges are going through the roof. Interest on the debt currently eats up $46.5 billion in government spending — more than double what we paid only three years ago. What’s worse, it’s projected to soar to $60 billion by 2028.

The second factor hollowing out our economy is the dramatic growth and expansion of government overhead and spending. We’ve got close to 400,000 federal bureaucrats working for the federal government today — and that’s on top of those at the provincial and municipal levels. That expanding bureaucracy is hamstringing business with more red tape.

In the late 1950s — around the time I opened my own small tool-and-die business — government spending as a percentage of national GDP was around 16 per cent. Our economy was flourishing. Living standards were rising. Now fast forward to today: government spending as a percentage of national GDP is approximately 44 per cent, living standards are falling, our economy is stagnant and our middle class is shrinking.

The third and final factor that’s eroding the Canadian economy is the overly complex tax system. It benefits the rich at the expense of average Canadians. It’s also tilted in favour of financial transactions and wealth transfer instead of investments in the real economy.

Worst of all, the tax system is a drag on productivity because it requires a large bureaucracy to administer the convoluted tax code. The number of employees working at the Canada Revenue Agency continues to grow year after year — from around 41,000 in 2013 to just over 59,000 in 2023 — a 44 per cent increase. But, if our tax system was straightforward and black-and-white, we’d only need a fraction of those employees.

An economic charter of rights and responsibilities — something I’ve been advocating for several months now — would help us address these three structural problems holding our economy back.

The charter would require government to reduce our national debt by five per cent per year for 20 years, making Canada debt-free within two decades. It would also compel government to curtail our ballooning bureaucracy by cutting overhead by five per cent per year for the next 10 years. And lastly, the economic charter would require government to simplify our tax system by making it easy to understand, clear-cut and fair, with no loopholes and deductions for the rich and special interests.

If we did that, our economy would become one of the fastest-growing economies in the world.

 

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S&P/TSX composite gains almost 100 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Strength in the base metal and technology sectors helped Canada’s main stock index gain almost 100 points on Friday, while U.S. stock markets also climbed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 93.51 points at 23,568.65.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 297.01 points at 41,393.78. The S&P 500 index was up 30.26 points at 5,626.02, while the Nasdaq composite was up 114.30 points at 17,683.98.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.61 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down 32 cents at US$68.65 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down five cents at US$2.31 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$30.10 at US$2,610.70 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents US$4.24 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Statistics Canada reports wholesale sales higher in July

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says wholesale sales, excluding petroleum, petroleum products, and other hydrocarbons and excluding oilseed and grain, rose 0.4 per cent to $82.7 billion in July.

The increase came as sales in the miscellaneous subsector gained three per cent to reach $10.5 billion in July, helped by strength in the agriculture supplies industry group, which rose 9.2 per cent.

The food, beverage and tobacco subsector added 1.7 per cent to total $15 billion in July.

The personal and household goods subsector fell 2.5 per cent to $12.1 billion.

In volume terms, overall wholesale sales rose 0.5 per cent in July.

Statistics Canada started including oilseed and grain as well as the petroleum and petroleum products subsector as part of wholesale trade last year, but is excluding the data from monthly analysis until there is enough historical data.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 150 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 150 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in the base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 172.18 points at 23,383.35.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 34.99 points at 40,826.72. The S&P 500 index was up 10.56 points at 5,564.69, while the Nasdaq composite was up 74.84 points at 17,470.37.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.55 cents US compared with 73.59 cents US on Wednesday.

The October crude oil contract was up $2.00 at US$69.31 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up five cents at US$2.32 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$40.00 at US$2,582.40 an ounce and the December copper contract was up six cents at US$4.20 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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