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Going against the grain, BofA expects Bank of Canada rate pause

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Ahead of the Bank of Canada’s policy rate decision Wednesday, a report from BofA Securities said it expects the central bank to hold its policy rate after raising rates in June.

The report from BofA Securities, released Tuesday, said it expects the Bank of Canada to keep its policy rate 4.75 per cent on Wednesday due to inflation and core inflation both trending downward. Additionally, the report said that it appears the unemployment rate has “bottomed out.”

Most economists tracked by Bloomberg expect the Bank of Canada to bring its policy rate to five per cent at its July decision. Last month, the Bank of Canada increased its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.75 per cent in a surprise move.

“However, we believe monetary policy acts with lags, and it is not clear at this point that the BoC needs to hike more. The main problem for inflation remains on the labour market, but immigration is helping significantly on the supply side,” the report said.

While the report’s authors expect a rate pause, they highlighted the possibility of a rate increase and said the market is “pricing in a 75 per cent chance” of an interest rate hike at the Bank of Canada’s July meeting.

“But it is a close decision as the BoC may hike 25bp [basis points] again to make sure inflation converges to the target (increasing the risks for economic activity and for financial markets),” the report said.

“The BoC may be concerned that the economy and job creation may still be too hot to control inflation.”

 

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Restaurant owner MTY Food sees profit, revenue slide in Q3

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MTY Food Group Inc. says its profit and revenue both slid in its most recent quarter.

The restaurant franchisor and operator says its net income attributable to owners totalled $34.9 million in its third quarter, compared with $38.9 million a year earlier.

The results for the period ended Aug. 31 amounted to $1.46 per diluted share, down from $1.59 per diluted share a year prior.

The company behind 90 brands including Manchu Wok and Mr. Sub attributed the fall to impairment charges on property, plants and equipment along with intangibles assets.

Its revenue decreased slightly to $292.8 million in the quarter from $298 million a year ago.

While CEO Eric Lefebvre saw the quarter as a sign that the company’s ongoing restructuring is starting to bear fruits, he said the business was also hampered by significant delays in construction and permitting that resulted in fewer locations opening.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:MTY)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Montreal’s Taiga Motors sells to British electric boat entrepreneur Stuart Wilkinson

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Taiga Motors Corp. says the Superior Court of Québec has approved its sale to a British electric boat entrepreneur.

The Montreal-based maker of snowmobiles and watercraft says it will be purchased by Stewart Wilkinson.

Wilkinson’s family office is behind marine electrification brands that include Vita, Evoy, and Aqua superPower.

Wilkinson and Taiga did not reveal the terms or value of the deal but say Wilkinson will assume Taiga’s debt to Export Development Canada and has committed to funding Taiga’s business plan.

The companies say the transaction will allow them to achieve greater economies of scale and deliver high-performance products at compelling prices to accelerate the electric transition.

The sale comes months after Taiga sought bankruptcy protection under the Companies’ Creditors Arrangement Act to cope with a cash crunch.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TAIG)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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TD fined US$3.09 billion by U.S. regulators

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Toronto-Dominion Bank is facing fines totalling about US$3.09 billion from U.S. regulators in connection with failures of its anti-money laundering safeguards.

The bank also received a cease-and-desist order and non-financial sanctions from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency that put limits on its growth in the U.S. after it was found that TD had “significant, systemic breakdowns in its transaction monitoring program.”

More coming.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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