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If this doesn’t get you to pay attention to your investing fees, nothing will

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The brain trust for financial planning standards in Canada thinks a 50-50 balanced portfolio of stocks and bonds will make an average 4.7 per cent annually over the long term.

Every cent you pay in fees undermines that underwhelming return. If this doesn’t get people engaged with the cost of investing, what will?

The return estimates come from the 2023 Projection Assumption Guidelines published by the FP Canada Standards Council and the Institut québécois de planification financière. These guidelines are meant to provide prudent numbers for financial planners to use in their work for clients. The numbers are meant to reflect long-term results, not what you should expect for this year or next.

The 2023 guidelines are as follows:

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-Short-term money, aka cash: 2.3 per cent

-Bonds: 3.2 per cent

-Canadian stocks: 6.2 per cent

-Foreign developed market stocks: 6.5 per cent

-Emerging market stocks: 7.4 per cent

The guidelines also include assumptions for a relatively conservative portfolio with 5 per cent in the short-term bucket, 45 per cent in bonds, 40 per cent in Canadian stocks and 10 per cent in foreign developed stocks. The total gross projected return for this portfolio would be 4.7 per cent, which falls to 3.4 per cent after fees pegged at 1.3 per cent.

One way to increase the potential returns of this portfolio would be to add exposure to Canadian, foreign and emerging market stocks. But asset allocation tweaks will only take you so far, especially if you have limited tolerance for stock market volatility.

This brings us to fees. The 1.3 per cent fee used in the financial planning guidelines reflects what an investment adviser or planner would charge plus the cost of owning low-cost exchange-traded funds. All-in fees for advisers using mutual funds would be higher – maybe 2 per cent or more in some cases.

DIY investing seems an obvious answer for lowering fees, but it’s not for everyone. And, there’s the reality that advice has value in providing a financial planning overlay for investing, coaching people through the emotional traps of investing and choosing investments.

The best approach to lowering fees is to examine all your costs, see if they provide value and then, where appropriate, look for cheaper alternatives. For example, mutual fund investors should compare their results with those of low-fee ETFs. This is easy to do – just look at the online product profiles that all mutual fund and ETF companies offer.

Not all ETFs are cheap, by the way. Funds that track broad, well-known stock and bond indexes have management expense ratios as low as 0.06 per cent, or thereabouts. ETFs that use more complex or niche strategies can be in the 0.5 and up range – are they demonstrably better than cheaper funds?

As for the cost of using an adviser or planner, you need to consider the fee on one hand and the services provided on the other. Your fee can be described as well-earned if you have a financial plan in place, helpful ongoing management of your portfolio and confidence that you’re making progress in reaching your goals.

— Rob Carrick, personal finance columnist

This is the Globe Investor newsletter, published three times each week. If someone has forwarded this e-mail newsletter to you or you’re reading this on the web, you can sign up for the newsletter and others on our newsletter signup page.

The Rundown

Two ways yield-hungry investors can benefit from the surge in gold

Gold has been on a roll for the past several months despite rising interest rates, which normally are a headwind for the precious metal. But most income-oriented investors aren’t participating in the gold surge. That’s because gold doesn’t pay interest or dividends. But financial engineers have devised a way to have your gold and live off it too. They’ve launched exchange-traded funds that invest in gold miners and generate income by selling covered call options against some or all of the portfolio. Investors who hold these ETFs are currently receiving attractive yields as well as capital gains. Gordon Pape takes a look at two of them.

Energy stocks are down this year. But the bullish case is very much alive

Strong demand for oil amid limited production was supposed to keep crude prices elevated, rewarding investors with soaring share prices and gushing dividends. Crude oil isn’t playing along, though. The price of West Texas Intermediate briefly dipped below US$70 a barrel this week, bringing the total decline to more than 40 per cent over the past 11 months. The decline is weighing on Canadian energy stocks, which are down 7 per cent this year. But, as David Berman tell us, the bullish case for owning energy stocks is still persuasive.

Investors criticize popular sustainability-linked bonds as investors warn of false environmental claims

Sustainability-linked bonds are rapidly becoming unsustainable. The bonds have only been around since 2019, but investors are already beginning to sour on a product once heralded as the first green financial instrument with teeth. As Jameson Berkow reports, the substantial discretion granted to issuers when setting their environmental, social and governance (ESG) on these products have made sustainability-linked bonds ripe for abuse.

Others (for subscribers)

Monday’s analyst upgrades and downgrades

Ask Globe Investor

Question: I hold units of Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP (BIP-UN-T) in my tax-free savings account. My accountant informed me that there are no taxes in a TFSA. However, my discount broker, BMO InvestorLine, has been deducting foreign withholding tax from my quarterly BIP.UN distributions. What is going on here?

Answer: As you’ve discovered, tax-free savings accounts aren’t always tax free.

BIP.UN is a Bermuda-based limited partnership that derives its income from holding companies in Canada, the United States and Bermuda. While payments from its operations in Canada and Bermuda are not subject to withholding tax, “payments from holding companies in the U.S. to a Canadian resident … may be subject to withholding taxes,” the partnership explains on its website.

You can generally avoid U.S. withholding tax by holding your BIP.UN units in a registered retirement savings plan or other registered retirement accounts, which are exempt from U.S. withholding tax under the Canada-U.S. tax treaty. However, the exemption does not apply to TFSAs, non-registered accounts, registered education savings plans or other accounts that are not specifically for retirement purposes. The same rules apply to dividends from U.S. companies, which face a 15-per-cent withholding tax unless the shares are held in a retirement account.

In the case of BIP.UN, the good news is that the amounts withheld, if any, are typically much smaller. There was no withholding tax on BIP.UN’s March 31 distribution, for example, and the amount withheld from the Dec. 30 payment was just one cent per unit. In other quarters, withholding tax has been slightly higher or lower. The reason the amounts are tiny is that withholding taxes typically apply only to a portion of BIP.UN’s distribution, not the full amount.

If you can’t stand the idea of paying even a penny of withholding tax, you could move your BIP.UN units to your RRSP. Or, you could swap them for shares of sister company Brookfield Infrastructure Corp. (BIPC), whose dividends are not subject to U.S. withholding tax. (BIPC’s dividend and BIP.UN’s distribution have the same dollar value, but the former qualifies for the Canadian dividend tax credit in a non-registered account.) However, because BIPC trades at a higher price than BIP.UN, and therefore has a lower yield, your investment income will take a hit if you purchase an equivalent dollar amount of BIPC.

I’m not sure it’s worth it to save a small amount of withholding tax every year. If you like BIP.UN as an investment, holding it in a TFSA isn’t a big deal.

–John Heinzl (E-mail your questions to jheinzl@globeandmail.com)

What’s up in the days ahead

Gordon Pape takes a look at mid-size TSX energy stocks that are continuing to pull their weight even with the recent drop in oil prices.

 

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BWXT announces $80M investment for plant in Cambridge – CityNews Kitchener

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BWX Technologies (BWXT) in Cambridge is investing $80-million to expand their nuclear manufacturing plant in Cambridge.

Minister of Energy, Todd Smith, was in the city on Friday to join the company in the announcement.

The investment will create over 200 new skilled and unionized jobs. This is part of the province’s plan to expand affordable and clean nuclear energy to power the economy.

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“With shovels in the ground today on new nuclear generation, including the first small modular reactor in the G7, I’m so pleased to see global nuclear manufacturers like BWXT expanding their operations in Cambridge and hiring more Ontario workers,” Smith said. “The benefits of Ontario’s nuclear industry reaches far beyond the stations at Darlington, Pickering and Bruce, and this $80 million investment shows how all communities can help meet Ontario’s growing demand for clean energy, while also securing local investments and creating even more good-paying jobs.”

The added jobs will support BWXT’s existing operations across the province as well as help the sector’s ongoing operations of existing nuclear stations at Darlington, Bruce and Pickering.

“Our expansion comes at a time when we’re supporting our customers in the successful execution of some of the largest clean nuclear energy projects in the world,” John MacQuarrie, President of Commercial Operations at BWXT, said.

“At the same time, the global nuclear industry is increasingly being called upon to mitigate the impacts of climate change and increase energy security and independence. By investing significantly in our Cambridge manufacturing facility, BWXT is further positioning our business to serve our customers to produce more safe, clean and reliable electricity in Canada and abroad.”

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AI investments will help chip sector to recover: Analyst – Yahoo Finance

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The semiconductor sector is undergoing a correction as interest rate cut expectations dwindle, prompting concerns about the impact on these high-growth, technology-driven stocks. Wedbush Enterprise Hardware Analyst Matt Bryson joins Yahoo Finance to discuss the dynamics shaping the chip industry.

Bryson acknowledges that the rise of generative AI has been a significant driving force behind the recent success of chip stocks. While he believes that AI is shifting “the way technology works,” he notes it will take time. Due to this, Bryson highlights that “significant investment” will continue to occur in the chip market, fueled by the growth of generative AI applications.

However, Bryson cautions that as interest rates remain elevated, it could “weigh on consumer spending.” Nevertheless, he expresses confidence that the AI revolution “changing the landscape for tech” will likely insulate the sector from the effect of high interest rates, as investors are unwilling to miss out on the “next technology” breakthrough.

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For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Yahoo Finance.

This post was written by Angel Smith

Video Transcript

BRAD SMITH: As rate cut bets shift, so have moves in one sector, in particular. Shares of AMD and Intel, both down over 15% in the last 30 days. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, also known as Sox, dropping over 10% from recent highs, despite a higher rate environment.

Our next guest is still bullish on the sector. Matt Bryson, Wedbush Enterprise Hardware analyst, joins us now. Matt, thanks so much for taking the time here. Walk us through your thesis here, especially, given some of the pullback that we’ve seen recently.

MATT BRYSON: So I think what we’ve seen over the last year or so is that the growth of generative AI has fueled the chip stocks. And the expectation that AI is going to shift everything in the way that technology works.

And I think that at the end of the day, that that thesis will prove out. I think the question is really timing. But the investments that we’ve seen that have lifted NVIDIA, that have lifted AMD, that have lifted the chip stock and sector, in general, the large cloud service providers, building out data centers. I don’t think anything has changed there in the near term.

So when I speak to OEMs, who are making AI servers, when I speak to cloud service providers, there is still significant investment going on in that space. That investment is slated to continue certainly into 2025. And I think, as long as there is this substantial investment, that we will see chip names report strong numbers and guide for strong growth.

SEANA SMITH: Matt, when it comes to the fact that we are in this macroeconomic environment right now, likelihood that rates will be higher for longer here, at least, when you take a look at the expectations, especially following some of the commentary that we got from Fed officials this week, what does that signal more broadly for the AI trade, meaning, is there a reason to be a bit more cautious in this higher for longer rate environment, at least, in the near term?

MATT BRYSON: Yeah. I think certainly from a market perspective, high interest rates weight on the market. Eventually, they weigh on consumer spending. Certainly, for a lot of the chip names, they’re high multiple stocks.

When you think about where there can be more of a reaction or a negative reaction to high interest rates, certainly, it has some impact on those names. But in terms of, again, AI changing the fundamental landscape for tech, I don’t think that high interest rates or low interest rates will change that.

So when you think about Microsoft, Amazon, all of those large data center operators looking at AI, potentially, changing the landscape forever and wanting to make a bet on AI to make sure that they don’t miss that change, I don’t think whether interest rates are low or high are going to really affect their investment.

I think they’re going to go ahead and invest because no one wants to be the guy that missed the next technology wave.

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If pension funds can't see the case for investing in Canada, why should you? – The Globe and Mail

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It’s time to ask a rude question: Is Canada still worth investing in?

Before you rush to deliver an appropriately patriotic response, think about the issue for a moment.

A good place to begin is with the federal government’s announcement this week that it is forming a task force under former Bank of Canada governor Stephen Poloz. The task force’s job will be to find ways to encourage Canadian pension funds to invest more of their assets in Canada.

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Wooing pension funds has become a high-priority matter for Ottawa because, at the moment, these big institutional investors don’t invest all that much in Canada. The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, for instance, had a mere 14 per cent of its massive $570-billion portfolio in Canadian assets at the end of its last fiscal year.

Other major Canadian pension plans have similar allocations, especially if you look beyond their holdings of government bonds and consider only their investments in stocks, infrastructure and real assets. When it comes to such risky assets, these big, sophisticated players often see more potential for good returns outside of Canada than at home.

This leads to a simple question: If the CPPIB and other sophisticated investors aren’t overwhelmed by Canada’s investment appeal, why should you and I be?

It’s not as if Canadian stocks have a record of outstanding success. Over the past decade, they have lagged far behind the juicy returns of the U.S.-based S&P 500.

To be fair, other countries have also fallen short of Wall Street’s glorious run. Still, Canadian stocks have only a middling record over the past 10 years even when measured against other non-U.S. peers. They have trailed French and Japanese stocks and achieved much the same results as their Australian counterparts. There is no obvious Canadian edge.

There are also no obvious reasons to think this middle-of-the-pack record will suddenly improve.

A generation of mismanagement by both major Canadian political parties has spawned a housing crisis and kneecapped productivity growth. It has driven household debt burdens to scary levels.

Policy makers appear unwilling to take bold action on many long-standing problems. Interprovincial trade barriers remain scandalously high, supply-managed agriculture continues to coddle inefficient small producers, and tax policy still pushes people to invest in homes rather than in productive enterprises.

From an investor’s perspective, the situation is not that appetizing. A handful of big banks, a cluster of energy producers and a pair of railways dominate Canada’s stock market. They are solid businesses, yes, but they are also mature industries, with less than thrilling growth prospects.

What is largely missing from the Canadian stock scene are big companies with the potential to expand and innovate around the globe. Shopify Inc. SHOP-T and Brookfield Corp. BN-T qualify. After that, the pickings get scarce, especially in areas such as health care, technology and retailing.

So why hold Canadian stocks at all? Four rationales come to mind:

  • Canadian stocks have lower political risk than U.S. stocks, especially in the run-up to this year’s U.S. presidential election. They also are far away from the front lines of any potential European or Asian conflict.
  • They are cheaper than U.S. stocks on many metrics, including price-to-earnings ratios, price-to-book ratios and dividend yields. Scored in terms of these standard market metrics, they are valued more or less in line with European and Japanese stocks, according to Citigroup calculations.
  • Canadian dividends carry some tax advantages and holding reliable Canadian dividend payers means you don’t have to worry about exchange-rate fluctuations.
  • Despite what you may think, Canada’s fiscal situation actually looks relatively benign. Many countries have seen an explosion of debt since the pandemic hit, but our projected deficits are nowhere near as worrisome as those in the United States, China, Italy or Britain, according to International Monetary Fund figures.

How compelling you find these rationales will depend upon your personal circumstances. Based strictly on the numbers, Canadian stocks look like ho-hum investments – they’re reasonable enough places to put your money, but they fail to stand out compared with what is available globally.

Canadians, though, have always displayed a striking fondness for homebrew. Canadian stocks make up only a smidgen of the global market – about 3 per cent, to be precise – but Canadians typically pour more than half of their total stock market investments into Canadian stocks, according to the International Monetary Fund. This home market bias is hard to justify on any rational basis.

What is more reasonable? Vanguard Canada crunched the historical data in a report last year and concluded that Canadian investors could achieve the best balance between risk and reward by devoting only about 30 per cent of their equity holdings to Canadian stocks.

This seems to be more or less in line with what many Canadian pension funds currently do. They have about half their portfolio in equities, so devoting 30 per cent of that half to domestic stocks works out to holding about 15 per cent of their total portfolio in Canadian equities.

That modest allocation to Canadian stocks is a useful model for Canadian investors of all sizes. And if Ottawa doesn’t like it? Perhaps it could do more to make Canada an attractive investment destination.

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