Health unit head talks about COVID-19 in the past, present and future - Toronto Star | Canada News Media
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Health unit head talks about COVID-19 in the past, present and future – Toronto Star

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Dr. Ian Arra says that recent new cases in Grey-Bruce are averaging less than five cases per day, with outbreaks in high-risk settings virtually non-existent, he said.

“All in all, this is as good as it gets for fourth wave for epidemiology,” said the local medical officer of health in an interview last week.

For the next two to three weeks, which is as far as can be predicted, no major change is expected, as overall Ontario has been declining in case numbers and hospitalizations.

Grey-Bruce continues to be in a favourable position relative to the rest of the province.

While he knows that lay people are saying that’s because we’re a rural area, research in preventative health does not support that, Dr. Arra said.

Rather, he credits five pillars: the public’s response, the team at the health unit, the local media coverage, the political commitment to work with the health unit and co-operation from other parts of the health care system and private entities. He pointed in particular to Bruce Power’s contribution in many forms.

BLAME THE DISEASE

Dr. Arra said he wants to convey the message that “we really need to remember that the pandemic is causing (this)” – not visitors, not identifiable groups, not the unvaccinated.

He warned against targeting people for blame and anger. He believes that the required level of vaccination is going to be reached. At the personal level, “if people refuse to get vaccinated so be it,” he said, and encouraged support rather than division.

DELTA CURVE-BALL

Dr. Arra said that to see Delta, a more serious variant, appear locally in July was like “a bad movie.”

In the history of pandemics, he explained, it is unlikely that a more serious variant would appear. He added that he does not think that will happen again.

The emergence of Delta made it “indispensable” to reach a 90 percent rate, he said.

“We know that there is immunity due to the wild virus,” he said. In areas where there have been hot spots for a year, that rate could be as high as five to six percent, he said.

He said, however, that the immunity reached through the vaccine lasts longer.

When the 90 percent of the population is reached, he said, that can practically ensure that although the disease may remain “endemic” it will not overwhelm the system.

VACCINE MANDATE

While public health locally strongly encourages workplace vaccine policies, its guidance does not require the approach taken in some settings of “vaccinate or terminate.”

While no one can override a provincial order or lift its restrictions, they can “do more,” he said.

He said the effect of those policies has been to increase vaccinations, but said that he knows that it has resulted in “hardship for certain individuals.”

These policies have an ethical side – but also a legal one, he said, adding he was sure that legal advice was being given.

The mandate of Public Health ends at “the front door” of a workplace, he said, as that is where occupational medicine takes over.

Right now as far as risk in Grey-Bruce he said, “we have quite the control over the epidemic with the measures that we have.”

FUTURE SCENARIO

Dr. Arra described two major views as to how COVID will affect us in the future.

Both of them hold that the disease will become endemic – it will not just “go away.”

The first view is that people will need ongoing booster shots for protection.

“I am in the second group,” he said. The coronavirus is part of the same large family of viruses as the common cold, he said. When it was new and there was no immunity that was one situation.

“Fast-forward” a year from now, he said and when the target level of vaccination is reached along with immunity from wild infections, the effect of coronavirus across the population could be like a common cold.

VACCINES FOR CHILDREN

Dr. Arra said that he recommends parents examine all the best available informationas they make their decision about having children from five to 11 immunized when that is approved in Canada.

The field of developing vaccines is well-established, he added.

“Invest 15 minutes per day to look at Public Health Canada and Public Health Ontario websites,” he said.

“It’s prudent to invest time and make the decision that’s best for my child,” he said, speaking of how he thinks as a father.

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Canada to donate up to 200,000 vaccine doses to combat mpox outbreaks in Africa

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The Canadian government says it will donate up to 200,000 vaccine doses to fight the mpox outbreak in Congo and other African countries.

It says the donated doses of Imvamune will come from Canada’s existing supply and will not affect the country’s preparedness for mpox cases in this country.

Minister of Health Mark Holland says the donation “will help to protect those in the most affected regions of Africa and will help prevent further spread of the virus.”

Dr. Madhukar Pai, Canada research chair in epidemiology and global health, says although the donation is welcome, it is a very small portion of the estimated 10 million vaccine doses needed to control the outbreak.

Vaccine donations from wealthier countries have only recently started arriving in Africa, almost a month after the World Health Organization declared the mpox outbreak a public health emergency of international concern.

A few days after the declaration in August, Global Affairs Canada announced a contribution of $1 million for mpox surveillance, diagnostic tools, research and community awareness in Africa.

On Thursday, the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention said mpox is still on the rise and that testing rates are “insufficient” across the continent.

Jason Kindrachuk, Canada research chair in emerging viruses at the University of Manitoba, said donating vaccines, in addition to supporting surveillance and diagnostic tests, is “massively important.”

But Kindrachuk, who has worked on the ground in Congo during the epidemic, also said that the international response to the mpox outbreak is “better late than never (but) better never late.”

“It would have been fantastic for us globally to not be in this position by having provided doses a much, much longer time prior than when we are,” he said, noting that the outbreak of clade I mpox in Congo started in early 2023.

Clade II mpox, endemic in regions of West Africa, came to the world’s attention even earlier — in 2022 — as that strain of virus spread to other countries, including Canada.

Two doses are recommended for mpox vaccination, so the donation may only benefit 100,000 people, Pai said.

Pai questioned whether Canada is contributing enough, as the federal government hasn’t said what percentage of its mpox vaccine stockpile it is donating.

“Small donations are simply not going to help end this crisis. We need to show greater solidarity and support,” he said in an email.

“That is the biggest lesson from the COVID-19 pandemic — our collective safety is tied with that of other nations.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Canadian Press health coverage receives support through a partnership with the Canadian Medical Association. CP is solely responsible for this content.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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How many Nova Scotians are on the doctor wait-list? Number hit 160,000 in June

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HALIFAX – The Nova Scotia government says it could be months before it reveals how many people are on the wait-list for a family doctor.

The head of the province’s health authority told reporters Wednesday that the government won’t release updated data until the 160,000 people who were on the wait-list in June are contacted to verify whether they still need primary care.

Karen Oldfield said Nova Scotia Health is working on validating the primary care wait-list data before posting new numbers, and that work may take a matter of months. The most recent public wait-list figures are from June 1, when 160,234 people, or about 16 per cent of the population, were on it.

“It’s going to take time to make 160,000 calls,” Oldfield said. “We are not talking weeks, we are talking months.”

The interim CEO and president of Nova Scotia Health said people on the list are being asked where they live, whether they still need a family doctor, and to give an update on their health.

A spokesperson with the province’s Health Department says the government and its health authority are “working hard” to turn the wait-list registry into a useful tool, adding that the data will be shared once it is validated.

Nova Scotia’s NDP are calling on Premier Tim Houston to immediately release statistics on how many people are looking for a family doctor. On Tuesday, the NDP introduced a bill that would require the health minister to make the number public every month.

“It is unacceptable for the list to be more than three months out of date,” NDP Leader Claudia Chender said Tuesday.

Chender said releasing this data regularly is vital so Nova Scotians can track the government’s progress on its main 2021 campaign promise: fixing health care.

The number of people in need of a family doctor has more than doubled between the 2021 summer election campaign and June 2024. Since September 2021 about 300 doctors have been added to the provincial health system, the Health Department said.

“We’ll know if Tim Houston is keeping his 2021 election promise to fix health care when Nova Scotians are attached to primary care,” Chender said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Newfoundland and Labrador monitoring rise in whooping cough cases: medical officer

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ST. JOHN’S, N.L. – Newfoundland and Labrador‘s chief medical officer is monitoring the rise of whooping cough infections across the province as cases of the highly contagious disease continue to grow across Canada.

Dr. Janice Fitzgerald says that so far this year, the province has recorded 230 confirmed cases of the vaccine-preventable respiratory tract infection, also known as pertussis.

Late last month, Quebec reported more than 11,000 cases during the same time period, while Ontario counted 470 cases, well above the five-year average of 98. In Quebec, the majority of patients are between the ages of 10 and 14.

Meanwhile, New Brunswick has declared a whooping cough outbreak across the province. A total of 141 cases were reported by last month, exceeding the five-year average of 34.

The disease can lead to severe complications among vulnerable populations including infants, who are at the highest risk of suffering from complications like pneumonia and seizures. Symptoms may start with a runny nose, mild fever and cough, then progress to severe coughing accompanied by a distinctive “whooping” sound during inhalation.

“The public, especially pregnant people and those in close contact with infants, are encouraged to be aware of symptoms related to pertussis and to ensure vaccinations are up to date,” Newfoundland and Labrador’s Health Department said in a statement.

Whooping cough can be treated with antibiotics, but vaccination is the most effective way to control the spread of the disease. As a result, the province has expanded immunization efforts this school year. While booster doses are already offered in Grade 9, the vaccine is now being offered to Grade 8 students as well.

Public health officials say whooping cough is a cyclical disease that increases every two to five or six years.

Meanwhile, New Brunswick’s acting chief medical officer of health expects the current case count to get worse before tapering off.

A rise in whooping cough cases has also been reported in the United States and elsewhere. The Pan American Health Organization issued an alert in July encouraging countries to ramp up their surveillance and vaccination coverage.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 10, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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