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Global financial stocks decline as more firms cut Russia ties

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Global financial stocks tumbled on Monday on mounting investor fears about the potential for economic damage and pressure on consumer spending as the price of oil soars following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Lenders, investors and payment companies with links to Russia have been cutting ties to the country. These moves come amid Western sanctions against Russia. While United States sanctions have been aimed at limiting the flow of Western money and damage Russia’s economy, Ukraine has called for the boycott of Russian energy exports.

Deloitte and EY said on Monday they would sever links with Russia, mirroring moves by fellow Big Four accounting and consultancy firms KPMG and PwC. These firms audit blue-chip company accounts and their work is often key to businesses obtaining international investor backing.

European asset managers Carmignac and Fidelity International said they would not buy Russian securities.

S&P 500 banks fell 4.8% on Monday and the broader S&P 500 financial sector closed down 3.7% as the yield curve – the difference between longer- and shorter-dated U.S. Treasuries – narrowed, suggesting pressure on U.S. banks’ profitability. The bank index has fallen more than 10% since the conflict escalated on Feb. 24. [US/]

Another consideration for bank investors could be the dilemma over whether to keep business ties with Russia. Closing shop could be an arduous and costly process, according to banking sources and experts.

Shares in U.S. payment companies tumbled on Monday with American Express Co closing down 8.0% after it said on Sunday it was suspending all operations in Russia and Belarus, joining Visa Inc, which fell 4.8% and Mastercard Inc which fell 5.4% after their similar announcements the previous day, as well as payments company PayPal Holdings Inc, which fell 6.3%.

Investor concerns about the global economy have been exacerbated by signs of rising prices at the gasoline pump over the weekend. The United States and Europe said they were mulling a Russian oil import ban, which could further stoke energy prices and inflation and dampen any recovery.

“You’re starting to hear more of the drumbeat from investors about the possibility of a recession due to inflationary conditions,” said R.J. Grant, head of trading at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods in New York.

“The market needs some sort of near-term resolution with the Russia-Ukraine conflict because there is too much uncertainty in the macro picture for folks to get comfortable putting money to work.”

Shares in other financial companies were also slammed on Monday due to fears about consumer spending. Capital One Financial finished down almost 7% and Discover Financial closed down 8%. Discover said at a conference last week that the conflict should have virtually no impact on its fundamentals, according to an event transcript.

“The payment names are starting to bake in a slowdown in consumer spending,” said Dominick Gabriele, an analyst at Oppenheimer, citing worries about the damage inflation is doing to real incomes.

Also, the war has cast doubts on whether cross-border travel will recover to prepandemic levels, which would imply less revenue than expected for the payment networks.

“Travel into Europe is the key cross-border for Visa and Mastercard,” Gabriele said.

However, strategists at JPMorgan were advising clients to pick up some beaten-down Russian assets on the cheap, touting the bonds of Russian companies that are not on the sanctions list and have significant international operations as the best way to profit from distressed pricing.

Russian bond prices have fallen to record lows since Moscow invaded Ukraine as investors fret over their ability to pay as a result of coordinated Western sanctions.

Russia calls its actions in Ukraine a “special operation.”

Russian banks targeted by sanctions have been scrambling to adapt. VTB’s consumer digital bank in Europe has turned off its phone lines due to high call volumes, according to a notice on its website on Monday.

Regulators are preparing for a possible closure of the European arm of VTB, Reuters reported last week,

France’s Credit Agricole, said its exposure to Russia and Ukraine, was around 6.4 billion euros ($6.95 billion)in on and off balance sheet items but that this would not impact distribution of its 2021 dividend.

Swiss banking giant UBS, in its annual report, had pegged its direct exposure to Russia at $634 million for the end of 2021. It said the exposure had been reduced since, but could be affected by sanctions.

The euro zone banking share index had closed down 4.1% on Monday after dropping by as much as 9.6% to a 13-month low earlier on Monday, before paring losses.

Shares in lenders with operations in Russia suffered with Austria’s Raiffeisen, Italy’s UniCredit and France’s Societe Generale falling in the double-digit percentage range early Monday although they regained ground later.

($1 = 0.9204 euro)

(Reporting by Sinead Carew and David Henry in New York and Carolyn Cohn in London, Additional reporting by Huw Jones in London, Sachin Ravikumar in Bengaluru, Tom Sims in Frankfurt, Sudip Kar-Gupta in Paris, Brenna Hughes Neghaiwi in Zurich and Joice Alves and Saikat Chatterjee in LondonWriting by Iain WithersEditing by Jason Neely, Matt Scuffham and Matthew Lewis)

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

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Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

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U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

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TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

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