Housing sales are down in N.L., but Realtor association CEO says prices aren't likely to follow | Canada News Media
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Housing sales are down in N.L., but Realtor association CEO says prices aren’t likely to follow

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Housing sales have fallen in Newfoundland and Labrador, but the provincial Realtor association says prices aren’t expected to follow suit. (Alex Lupul/CBC)

Newfoundland and Labrador’s housing sales are starting to cool off, according to the annual report published by the provincial Realtor association.

The number of homes sold through the MLS system totalled 554 units in July, declining 21.1 per cent from July 2022. Year-to-date home sales totalled 2,712 units over the first seven months of this year, a decrease of 23.9 per cent from the same period in 2022.

“We’ve just come off of what I would call two uncharacteristically busy years, not only in Newfoundland and Labrador but right across the country,” Bill Stirling, chief executive officer of the Newfoundland and Labrador Association of Realtors, said Thursday.

“The pandemic years, for whatever reason, drove real estate activity right across the country. We’re starting to see those kinds of sales levels return to a more normal pattern.”

But even with sales starting to slow down, Stirling said, the province is still between 20 or 30 per cent above pre-pandemic years.

“So the market is still strong. There’s lots of demand out there,” he said. One of the challenges right now is relatively low inventory, he added. “People can’t sell what’s not there, so we’re seeing sales levels start to drop off.”

New home construction is also slowing, contributing to the lack of inventory.

Inflation has increased costs, Stirling said, making building a new home increasingly expensive.

Bill Stirling, CEO of the Newfoundland and Labrador Association of Realtors, says low inventory and population growth are keeping housing prices high. (CBC)

“The Bank of Canada wanted to cool the Canadian housing market, and they’ve been very successful in doing that,” he said.

“Interest rates are significantly higher than what they were a year ago, so that’s impacting first-time home buyers in what they qualify for in terms of a mortgage but it’s also making buyers kind of sit on the sidelines to wait until rates at least stabilize or start to come down.”

Stirling said demand is also starting to slow while Newfoundland and Labrador’s population has grown, which is raising prices.

The rest of country saw large price spikes after the pandemic hit that have since fallen by 20 to 30 per cent, Stirling said, but that hasn’t happened in Newfoundland and Labrador.

“Our situation has been one of slow, moderated, steady increase in values over the last three years. So it’s much more stable,” he said.

Home inflation

To look at the impact of inflation on home prices, the Realtor association uses its own metric, called the home price index — similar to the consumer price index, which measures inflation.

“In the St. John’s area, house values are about 16 per cent better now than they were three years ago. In much the rest of the province the growth has actually been stronger,” said Stirling.

“In central Newfoundland, compared to three years ago, our house values are about 25 per cent stronger, Labrador is about 36 per cent growth, Corner Brook and Humber Valley area, it’s about 32.5”

Housing values are up about 16 per cent from three years ago, says Stirling. (Mark Quinn/ CBC)

Stirling said housing prices are also directly affected by community activity, pointing to wind energy development and potential airport sale in the Stephenville area as an example. Housing prices in Labrador West also rise and fall on the value of iron ore, he said.

“When you’re thinking about what’s happening in your community or your region, that has the greatest impact on house values,” he said.

“We’ve seen some of the strongest growth over the last couple of years in non-urban parts of the province.”

For those hoping for housing prices to fall, Stirling said that likely won’t happen any time soon.

“We’ve heard lots of talk in the media in the last six months about the housing crisis and housing affordability issues — those are going to continue to be challenges for everybody,” he said.

“New home construction, if that doesn’t come back then we’ve got limited supply. I think all in all, I don’t see anything happening in terms of house prices coming down.”

Listen to the full interview:

CBC Newfoundland Morning6:10High interest rates have scored a hit on the province’s housing market, but things are still pretty hot for sellers. The head of the provincial association of realtors told us why

If you’ve been trying to buy a house this year, you know that in this province, it’s definitely a sellers’ market. But high interest rates and inflation have been making a dent in things this year. This week, the province issued its report on the most recent home sales. Bill Stirling is CEO of the Newfoundland and Labrador Association of Realtors.

 

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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