Here's another major sign Toronto's real estate market is in big trouble right now | Canada News Media
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Here’s another major sign Toronto’s real estate market is in big trouble right now

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There are a handful of trends that show how badly Toronto’s housing market is flopping right now, and the latest may be the most concerning of all.

As noted by local mortgage expert Jason Geall on his well-followed TikTok account covering the market, more and more owners are defaulting on their mortgages, leading to an increase in cases of power of sale.

“Is this going to be the new norm? Seeing “power of sale” on top of for sale signs?” Geall asked in a video Monday, standing in front of a property in the bougie York Mills area of Toronto.

In the background, viewers can see an example of the phenomenon he’s talking about, in this case, for a vacant plot of land that lenders have seized to sell and get their money back.

The property on Bayview Ridge Crescent is currently listed for $3.15 million, advertised as the perfect, building permit-ready opportunity for someone’s dream castle — except that virtually everyone is balking at the current market with its high interest rates and instability.

“We’ve been hearing so much about power of sales going up and up in the last little while — is this the start?” he adds, referring to a graph showing, per data from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board, that residential power of sale listings in the GTA broke new records in October.

“Seeing this type of stuff even in the high end areas is definitely kind of concerning.”

This is just one example of things extremely atypical of our perpetually (and still) overpriced market: major developments put on hold, sales slowing to a trickle and buyers walking away from hefty deposits knowing their finished home won’t be worth what they paid.

Then there are the indications of a new type of desperation from those who have always had the upper hand in the market — sellers — with homes sitting on the market for far longer than ever, going for below asking price.

In addition, strange new rentals popping up as they try to acquire tenants to cover higher mortgage costs.

While this is all good news for buyers, those who can afford a home in and around Toronto right now, even if prices slide, are limited to a select few demographics, given current lending rates.

Even wealthy investors, who have an alarmingly vast stake in the city’s real estate, are being scared off.

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

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