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How to argue about politics this Thanksgiving

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If you’re going to argue about politics this Thanksgiving and want to sound like you know what you’re talking about, here’s a guide on how to do it. Here’s what’s happening on four of the most pressing political questions right now.

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1. Could President Biden lose the election next year?

Yes, it’s possible: Americans are worried about his age. They aren’t giving him credit for the economic recovery after the pandemic. And from his unwavering public support for Israel, to his struggles to forgive as many student loans as he promised, to his failure address the climate crisis as fully as environmentalists want, as well as Congress’s inability to pass voting protections, Democrats worry he’s alienated his supporters.

“I am very concerned that the Democratic base — particularly younger Democrats — may decide to stay home in the next presidential election,” Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore.) told The Washington Post’s Early 202 newsletter. (Elections in such an ideologically split America are more about bringing out your own voters than winning over the other side.)

The case for Biden winning: The threat of a national abortion ban under a Republican president, plus a second Trump presidency, may be enough to motivate liberals to go vote.

“Joe Biden is going to be the nominee, and he is the best bet to beat Donald Trump, and people have to help us make that happen because the alternative is Donald Trump and is a catastrophe for American democracy,” a top Democratic strategist, Dmitri Mehlhorn, told The Washington Post.

2. How seriously should we take Trump’s authoritarian lean?

He has promised to exact retribution on his enemies, and he’s called them “vermin” like fascist leaders of the past. Trump is scaring a lot of Republican leaders.

“This is an existential moment for the country,” the former head of the Republican National Committee, Michael Steele, told me. “Do you really want to live in a country where the president of the United States is going after his political enemies?”

Many Republicans who worked for Trump are aghast that millions of voters still support him when he’s been crystal clear about his plans to turn away from democracy if elected.

“What’s going on in the country that a single person thinks this guy would still be a good president when he’s said the things he’s said and done the things he’s done?” Trump’s former chief of staff John F. Kelly told The Washington Post’s Josh Dawsey.

Steele added that he’s frustrated that the media sometimes equates concerns about how Trump and Biden would do their jobs. For instance, is Biden’s age really in the same risk category as Trump’s authoritarian tendencies?

“Voters must take Trump seriously and literally,” reads the headline on an analysis by The Washington Post’s chief political correspondent, Dan Balz. “The stakes are that high.”

3. What did Hunter Biden actually do that’s wrong?

The president’s son is charged by the federal government with illegally buying a gun. He could face charges soon on dodging taxes. But he’s facing accusations — without evidence — from Republicans that he and his father improperly enriched themselves. Here’s what we know he did.

Hunter Biden did trade on his father’s name: He made ethically and politically questionable business deals with the Chinese and Ukrainians while his father was vice president. He would put his father on speakerphone during business dinners, as an apparent power flex. He knew opportunities came to him because of his connections to his dad, writes The Washington Post’s Matt Viser, who uncovered this 2011 email Hunter Biden wrote to a business partner: “It has nothing to do with me, and everything to do with my last name.”

There is no evidence Hunter Biden involved his father in business schemes: Now-President Biden didn’t try to hide that he knew about his son’s foreign business deals. And he didn’t appear to actively discourage his son’s work, writes Matt. But there remains no evidence that father and son were working together, in any way, to enrich themselves while Biden was vice president, or to improperly use the office of the vice presidency.

So did Hunter Biden do anything wrong? It depends how you define “wrong.” Making money isn’t illegal, and trading on connections is a time-honored tradition in Washington. But ethics experts have raised concerns that Hunter Biden’s work abroad allowed foreign companies to have a sheen of authority and presented a conflict of interest for his father.

4. Can any other Republican beat Trump in the primary?

Some Republicans say no way. The first votes in the primaries are cast in January. He has no criminal trials between now and then, and after 91 indictments, his lead over the rest of the Republican presidential field looks like this:

“What would make voters this past few months pull away from Trump when they haven’t the past year?” Steele, the former chair of the Republican Party, scoffed.

But Trump isn’t inevitable, says journalist Salena Zito, who covers conservative politics. She said Trump voters might tell pollsters they like him, but they tell her they’re still deciding who to vote for. “They have a hard time differentiating their respect for what he did and giving him their vote again,” she said.

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NDP caving to Poilievre on carbon price, has no idea how to fight climate change: PM

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OTTAWA – Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says the NDP is caving to political pressure from Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre when it comes to their stance on the consumer carbon price.

Trudeau says he believes Jagmeet Singh and the NDP care about the environment, but it’s “increasingly obvious” that they have “no idea” what to do about climate change.

On Thursday, Singh said the NDP is working on a plan that wouldn’t put the burden of fighting climate change on the backs of workers, but wouldn’t say if that plan would include a consumer carbon price.

Singh’s noncommittal position comes as the NDP tries to frame itself as a credible alternative to the Conservatives in the next federal election.

Poilievre responded to that by releasing a video, pointing out that the NDP has voted time and again in favour of the Liberals’ carbon price.

British Columbia Premier David Eby also changed his tune on Thursday, promising that a re-elected NDP government would scrap the long-standing carbon tax and shift the burden to “big polluters,” if the federal government dropped its requirements.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Quebec consumer rights bill to regulate how merchants can ask for tips

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Quebec wants to curb excessive tipping.

Simon Jolin-Barrette, minister responsible for consumer protection, has tabled a bill to force merchants to calculate tips based on the price before tax.

That means on a restaurant bill of $100, suggested tips would be calculated based on $100, not on $114.98 after provincial and federal sales taxes are added.

The bill would also increase the rebate offered to consumers when the price of an item at the cash register is higher than the shelf price, to $15 from $10.

And it would force grocery stores offering a discounted price for several items to clearly list the unit price as well.

Businesses would also have to indicate whether taxes will be added to the price of food products.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Youri Chassin quits CAQ to sit as Independent, second member to leave this month

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Quebec legislature member Youri Chassin has announced he’s leaving the Coalition Avenir Québec government to sit as an Independent.

He announced the decision shortly after writing an open letter criticizing Premier François Legault’s government for abandoning its principles of smaller government.

In the letter published in Le Journal de Montréal and Le Journal de Québec, Chassin accused the party of falling back on what he called the old formula of throwing money at problems instead of looking to do things differently.

Chassin says public services are more fragile than ever, despite rising spending that pushed the province to a record $11-billion deficit projected in the last budget.

He is the second CAQ member to leave the party in a little more than one week, after economy and energy minister Pierre Fitzgibbon announced Sept. 4 he would leave because he lost motivation to do his job.

Chassin says he has no intention of joining another party and will instead sit as an Independent until the end of his term.

He has represented the Saint-Jérôme riding since the CAQ rose to power in 2018, but has not served in cabinet.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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