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Economy

How can businesses hasten the transition to a circular economy? – World Economic Forum

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  • An estimated $4.5 trillion of value is up for grabs in the circular economy.
  • Here’s how businesses can transition successfully to this new paradigm.
  • A combination of tech and a holistic approach can accelerate this process.

Substantial circular progress has been made, but we are not yet tipping the scale.

Over the past decade, the circular economy has come a long way. Numerous leading organizations around the globe have proven the business case for circularity by successfully adopting circular business models and leveraging disruptive technologies. However, these efforts have generally focused on small-scale initiatives or programmes that can be retrofitted into business-as-usual environments, limiting their transformative impact and scalability. To reach the full value potential of the circular economy, much more must be done.

In our work with dozens of clients and partners to deploy circular strategies around the globe, and through our analysis of more than 1,500 circular case studies via The Circulars, the world’s premier circular economy award programme, we have learned a lot. This extensive exposure to the circular movement has revealed a valuable lesson; obtaining competitive advantage from circularity requires more than just incremental change. It requires a fundamental reengineering of business.

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Circular models have the power to transform the world as we know it—and change the bottom line for businesses. It’s not a simple or straightforward undertaking, but it couldn’t be more important. Not only are we talking about the creation of an economic system that puts people and nature first, we are also referring to enormous economic value at risk of not being captured. In a report entitled Waste to Wealth, Accenture estimated the value at stake at $4.5 trillion by 2030. This is between 4-5% of the projected global gross domestic product (GDP), more than the entire German economy today (the world’s fourth largest).

The five circular business models

Image: Accenture

Moving from insight to action: the circular pivot

So, how can businesses today take bigger, bolder, more impactful steps towards the circular economy? We found that true impact and scale will only occur when companies deploy circular business models and disruptive Fourth Industrial Revolution technologies in a holistic manner across industry value chains to capture new growth and innovation opportunities, while also strengthening their core business. We refer to this as a “wise pivot.”

If industries embrace the wise pivot for circularity, it can yield astounding results. For example, analysis by Accenture has found that the fast-moving consumer goods industry can capture up to $110 billion by 2030 by optimizing its packaging for circularity. Investing in cheaper and newer ways to produce, manage and transmit renewable sources of electricity, meanwhile, could help the electricity industry capture up to $250 billion by 2030.

Individual companies can also achieve substantial results by embracing the pivot. Our experience has proven that utilizing circular business models as a framework for success is a good place to start. For instance, one avenue by which Dutch multinational Philips has generated significant value for their business is through embracing the Product as a Service model. One example is Lumify, a subscription service which provides customers access to ultrasound transducers, apps and an online ecosystem. The revenue generated from such green and circular initiatives constituted 64% and 12% of the company’s sales respectively in 2016, demonstrating the value of moving towards circularity.

The global population is expected to reach close to 9 billion people by 2030 – inclusive of 3 billion new middle-class consumers.This places unprecedented pressure on natural resources to meet future consumer demand.

A circular economy is an industrial system that is restorative or regenerative by intention and design. It replaces the end-of-life concept with restoration, shifts towards the use of renewable energy, eliminates the use of toxic chemicals and aims for the elimination of waste through the superior design of materials, products, systems and business models.

Nothing that is made in a circular economy becomes waste, moving away from our current linear ‘take-make-dispose’ economy. The circular economy’s potential for innovation, job creation and economic development is huge: estimates indicate a trillion-dollar opportunity.

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The World Economic Forum has collaborated with the Ellen MacArthur Foundation for a number of years to accelerate the Circular Economy transition through Project MainStream – a CEO-led initiative that helps to scale business driven circular economy innovations.

Join our project, part of the World Economic Forum’s Shaping the Future of Environment and Natural Resource Security System Initiative, by contacting us to become a member or partner.

Moreover, when you couple the business models with disruptive Fourth Industrial Revolution technologies – across the digital, physical and biological realms – the impact is accelerated, especially when these technologies are used in combination.

Digital + Digital: Winnow, a technology company in the hospitality sector, is helping its customers tackle the massive issue of food waste by deploying a combination of Fourth Industrial Revolution technologies. Utilizing artificial intelligence tools and accurate analytics, Winnow claims it can help chefs cut food waste in half, reduce food costs by 3%-8%, and achieve an increase in return on investment (ROI) of up to 10 times in year one

Digital + Biological: Indoor farming leader AeroFarms’ use of aeroponics and predictive analytics reduces resource consumption and waste generation, while increasing quality output. Co-founder and CEO David Rosenberg cites his firm’s combined focus on circularity and innovative technology as one of the key attractions for top talent – as a company of less than 100 employees, they receive over 2,000 job applications every month.

Digital + Physical + Biological: In tire company Goodyear’s new concept tire, Oxygene, moss grows within the sidewall of the tire by absorbing moisture from the road; the moss improves traction while helping to remove carbon dioxide from the air. For a city about the size of Paris, with 2.5 million vehicles, these tires could potentially extract 40,000 tons of carbon dioxide every year. Moreover, the energy harvested from the moss’ photosynthesis could then power electronic sensors in the tire that, through internet of things (IoT) technology, would be able to exchange data with other vehicles as well as with the transportation infrastructure, thus enabling applications for smart mobility.

The disruptive 4IR technologies enabling the circular economy

The disruptive 4IR technologies enabling the circular economy

Image: Accenture

The journey to maturity: a holistic transformation

A circular pivot does not happen by looking at segments of the organization in isolation. To capitalize on the transformational power of the circular business models and enabling disruptive technologies, and to accomplish a holistic pivot, organizations must advance their circular maturity across four dimensions:

The four dimensions of a circular pivot

The four dimensions of a circular pivot

Image: Accenture

No matter where you are in your circular journey, the time to act and to support the acceleration of the circular transition is now. The Circular Economy Handbook, which features an abundance of strategies, practical insights and case studies, can support your business in delivering the disruptive changes needed to secure a sustainable future for all, and will be launched at this year’s World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos.

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Economy

Biden's Hot Economy Stokes Currency Fears for the Rest of World – Bloomberg

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As Joe Biden this week hailed America’s booming economy as the strongest in the world during a reelection campaign tour of battleground-state Pennsylvania, global finance chiefs convening in Washington had a different message: cool it.

The push-back from central bank governors and finance ministers gathering for the International Monetary Fund-World Bank spring meetings highlight how the sting from a surging US economy — manifested through high interest rates and a strong dollar — is ricocheting around the world by forcing other currencies lower and complicating plans to bring down borrowing costs.

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Economy

Opinion: Higher capital gains taxes won't work as claimed, but will harm the economy – The Globe and Mail

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Open this photo in gallery:

Canada’s Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland hold the 2024-25 budget, on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, on April 16.Patrick Doyle/Reuters

Alex Whalen and Jake Fuss are analysts at the Fraser Institute.

Amid a federal budget riddled with red ink and tax hikes, the Trudeau government has increased capital gains taxes. The move will be disastrous for Canada’s growth prospects and its already-lagging investment climate, and to make matters worse, research suggests it won’t work as planned.

Currently, individuals and businesses who sell a capital asset in Canada incur capital gains taxes at a 50-per-cent inclusion rate, which means that 50 per cent of the gain in the asset’s value is subject to taxation at the individual or business’s marginal tax rate. The Trudeau government is raising this inclusion rate to 66.6 per cent for all businesses, trusts and individuals with capital gains over $250,000.

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The problems with hiking capital gains taxes are numerous.

First, capital gains are taxed on a “realization” basis, which means the investor does not incur capital gains taxes until the asset is sold. According to empirical evidence, this creates a “lock-in” effect where investors have an incentive to keep their capital invested in a particular asset when they might otherwise sell.

For example, investors may delay selling capital assets because they anticipate a change in government and a reversal back to the previous inclusion rate. This means the Trudeau government is likely overestimating the potential revenue gains from its capital gains tax hike, given that individual investors will adjust the timing of their asset sales in response to the tax hike.

Second, the lock-in effect creates a drag on economic growth as it incentivizes investors to hold off selling their assets when they otherwise might, preventing capital from being deployed to its most productive use and therefore reducing growth.

Budget’s capital gains tax changes divide the small business community

And Canada’s growth prospects and investment climate have both been in decline. Canada currently faces the lowest growth prospects among all OECD countries in terms of GDP per person. Further, between 2014 and 2021, business investment (adjusted for inflation) in Canada declined by $43.7-billion. Hiking taxes on capital will make both pressing issues worse.

Contrary to the government’s framing – that this move only affects the wealthy – lagging business investment and slow growth affect all Canadians through lower incomes and living standards. Capital taxes are among the most economically damaging forms of taxation precisely because they reduce the incentive to innovate and invest. And while taxes on capital gains do raise revenue, the economic costs exceed the amount of tax collected.

Previous governments in Canada understood these facts. In the 2000 federal budget, then-finance minister Paul Martin said a “key factor contributing to the difficulty of raising capital by new startups is the fact that individuals who sell existing investments and reinvest in others must pay tax on any realized capital gains,” an explicit acknowledgment of the lock-in effect and costs of capital gains taxes. Further, that Liberal government reduced the capital gains inclusion rate, acknowledging the importance of a strong investment climate.

At a time when Canada badly needs to improve the incentives to invest, the Trudeau government’s 2024 budget has introduced a damaging tax hike. In delivering the budget, Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland said “Canada, a growing country, needs to make investments in our country and in Canadians right now.” Individuals and businesses across the country likely agree on the importance of investment. Hiking capital gains taxes will achieve the exact opposite effect.

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Economy

Nigeria's Economy, Once Africa's Biggest, Slips to Fourth Place – Bloomberg

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Nigeria’s economy, which ranked as Africa’s largest in 2022, is set to slip to fourth place this year and Egypt, which held the top position in 2023, is projected to fall to second behind South Africa after a series of currency devaluations, International Monetary Fund forecasts show.

The IMF’s World Economic Outlook estimates Nigeria’s gross domestic product at $253 billion based on current prices this year, lagging energy-rich Algeria at $267 billion, Egypt at $348 billion and South Africa at $373 billion.

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