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Higher interest rates hitting Canadians harder

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More Canadians are struggling with the higher cost of mortgage debt, and anxiety is rising for those who face renewal on the horizon, says a new survey.

The Bank of Canada has raised interest rates 10 times in its battle against inflation from a low of 0.25 per cent starting in March 2022 to 5 per cent, a 22-year high.

While the Bank is widely expected to hold its rate tomorrow, the poll by the Angus Reid Institute reveals more Canadians are struggling with their monthly mortgage payments at the level they are now.

The survey found that the number of Canadians who say their mortgage is “very difficult” to pay has doubled since March. Fifteen per cent of mortgage borrowers say they are struggling, up from eight per cent in March.

Homeowners on a variable-rate mortgage have seen their payments climb steadily, but those who took out a mortgage between 2018 and 2020 on a low fixed-rate also have reason for anxiety.

As renewal approaches, they face the possibility of big jumps in their monthly payments, a worry shared by four in five homeowners with a mortgage in the survey. Almost 60 per cent of those who must renew in the next 12 months were “very worried.”

Overall the survey found that Canadians are increasingly negative about their financial situation and prospects. Half say they are in worse financial position than a year ago and 35 per cent expect to be in worse shape a year from now. Both these percentages tie with the worst seen in 13 years of data collecting by the Angus Reid Institute.

The rising cost of living is now the top issue facing the country for two-thirds of Canadians, and housing affordability has outpaced climate change as a leading concern.

All this is costing Canadians in other ways, said the survey. Two thirds of the people polled say they view their household debt level as a minor or major source of stress. For Canadians who have a mortgage the percentage rises to 81 per cent.

NBF Economics and Strategy

It takes a while for interest rate increases to affect the economy, which means the weakening in consumer spending and confidence that we are already seeing will likely get worse. The Bank of Canada’s estimate for the full impact of rate hikes to set in is eight quarters, and based on that National Bank of Canada economists calculate that 42 per cent of the impact is still left to come.

“For this reason, it would be perilous for the central bank to focus on the resilience of core inflation in its rate decision [Wednesday], as this indicator reacts with a lag to the economic situation which looks set to be moribund over the next 12 months,” said economists Matthieu Arseneau and Alexandra Ducharme.

 

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Despite years of looking at underlying fundamentals and understanding risk, portfolio manager Martin Pelletier still finds it confusing that tech stocks are rallying despite higher interest rates, the escalating Middle East conflict and increasing worries over the global economy. He prefers to look at cash-flow yields and what is required to achieve those yields measured against lower-risk alternatives offering up near-similar returns. Find out more at FP Investing

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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