Gold holding $1700 as ECB raises interest rates but will U.S. dollar weakness last - Kitco NEWS | Canada News Media
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Gold holding $1700 as ECB raises interest rates but will U.S. dollar weakness last – Kitco NEWS

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(Kitco News) – The growing threat of inflation prompted the European Central Bank to surprise markets by raising interest rates across the board by 50 basis points, providing the euro with new momentum against the U.S. dollar and, in turn, pushing gold prices back above $1,700 an ounce.

Along with rising price pressures, ECB President Christine Lagarde also noted growing economic risks; however, she added that the central bank does not expect to see the European economy fall into a recession.

“The latest data indicate a slowdown in growth, clouding the outlook for the second half of 2022 and beyond. At the same time, this slowdown is being cushioned by a number of supportive factors,” Lagarde said in her opening remarks. “Economic activity continues to benefit from the reopening of the economy, a strong labour market and fiscal policy support. Consumption is being supported by the savings that households built up during the pandemic and by a strong labour market.”

Although the European economy faces growing downside risks, the ECB sees inflation as the biggest threat on the horizon.

“The risks to the inflation outlook continue to be on the upside and have intensified, particularly in the short term. The risks to the medium-term inflation outlook include a durable worsening of the production capacity of our economy, persistently high energy and food prices, inflation expectations rising above our target and higher than anticipated wage rises,” Lagarde said.

Although the ECB expects to continue to raise interest rates through the rest of the year, markets saw little guidance on the steepness of the tightening path.

Lagarde said that the central bank would not provide any forward guidance on rate hikes and added that she didn’t know where the neutral rate would be.

“At our upcoming meetings, further normalisation of interest rates will be appropriate. Our future policy rate path will continue to be data-dependent and will help us deliver on our 2% inflation target over the medium term,” she said.

Along with raising interest rates, the ECB also approved a new policy tool, the Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI).

While the TPI has been launched to reduce fragmentation risks in the eurozone, markets have not received a lot of information on how it will be implemented.



“The TPI will ensure that our monetary policy stance is transmitted smoothly across all euro area countries. The singleness of our monetary policy is a precondition for the ECB to be able to deliver on its price stability mandate,” Lagarde said.

According to some market analysts, the ECB’s aggressive move should help improve sentiment in the gold market as U.S. dollar gains could be capped.

The U.S. dollar has been on an unstoppable rally, recently hitting a 20-year high and touching parity with the euro. Analysts have said that the U.S. dollar’s run is partly because of the significant monetary policy gap between the Federal Reserve and the ECB.

This is the first time the ECB has raised interest rates in over a decade. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates three times this year, taking the Fed Funds rate to a target between 1.50% and 1.75%.

The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates another 75 basis points later this month.

Looking ahead, some analysts see limited scope for the euro as the interest rate gap remains particularly wide.

Currency analysts at TD Securities said that they see the euro hitting resistance between 1.03 and 1.04 against the U.S. dollar in the near-term.

“No matter how you slice and dice it, the eurozone is in a very difficult spot. The global CB community has adopted the front-loading mentality, but many, like the ECB, are facing a Ricardian equivalence dilemma – more policy aggression now is just borrowing tightening from the future. We still contend that EUR is buy the rumor/sell the fact, because there is little the ECB can do to avoid an energy crisis and an implosion of the current account,” the analysts said in a note.

With limited gains expected for the euro, some analysts have said that gold prices could continue to struggle.

“When all is said and done, we believe the U.S. economy will prove to be more resilient than the rest of the world and so we look for continued dollar gains,” said currency analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman.

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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