Impact of coronavirus on spring housing market still unknown, local real-estate professionals say - cleveland.com | Canada News Media
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Impact of coronavirus on spring housing market still unknown, local real-estate professionals say – cleveland.com

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CLEVELAND, Ohio — The novel coronavirus and resulting economic fallout is sure to have some effect on the local housing market, but, with rapidly changing conditions, it’s unclear just what they will be.

As COVID-19 testing capabilities ramp up, more and more cases are being confirmed across the U.S, prompting precautionary public health responses such as Ohio’s ban on mass gatherings and closure of schools. Meanwhile, the stock market has experienced massive fluctuations, earlier this week experiencing its biggest crash since 1987 before rallying Friday on the declaration of a national state of emergency. Mortgage rates rose this week after dropping to their lowest levels on record as investors reacted to the pandemic.

Locally, real-estate professionals say the effects on the housing market have not yet been fully seen, partly because the new reality is just now setting in for many Ohioans. The latest home sale data, from January, pointed to a strong market, but much has changed since then and experts said the typically busy spring season is likely to see some impact.

“I see it just starting to brew here in Cleveland,” said Judy Gorbett Darwal, owner of a Re/Max Trinity brokerage in Brecksville and immediate past president of the Akron Cleveland Association of Realtors.

Sellers react

The National Association of Realtors reported this week that, because of coronavirus, nearly 1 in 4 home sellers nationwide are changing how their home is shown to potential buyers.

Sellers are in some cases halting open houses, requiring prospective buyers to wash their hands or use hand sanitizer, or asking buyers to remove their shoes, according to an NAR survey of 2,518 members between March 9 and 10. (NAR oversampled members in Washington state and California because of larger known outbreaks there.)

Locally, real-estate professionals say they are more concerned about reactions from sellers than from buyers, although they have not yet seen many changes.

Howard Hanna Real Estate Services, for example, provided data indicating that home showings this week have been on pace with, or on some days better than, showings from the last two weeks.

Anecdotally, Darwal said she has heard about anxiety among local sellers that buyers may be holding off on purchasing decisions, prompting concerns about keeping homes on the market so long that they lose value.

“We’re seeing this has carried more into seller psychology,” said Joe Rath, Ohio market manager for Redfin. “Sellers are a little bit more worried about whether this is the right timing for them,” in addition to concerns about letting people into their homes.

Real-estate brokerages are adapting by promoting tools such as virtual or video tours of homes to limit in-person showings, although some real-estate professionals acknowledged that buyers may still want to visit a home before making such a significant purchase.

There is some concern that sellers holding off on listing their homes will exacerbate a long-running challenge: There are not enough homes for sale to meet demand from buyers.

Nationally, this does not yet appear to be the reality. Just 3% of respondents to NAR’s survey said homes were removed from the market due to coronavirus.

But it’s something that agents will be watching closely.

“We’ve had challenges with inventory for quite some time,” said Hoby Hanna, president of Howard Hanna Real Estate Services. “This may present a new challenge: If somebody takes advantage of refinancing their house at these low rates, they may take themselves out of the market of even thinking of selling.”

And if the economic consequences of the pandemic lead to a recession, growth in badly needed new-home construction may dampen, he noted.

Buyers still interested

At this point, real-estate professionals don’t seem to believe coronavirus will stymie interest from buyers.

About 16% of respondents to the NAR survey said coronavirus has led to decreased or significantly decreased interest from buyers, but 78% said they had not seen any change in buyer interest. And lower mortgage rates are a more important factor to home buyers than what’s happening with the stock market, according to NAR data.

Homeowners and prospective buyers responded last week to the plunge in mortgage rates caused by investor panic over coronavirus. Mortgage refinance applications soared 79% compared with the week prior, while applications for home purchase loans increased 6%, according to the latest Mortgage Banker Association data. Mortgage rates have since jumped back up, with the 30-year fixed rate back up to 3.65% this week.

Still, even amid uncertainty about how sellers will react or what the longer-term economic effects of the pandemic will be, local real-estate professionals don’t expect a housing market downturn, or for buyers to back down.

“I don’t think that buyer demand is going to go away,” Hanna said.

But, some sources noted, that’s just what they think today. With so much volatility, and so many unknowns, the housing market of tomorrow could be much different than the housing market today.

Read more coronavirus coverage:

University Hospitals can now test in-house for coronavirus

Cleveland Clinic identifies ‘handful’ of positive coronavirus cases

Hospitals to offer drive-thru coronavirus testing

Clinic, UH to begin in-house coronavirus testing

Clinic limits visiting students, residents

Coronavirus in Ohio nursing homes

3 coronavirus patients treated at UH

Jewish Education Center employee tests positive

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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