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Gold turns higher for the week as investors parse Fed’s historic policy shift – MarketWatch

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Gold futures rose Friday, leaving prices higher to end the week, after the Federal Reserve announced a policy shift Thursday that would allow employment and inflation to run hotter than in the past, implying that the central bank may keep benchmark interest rates lower for longer.

The Fed is shifting to a policy of average inflation targeting which would effectively see policy makers end the practice of preemptively hiking interest rates to stave off inflation. Instead, the Fed would allow inflation to run above its 2% target to make up for periods when inflation runs below it — signaling that a long period of ultralow interest rates lies ahead.

After volatile trading on Thursday, which briefly sent bullion surging higher immediately after the announcement by the Fed, gold ended sharply lower, with investors attributing that decline to investors profit-taking and attempting to interpret the implications of the historic move by the Fed, according to some metals enthusiasts.

“Gold prices were sent on a roller-coaster ride last night as investors tried to decipher what the Fed’s shifting stance on inflation could mean for the yellow metal, with prices soaring above $1,970 before careening below $1,910 in the immediate aftermath,” wrote Han Tan, market analyst at FXTM, in a research note.

Need to Know:The Fed might never hike rates again. Here are growth stocks for the long run, according to one strategist

Against that backdrop, December gold
GCZ20,
-0.11%

GC00,
-0.11%

rose $42.30, or 2.2%, to settle at $1,974.90 an ounce.

The most-active December silver contract
SIZ20,
-0.10%

SI00,
-0.01%
,
meanwhile, added 59 cents, or 2.2%, to reach $27.79 an ounce.

For the week, gold saw a weekly rise of 1.4%, while silver tallied a weekly advance of nearly 4%, based on last Friday’s most-active contract settlements, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

Gold continues to be viewed as the “haven of choice, with silver closely following” as everywhere investors look, there are old worries, such as those tied to the global economy and pandemic, combining with new ones, such as the resignation of Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and the upcoming elections, said George Gero, managing director at RBC Wealth Management, in a daily note. This leads to the need for more asset allocations, “so $2,000 gold and $30 silver [are] coming soon.”

Precious metals also drew some support Friday from a weakening U.S. dollar that fell on the back of strength in the Japanese yen on the back of news that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe resigned due to his worsening health.

The benchmark Nikkei 225
NIK,
-1.40%

closed down 1.4% and the yen
USDJPY,
+0.00%

strengthened to change hands at 105.45, surging 1.1%. A broader measure of the dollar against a half-dozen currencies, including the yen, was down 0.6%, as gauged by the ICE Dollar Index
DXY,
-0.75%
.

A weaker dollar can make precious metals that are priced in the currency more appealing on a relative basis.

Overall, gold and silver prices have been mostly marching higher as investors purchase precious metals as a perceived safe play against the uncertainty created by the COVID-19 pandemic. Responses to the deadly disease by governments and central banks have also bolstered appetite for gold, which is seen as a hedge against money printing and an asset the propers in a low-rate environment.

In U.S. economic reports, data on personal-consumption expenditure rose 0.3% in July, while core inflation for the month rose 0.3%, and a reading of consumer spending rose 1.9% last month, while personal incomes climbed 0.4% in July. The final consumer sentiment survey in August, meanwhile, rose to 74.1 from a preliminary reading of 72.8, according to the University of Michigan.

Back on Comex, December copper
HGZ20,
+0.34%

added 1% to $3.0195 a pound, with prices based on the most-active contract prices settling above $3 for the first time since Aug. 19 and tacking on 3.5% for the week.

October platinum
PLV20,
+0.07%

rose 1.3% to $940 an ounce, with most-active contract prices up 1.5% for the week, while December palladium
PAZ20,
-0.35%

climbed 1.9% to $2,231.50 an ounce, for a weekly most-active contract advance of nearly 2.4%.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

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Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

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U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

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TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

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