Here's how much you'd have to earn to buy a house or condo in Vancouver, according to a study - CTV News Vancouver | Canada News Media
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Here's how much you'd have to earn to buy a house or condo in Vancouver, according to a study – CTV News Vancouver

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VANCOUVER —
A recently released report confirms homeownership remains a distant dream for many living in one of Canada’s priciest markets.

The latest Housing Affordability Monitor, a report issued by the National Bank of Canada, estimated just how much a perspective homebuyer would need to earn to be able to afford the typical home currently on the market in the Metro Vancouver area.

The report looks to benchmarks, a metric different than averages, as an indicator for how much a would-be buyer can expect to pay.

The bank estimates the price of the representative condo in the Vancouver area – meaning a condo that is typical of what’s been available recently – at $633,030.

When it comes to other types of residential properties, a category the report simply calls “non-condo,” homeowners could expect to pay $1,342,184, according to the NBC report.

Unsurprisingly to most, Vancouver’s housing supply is the most expensive in the report, followed by the Greater Toronto Area.

In addition to the price itself, the report points out, buyers are expected to provide a higher down payment.

“At a national level, there has never been a worse time to accumulate the minimum down payment,” Kyle Dahms and Camille Baillargeon wrote in the report.

To get a better idea of affordability with this initial payment in mind, the report’s authors assume the house hunter is able to save 10 per cent of their pre-tax total household income.

Based on the median income, on a national level, it will take 60 months, or five years, for a buyer to save enough to put six per cent down on the representative home.

Down payments and mortgages

In Vancouver – a city where the report’s authors say things have actually improved a bit, thanks to a higher median annual income and low interest rates – the monthly mortgage payment as a percentage of household income was the highest in Canada.

The NBC report estimated an earner of the area’s median household income of $78,849, according to Statistics Canada, would have to save for 58 months to be able to put enough down on a condo, if they were able to save 10 per cent for the purchase. That’s nearly five years.

However, if they wanted to buy a residential property that was a bit larger, they could expect to have to save for 409 months – or 34 years – to put enough money down.

Then, based on that median income, condo buyers could expect to have to spend 38.7 per cent of their income toward their mortgage.

With a down payment of six per cent, buyers of “non-condos” would have put a whopping 82.1 per cent of their salary towards their mortgage.

As a comparison, a buyer earning Toronto’s median income could expect to have to save for 51 months (4.25 years) and put 34.5 per cent of their salary toward a mortgage.

Someone looking for a larger space in the city with the same salary would have to save for about 289 months (or 24 years), and fork over 58 per cent of their income for mortgage payments.

The mortgage calculation was based on the assumption of a 25-year amortization period and a five-year term.

Qualifying income

The report also looked at also provided what it called a “qualifying income” – which is a metric based on the salary needed to buy a median property, assuming that household puts 32 per cent of its pre-tax income into the mortgage payment, with adjustments for a down payment.

It’s likely a frustrating story for many Vancouverites.

The National Bank of Canada estimates a buyer would need a household income of $127,663 to comfortably afford a condo. This is more than 1.6 times the median income of the region.

Those looking for a house or semi-detached house would need, according to the report, to bring home nearly $230,500 a year, or almost three times what the median household income.

And the report predicts things may get worse soon. With the vaccine rollout will come a return to normal market conditions, the authors forecast.

“As a result, affordability is likely to deteriorate on both a mortgage payment and as a percentage of income and down payment basis going forward,” Dahms and Baillargeon said.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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