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In highly uneven recovery, global investment flows rebound – UN News

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That’s according to the latest Investment Trends Monitor, released this Tuesday by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD).  

It shows the increase in the first two quarters in FDI, recovered more than 70 per cent of the losses stemming from the COVID-19 crisis in 2020. 

For the UNCTAD‘s director of investment and enterprise, James Zhan, the good news “masks the growing divergence in FDI flows between developed and developing economies, as well as the lag in a broad-based recovery of the greenfield investment in productive capacity.” 

Mr. Zhan also warns that “uncertainties remain abundant”. 

Global outlook  

The duration of the health crisis, the pace of vaccinations, especially in developing countries, and the speed of implementation of infrastructure stimulus, remain important factors of uncertainty. 

Other important risk factors are labour and supply chain bottlenecks, rising energy prices and inflationary pressures.  

Despite these challenges, the global outlook for the full year has improved from earlier projections. 

The growth in the next few months should be more muted than the in the first half of the year, but it should still take FDI flows to beyond pre-pandemic levels. 

Uneven recovery 

Between January and June, developed economies saw the biggest rise, with FDI reaching an estimated $424 billion, more than three times the exceptionally low level in 2020. 

In Europe, several large economies saw sizeable increases, on average remaining only 5 per cent below pre-pandemic quarterly levels.  

Inflows in the United States were up by 90 per cent, driven by a surge in cross-border mergers and acquisitions. 

FDI flows in developing economies also increased significantly, totalling $427 billion in the first half of the year.  

There was a growth acceleration in east and southeast Asia (25 per cent), a recovery to near pre-pandemic levels in Central and South America, and upticks in several other regional economies across Africa and West and Central Asia. 

Of the total recovery increase, 75 per cent was recorded in developed economies. 

High-income countries more than doubled quarterly FDI inflows from rock bottom 2020 levels, middle-income economies saw a 30 per cent increase, and low-income economies a further nine per cent decline.  

Mixed picture for investors 

Growing investor confidence is most apparent in infrastructure, boosted by favourable long-term financing conditions, recovery stimulus packages and overseas investment programmes. 

International project finance deals were up 32 per cent in number, and 74 per cent in value terms. Sizeable increases happened in most high-income regions and in Asia and South America. 

In contrast, UNCTAD says investor confidence in industry and value chains remains shaky. Greenfield investment project announcements continued their downward path, decreasing 13 per cent in number and 11 per cent in value until the end of September.  

Agenda 2030 

After suffering double-digit declines across almost all sectors, the recovery in areas relevant to Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in developing countries remains fragile. 

The combined value of announced greenfield investments and project finance deals rose by 60 per cent, but mostly because of a small number of very large deals in the power sector.  

International project finance in renewable energy and utilities continues to be the strongest growth sector. 

The investment in projects relevant to the SDGs in least developed countries continued to decline precipitously. New greenfield project announcements fell by 51 per cent, and infrastructure project finance deals by 47 per cent. Both had already fallen 28 per cent last year.

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Investment

Canada’s Probate Laws: What You Need to Know about Estate Planning in 2024

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Losing a loved one is never easy, and the legal steps that follow can add even more stress to an already difficult time.

For years, families in Vancouver (and Canada in general) have struggled with a complex probate process—filled with paperwork and legal challenges.

Thankfully, recent changes to Canada’s probate laws aim to make this process simpler and easier to navigate.

Let’s unearth how these updates can simplify the process for you and your family.

What is probate?

Probate might sound complicated, but it’s simply the legal process of settling someone’s estate after death.

Here’s how it works.

  • Validating the will. The court checks if the will is legal and valid.
  • Appointing an executor. If named in the will, the executor manages the estate. If not, the court appoints someone.
  • Settling debts and taxes. The executor (and you) pays debts and taxes before anything can be given.
  • Distributing the estate. Once everything is settled, the executor distributes the remaining assets according to the will or legal rules.

Probate ensures everything is done by the book, giving you peace of mind during a difficult time.

Recent Changes in Canadian Probate Laws

Several updates to probate law in the country are making the process smoother for you and your family.

Here’s a closer look at the fundamental changes that are making a real difference.

1) Virtual witnessing of wills

Now permanent in many provinces, including British Columbia, wills can be signed and witnessed remotely through video calls.

Such a change makes estate planning more accessible, especially for those in remote areas or with limited mobility.

2) Simplified process for small estates

Smaller estates, like those under 25,000 CAD in BC, now have a faster, simplified probate process.

Fewer forms and legal steps mean less hassle for families handling modest estates.

3) Substantial compliance for wills

Courts can now approve wills with minor errors if they reflect the person’s true intentions.

This update prevents unnecessary legal challenges and ensures the deceased’s wishes are respected.

These changes help make probate less stressful and more efficient for you and other families across Canada.

The Probate Process and You: The Role of a Probate Lawyer

 

(Image: Freepik.com)

Working with a probate lawyer in Vancouver can significantly simplify the probate process, especially given the city’s complex legal landscape.

Here’s how they can help.

Navigating the legal process

Probate lawyers ensure all legal steps are followed, preventing costly mistakes and ensuring the estate is managed properly.

Handling paperwork and deadlines

They manage all the paperwork and court deadlines, taking the burden off of you during this difficult time.

Resolving disputes

If conflicts arise, probate lawyers resolve them, avoiding legal battles.

Providing you peace of mind

With a probate lawyer’s expertise, you can trust that the estate is being handled efficiently and according to the law.

With a skilled probate lawyer, you can ensure the entire process is smooth and stress-free.

Why These Changes Matter

The updates to probate law make a big difference for Canadian families. Here’s why.

  • Less stress for you. Simplified processes mean you can focus on grieving, not paperwork.
  • Faster estate settlements. Estates are settled more quickly, so beneficiaries don’t face long delays.
  • Fewer disputes. Courts can now honor will with minor errors, reducing family conflicts.
  • Accessible for everyone. Virtual witnessing and easier rules for small estates make probate more accessible for everyone, no matter where you live.

With these changes, probate becomes smoother and more manageable for you and your family.

How to Prepare for the Probate Process

Even with the recent changes, being prepared makes probate smoother. Here are a few steps to help you prepare.

  1. Create a will. Ensure a valid will is in place to avoid complications.
  2. Choose an executor. Pick someone responsible for managing the estate and discuss their role with them.
  3. Organize documents. Keep key financial and legal documents in one place for easy access.
  4. Talk to your family. Have open conversations with your family to prevent future misunderstandings.
  5. Get legal advice. Consult with a probate lawyer to ensure everything is legally sound and up-to-date.

These simple steps make the probate process easier for everyone involved.

Wrapping Up: Making Probate Easier in Vancouver

Recent updates in probate law are simplifying the process for families, from virtual witnessing to easier estate rules. These reforms are designed to ease the burden, helping you focus on what matters—grieving and respecting your dead loved ones’ final wishes.

Despite these changes, it’s best to consult a probate lawyer to ensure you can manage everything properly. Remember, they’re here to help you during this difficult time.

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Economy

Energy stocks help lift S&P/TSX composite, U.S. stock markets also up

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was higher in late-morning trading, helped by strength in energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also moved up.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 34.91 points at 23,736.98.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 178.05 points at 41,800.13. The S&P 500 index was up 28.38 points at 5,661.47, while the Nasdaq composite was up 133.17 points at 17,725.30.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.56 cents US compared with 73.57 cents US on Monday.

The November crude oil contract was up 68 cents at US$69.70 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up three cents at US$2.40 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$7.80 at US$2,601.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.28 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX gains almost 100 points, U.S. markets also higher ahead of rate decision

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TORONTO – Strength in the base metal and technology sectors helped Canada’s main stock index gain almost 100 points on Friday, while U.S. stock markets climbed to their best week of the year.

“It’s been almost a complete opposite or retracement of what we saw last week,” said Philip Petursson, chief investment strategist at IG Wealth Management.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 297.01 points at 41,393.78. The S&P 500 index was up 30.26 points at 5,626.02, while the Nasdaq composite was up 114.30 points at 17,683.98.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 93.51 points at 23,568.65.

While last week saw a “healthy” pullback on weaker economic data, this week investors appeared to be buying the dip and hoping the central bank “comes to the rescue,” said Petursson.

Next week, the U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut its key interest rate for the first time in several years after it significantly hiked it to fight inflation.

But the magnitude of that first cut has been the subject of debate, and the market appears split on whether the cut will be a quarter of a percentage point or a larger half-point reduction.

Petursson thinks it’s clear the smaller cut is coming. Economic data recently hasn’t been great, but it hasn’t been that bad either, he said — and inflation may have come down significantly, but it’s not defeated just yet.

“I think they’re going to be very steady,” he said, with one small cut at each of their three decisions scheduled for the rest of 2024, and more into 2025.

“I don’t think there’s a sense of urgency on the part of the Fed that they have to do something immediately.

A larger cut could also send the wrong message to the markets, added Petursson: that the Fed made a mistake in waiting this long to cut, or that it’s seeing concerning signs in the economy.

It would also be “counter to what they’ve signaled,” he said.

More important than the cut — other than the new tone it sets — will be what Fed chair Jerome Powell has to say, according to Petursson.

“That’s going to be more important than the size of the cut itself,” he said.

In Canada, where the central bank has already cut three times, Petursson expects two more before the year is through.

“Here, the labour situation is worse than what we see in the United States,” he said.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.61 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down 32 cents at US$68.65 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down five cents at US$2.31 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$30.10 at US$2,610.70 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents US$4.24 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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