Government regulations sour investors in Kelowna's housing market, says real estate executive - Kelowna News - Castanet.net | Canada News Media
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Government regulations sour investors in Kelowna's housing market, says real estate executive – Kelowna News – Castanet.net

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A number of government regulations aimed at improving the housing market are having the opposite affect, according to one Kelowna real estate professional.

Jeff Hudson co-founder of HM Commercial Realty made the comment to a room full of interested onlookers during the company’s annual Crystal Ball event on the state of the real estate and development market in Kelowna.

“New high rise projects need to be average $1,200-a-square-foot to provide any level of profit and the developer needs 60 to 70 per cent in pre-sales,” said Hudson.

“There are not enough home buyers to have these projects make sense. It relies on investors and the problem is between high finance costs, the speculation tax, prohibition on foreign buyers and the change to short-term rentals, it’s removed the flexibility for a lot of these investors.

“Ask any condo developer…investors for condos are not at the table right now.”

Hudson said demand for housing is strong and will continue to be as immigration and inter-migration numbers increase, yet interest rates, new regulations and rising construction costs continue to be the biggest obstacles to overcome.

“The effects of the short-term rental program are yet to be seen and we predict a slow recovery this year with increased activity in the second half of the year.”

Panel lends its voice

Thursday’s event also featured a diverse panel with expertise on various aspects of the industry including Shane Worman with Worman Commercial, Dr. Lesley Cormack deputy vice-chancellor and principal at UBCO, Krista Mallory from the Central Okanagan Economic Development Commission and Daniel Walsh project leader for the Tolko mill site.

“I don’t know how many units (STR regulations) it’s really going to free up going to the long-term market. I worry it will hurt the economy more from a tourism standpoint than it will help us from a housing standpoint,” said Worman.

“If we are opening up a few hundred units, is that really going to make a difference. I say no.”

“I have students and their parents concerned they have been able to rent eight-month rentals, then the owner has been able to Airbnb for the summer and now that won’t be possible,” said Cormack.

“That might decrease the amount of space for student rentals.”

“Anything that discourages units being built is going to hurt,” added Worman. “As many rules as we are putting in to build stuff, we are putting in a few that are hurting it as well.”

“Whether it’s the foreign buyer or the short-term rentals, all of those things are killing the condo market.”

He says take away those investment type buyers and the condo market is dead.

Vacancy rate

The low vacancy rate, pegged at just 1.3 per cent, continues to be one of the contributing factors to the high cost of rent in the city.

And while the city continues to approve new rentals almost weekly, the vacancy rate needle has barely moved.

“For students, they come and they are surprised. The don’t do their homework and find they can’t afford a two-bedroom apartment,” said Cormack.

“We have hired people that have then looked at the real estate market and said they can’t come.”

“It’s a concern for us (at the COEDC) and impacts where we are looking to draw people from,” said Mallory.

“The markets we do promotions in are very much dictated by markets that are more expensive than us. It’s a difficult sell when you are trying to get someone to move from somewhere where houses are half the cost.”

Looking at her faculty, Cormack says many will end up being well paid over a 40-year career, but it’s that first house that is always the challenge.

“Finding that affordable place to start is the key. They can ladder up but it’s that first one,” she said

Cormack says more and more employees are living in Vernon or trying to find something in the country because they can’t afford Kelowna.

Not all gloom and doom

While the housing market continues to work through its issues, the commercial and retail market continue to flourish, highlighted by the fact the city eclipsed four million square feet of occupied office space for the first time.

The office vacancy rate has dropped to 6.61 per cent while the retain vacancy rate dropped for the fifth straight year to 1.65 per cent. It’s the lowest retail vacancy rate in about a decade.

The retail market also looks strong with more than 400,000 square feet of space under construction, including a shopping mall at The Ponds in the Upper Mission at more than 200,000 square feet.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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