Tumbling global stock and bond prices this year, together with pain in private equity amid deteriorating deal volume left investors around the world casting their nets far and wide for opportunities.
Investment
Here’s what seven investment giants with $2.3 trillion in assets are betting on in 2023
GIC Pte. Ltd., estimate US$690 billion
For Singaporean sovereign wealth fund GIC Pte., preparation means having cash at the ready, a willingness to spend it and an ability to buy low-cost assets as other investors sell out. Chief investment officer Jeffrey Jaensubhakij has made investments that offer protection from inflation and says that price pressures will continue to rise amid tight labour markets and an under investment in commodities.
Longer term, infrastructure projects and commodities can act as a hedge, he said. Meanwhile, student accommodation that can be used as hotels for tourists and business travellers during summer, and telecoms infrastructure and real estate in key markets like Japan and Australia are among his key investment ideas.
“The opportunity opened up so the team responded to that and actually deployed a lot of capital into that space and generated good return,” he said. “That’s another example of something we’d like to inculcate more and do more here.”
Fidelity International Ltd., US$613.3 billion
Anne Richards, chief executive of Fidelity International, said that Asia including China could rebound in sentiment faster than other parts of the world.
“The dynamics in Asia versus the dynamics with the U.S. and Europe are quite different,” Richards said during a panel at the Bloomberg New Economy Forum on Wednesday. “We are more positive on Asia as a region both from a market perspective as well as from a flow perspective for 2023.”
“There’s a lot of optimism of where China is in its interest rate policy cycle, and the benefits that will bring for the region as well as the kind of gradual opening up,” she added.
AustralianSuper Pty Ltd., A$272 billion (US$184 billion)
AustralianSuper chief investment officer Mark Delaney is taking a cautious approach. His pension firm, the largest in Australia, began turning defensive late last year, reducing its exposure to listed equities and credit.
“What we’re most cautious about is the asset classes (in) which values haven’t adjusted yet, and you might put private equity into that category for example, and potentially property and maybe infrastructure,” he said. “The share market probably has done more than half of its adjustments from the peak to what we think is likely to be the trough.”
Instead, the fund expects to be hunting for new investments when good opportunities begin to emerge in about 12 months.
Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, $242.5 billion
Chief executive officer Jo Taylor is looking to mining assets, with rare earth minerals and metals a key target.
“Rare metals. Because they are just that — they are scarce and there aren’t that many that aren’t Chinese owned,” he said. “You can have the commodity rather than some sort of traded index, it’s not a big market.”
That means targeting copper producers in Canada and Chile, lithium from Latin America and finding sources of cobalt.
And he’s also scouring markets to find scarcity trades more broadly, from battery manufacturing chains and chip-makers to water, food and Indian businesses where there are relatively few scaled business. In August, OTPP bought a majority stake in Sahyadri Hospitals Ltd. as part of its first private equity buyout in India.
Partners Group Holding AG, US$131 billion
Partners Group chairman Steffen Meister is mindful of the suffering to people and businesses in recent years. But from a business perspective, now is a good time to strike deals, he said.
Meister warns that this only works for firms that anticipated the turmoil. Partners Group has pushed out refinancing until 2025 and hedged much of their rates exposure, he said. The fallout from the U.K.’s recent volatility in the pound and gilts would help boost other opportunities.
“It’s a very human thing when you look at the public markets where people are biased by the immediate reaction,” he said, with near-shoring — moving far-flung operations to countries closer to home — among the investment opportunities he sees in the U.K. “The last two years you were really concerned and now I think you can relax a bit more.”
Temasek Holdings Pte. Ltd., US$295 billion
Temasek International’s chief investment officer Rohit Sipahimalani cited investment themes such as sustainable living, growing consumption, longer lifespans and healthcare.
But where Meister feels now is the time to make deals, Temasek is slowing the pace of investments. One focus is on helping companies in its portfolio survive the impending economic downturn and use it to expand and “strengthen their positions” over the coming year, he said. For new deals, the investment giant will be more selective.
China Asset Management, 1.79 trillion yuan (US$253 billion)
Despite steep declines this year, China’s A-share stock market remains a better option than U.S., European or Hong Kong equity markets, according to Richard Pan, chief investment officer of global capital investment at Beijing-based China Asset Management.
The Federal Reserve still has to hike interest rates to bring down inflation as the U.S. continues to head toward a recession, Pan said. This threatens to fuel outflows from markets like Hong Kong, while Europe is in a worse situation, grappling with the energy crisis and debt issues.
China Asset Management sees opportunities in both new energy and fossil fuels due to the huge demand in the coming decade, and likes healthcare and medical equipment stocks, he said. The company also favours consumer stocks as consumption will normalize, sooner or later, especially high-end players like luxury shopping malls that have seen sales climb even as economic growth cooled. Pan said concerns that China may backpedal on its opening up policy are misplaced, even as COVID surges have stoked concerns.
“The pandemic is a once-in-a-century rare situation and should not be seen as normal,” he said. “People shouldn’t be excessively pessimistic about China’s economy.”
— With assistance from Abhishek Vishnoi and Sarah Wells
Investment
Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company
NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.
Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.
“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”
Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.
Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.
Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.
Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.
In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.
The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.
And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.
Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.
The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.
The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
Investment
S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed
TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.
The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.
In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.
The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.
The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.
The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.
Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)
The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
Economy
S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher
TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.
The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.
In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.
The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.
The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.
The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.
Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)
The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
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