How Higher Interest Rates Are Affecting Canadians (and How to Invest Accordingly) | Canada News Media
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How Higher Interest Rates Are Affecting Canadians (and How to Invest Accordingly)

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Since 2022, the Bank of Canada has increased the policy interest rate by 4.50-4.75%. Higher interest rates have made Canadians with variable interest rate debt experience a climb in interest expense over time.

Interestingly, Canadians are keeping up with their mortgage payments. A Ratehub article titled “Can your mortgage lender force you to sell your home through power of sale?” that was published on June 15 noted that “according to data from Equifax, 0.15% of mortgages are overdue by 90 days or more compared with 0.21% at the same time in 2021.”

Canadians may be prioritizing their mortgage payments over other loans, as no one wants to lose their home that they’ve worked so hard to get (and began building equity in). The article also wrote, “Other professional worriers are looking at the number of non-mortgage loans that are behind on payments. Excluding mortgages, 1.10% of Canadian loans are at least 90 days past due, an increase of more than 25% since this time last year.”

The capital tightening makes it harder for anyone to qualify for financing. For example, the article stated, “Rising interest rates have pushed home values down, made it harder to qualify for financing, and extended the time it takes to sell a home. Where overextended homeowners could quickly sell for a profit in previous years, that’s not always the case anymore.”

Get more monthly income from quality Canadian REITs

Higher interest rates have also weighed on stock valuations, including Canadian real estate investment trusts (REITs). Here are a couple of the top Canadian REITs Canadian investors can consider on the pullback for more monthly income. Compound interest could be more effective when you’re able to reinvest your cash distributions sooner.

Choice Properties REIT

Choice Properties REIT (TSX:CHP.UN) is a defensive REIT with a focus on grocery-anchored retail real estate properties that guarantee regular foot traffic. Specifically, across its 703 properties, about 82% is necessity-based retail properties. Based on net operating income, the portfolio has about 80% in this kind of defensive retail properties, 15% in industrial properties, and 5% in mixed-use and residential properties.

Its largest tenant is Loblaw, which contributed 57% of its gross rental revenue in the first quarter (Q1). Not surprisingly, its Q1 occupancy remained high at approximately 97.7%. Year over year, it also witnessed its same-asset net operating income rising 4.6%. The REIT currently has an investment-grade DBRS credit rating of BBB.

The stock is down about 16% from its 52-week high. At $13.17 per unit, the stock offers a cash-distribution yield of about 5.7%. The analyst consensus 12-month price target represents a discount of 17% or near-term upside potential of just north of 20%. If the REIT sector continues to be pressured, the stock could dip to roughly $12.50.

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Granite REIT

If you want greater exposure to the higher-growth market of industrial properties, you can explore Granite REIT (TSX:GRT.UN) on this pullback. The demand for industrial properties continues to be strong, as suggested by Granite REIT’s recent high occupancy of about 99.6%.

Its portfolio is diversified across 128 income-producing properties and 12 development properties or land. Additionally, it has a track record of increasing its cash distribution by 12 consecutive years with a 10-year cash-distribution growth rate of 4.5%.

The stock is 17% lower from its 52-week high. At $73.43 per unit, the industrial REIT offers a cash distribution yield of almost 4.4%. The analyst consensus price target implies a discount of 25% or near-term upside potential of 33%.

Investor takeaway

On the pullback from higher interest rates, investors should consider capturing shares from quality REITs opportunistically on pullbacks for greater monthly income.

 

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

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Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

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U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

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TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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