Gold, silver prices collapsing amid markets panic - "sell what you can" - Kitco NEWS | Canada News Media
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Gold, silver prices collapsing amid markets panic – "sell what you can" – Kitco NEWS

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(Kitco News)Gold and silver pricesare trading sharply down in panic market conditions in early U.S. trading Monday. Gold prices hit a three-month low and silver futures prices dropped to an 11-year low. U.S. stock index futures are pointed toward untradable locked-limit-down openings, further exacerbating the “sell what you can” panic at present. April gold futures were last down $44.30 an ounce at $1,472.00. May Comex silver prices were last down $1.79 at $12.70 an ounce.

Global stock markets were also solidly lower in overnight trading. Trader and investor confidence appears to be going from bad do worse to start the trading week, as over the weekend U.S. non-essential commerce began to shut down amid the coronavirus pandemic. Major stores are closing, public schools are closing, Colorado shut down all of its ski slopes and some states have ordered the closing of bars and restaurants. U.S. airlines are in financial peril as passenger traffic plummets. This follows the moves last week to effectively shut down most major sporting events in the U.S. The U.S. Center for Disease control has warned most Americans to stay home and recommended gatherings of 50 or more people be cancelled for at least the next two months.

The U.S. Federal Reserve on Sunday afternoon again cut its key interest rate, by 1.0% this time, to a range of zero to 0.25%. The Fed also will pump an additional $700 billion into the U.S. financial system (quantitative easing) and has opened up swap lines with other major central banks, in an effort to keep liquidity in the financial markets. President Trump and Congress over the weekend agreed on an aid bill for businesses and consumers negatively impacted by the virus outbreak. Speculation is that it will take at least two months for this situation to get under control from a U.S. public health perspective.

Other world central banks over the weekend announced further actions to thwart the negative economic impact of the virus outbreak that has created a demand shock worldwide.

Following is an edited portion of one email dispatch from a market analyst Monday morning: “It’s becoming evident that the major central banks across the globe are using all their available tools to prevent a crisis, but it seems the fear of the pandemic is taking control of investors. Markets will continue going through this phase of extreme volatility until they are able to assess the scale of damage caused by the virus outbreak. The longer the outbreak persists and countries stay in emergency status, the harder the global economy will be hit. A recession seems almost impossible to prevent at this stage, but the question remains, how bad is it going to be? Equity strategists will not be able to provide meaningful targets for stock prices. That’s because even companies themselves cannot project revenue targets in such situations.”

Economic data released by China Monday showed industrial production in the world’s second-largest economy plunged 13.5% in the first two months of 2020. Retail sales dropped 20.5% in the period as consumers were locked at home. Traders are wondering if the same dour economic numbers will start to come out of Europe and the U.S.

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note sees its yield around 0.8% Monday. The U.S. dollar index is solidly lower in early U.S. trading. Nymex crude oil prices are solidly down and trading around $30.00 a barrel.

U.S. economic data due for release Monday includes the Empire State manufacturing survey.

Technically, the gold bears have the firm overall near-term technical advantage amid the steep price downdraft. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in April futures above solid resistance at $1,550.00. Bears’ next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,400.00. First resistance is seen at $1,500.00 and then at $1,525.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $1,456.10 and then at $1,450.00. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 3.0

May silver futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage amid an extreme price downdraft. Silver bulls’ next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $14.00 an ounce. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $11.00. First resistance is seen at $13.00 and then at $13.50. Next support is seen at today’s low of $11.77 and then at $11.50. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 1.0.

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

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Yuri Kageyama is on X:

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

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