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Initial U.S. jobless claims total 4.43 million; gold holds onto gains – Kitco NEWS

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(Kitco News) – Another 4.43 million Americans filed for first-time U.S. jobless claims in the week to Saturday, the Labor Department said Thursday.

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After the report, spot gold held onto overnight gains, last trading up $12 to $1,726.10 an ounce.

The claims figure was within consensus expectations compiled by news organizations, which called for initial jobless claims to be around 4 million to 4.5 million. The previous week’s 5.25 million claims were revised to 5.24 million.

This was the fifth straight week that new claims topped 3 million after the previous all-time high had been 695,000 back in October 1982, according to Labor Department figures. Traders have been closely monitoring jobless claims to gauge just how weak the April U.S. employment report will be, since most of the layoffs came after the cutoff date for the March report released at the start of the month. Millions of Americans have lost their jobs or been furloughed due to the lockdowns and social-distancing measures across the country to combat the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, with many businesses temporarily closing their doors.

This was the sixth straight week the Labor Department issued a statement attributing a rise to layoffs as a result of the COVID-19 outbreak.

The increase was especially pronounced the last five weeks, with a total 26.45 million claims filed during this time period.

“With these data covering the payroll survey week [for the April employment report], we now know that there has been a cumulative 26 million initial jobless claims made since March’s survey period, accounting for 17% of the previously employed population,” said Andrew Grantham of CIBC economics. “While the decline in payrolls employment and rise in unemployment rate won’t be as severe as that, with continuing claims once again not rising quite as much as expected and as such suggesting some of the claims have been short term in nature, we’ve clearly still seen a dramatic and historic weakening of the economy since mid-March.”

He said the April unemployment rate likely will rise by less than the cumulative jobless-claims figures would suggest, perhaps reaching 12% to 13%. The jobless rate will understate the weaker employment picture since some people will exit the labor market, resulting in a big fall in participation.

“Secondly, the BLS [Bureau of Labor Statistics] advised previously that persons employed but absent from work due to a coronavirus-related business closure should be classed as unemployed on temporary layoff,” Grantham said. “However, they also stated at the time of the March data release that ‘it is apparent that not all such workers were so classified’ and that the rise in people absent from work due to ‘other reasons’ was worth about 1% of the employed population that month.”

Meanwhile, the four-week moving average for new claims – normally viewed as a more reliable measure of the labor market since it smooths out week-to-week volatility – rose by 280,000 to 5.79 million.

Continuing jobless claims, which counts the number of people already receiving benefits and reported with a one-week delay, increased by 4 million to a seasonally adjusted 15.98 million during the week ending April 11, the government said. This was the highest level of seasonally adjusted insured unemployment recorded in the history of the data, the government said.

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Dow Jones Rises But S&P, Nasdaq Fall; Nvidia, SMCI Flash Sell Signals As Bitcoin's Fourth Halving Arrives – Investor's Business Daily

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[unable to retrieve full-text content]

  1. Dow Jones Rises But S&P, Nasdaq Fall; Nvidia, SMCI Flash Sell Signals As Bitcoin’s Fourth Halving Arrives  Investor’s Business Daily
  2. Iran fires at apparent Israeli attack drones: Mideast tensions  The Associated Press
  3. S&P 500 extends losing streak to sixth day, Dow up 210 points  Yahoo Canada Finance
  4. Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P Live Updates for April 19  Bloomberg
  5. Stock market today: Wall Street limps toward its longest weekly losing streak since September  CityNews Kitchener

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Netflix stock sinks on disappointing revenue forecast, move to scrap membership metrics – Yahoo Canada Finance

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Netflix (NFLX) stock slid as much as 9.6% Friday after the company gave a second quarter revenue forecast that missed estimates and announced it would stop reporting quarterly subscriber metrics closely watched by Wall Street.

On Thursday, Netflix guided to second quarter revenue of $9.49 billion, a miss compared to consensus estimates of $9.51 billion.

The company said it will stop reporting quarterly membership numbers starting next year, along with average revenue per member, or ARM.

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“As we’ve evolved our pricing and plans from a single to multiple tiers with different price points depending on the country, each incremental paid membership has a very different business impact,” the company said.

Netflix reported first quarter earnings that beat across the board on Thursday, with another 9 million-plus subscribers added in the quarter.

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Subscriber additions of 9.3 million beat expectations of 4.8 million and followed the 13 million net additions the streamer added in the fourth quarter. The company added 1.7 million paying users in Q1 2023.

Revenue beat Bloomberg consensus estimates of $9.27 billion to hit $9.37 billion in the quarter, an increase of 14.8% compared to the same period last year as the streamer leaned on revenue initiatives like its crackdown on password-sharing and ad-supported tier, in addition to the recent price hikes on certain subscription plans.

Netflix’s stock has been on a tear in recent months, with shares currently trading near the high end of its 52-week range. Wall Street analysts had warned that high expectations heading into the print could serve as an inherent risk to the stock price.

Earnings per share (EPS) beat estimates in the quarter, with the company reporting EPS of $5.28, well above consensus expectations of $4.52 and nearly double the $2.88 EPS figure it reported in the year-ago period. Netflix guided to second quarter EPS of $4.68, ahead of consensus calls for $4.54.

Profitability metrics also came in strong, with operating margins sitting at 28.1% for the first quarter compared to 21% in the same period last year.

The company previously guided to full-year 2024 operating margins of 24% after the metric grew to 21% from 18% in 2023. Netflix expects margins to tick down slightly in Q2 to 26.6%.

Free cash flow came in at $2.14 billion in the quarter, above consensus calls of $1.9 billion.

Meanwhile, ARM ticked up 1% year over year — matching the fourth quarter results. Wall Street analysts expect ARM to pick up later this year as both the ad-tier impact and price hike effects take hold.

On the ads front, ad-tier memberships increased 65% quarter over quarter after rising nearly 70% sequentially in Q3 2023 and Q4 2023. The ads plan now accounts for over 40% of all Netflix sign-ups in the markets it’s offered in.

FILE PHOTO: Netflix reported first quarter earnings after the bell on Thursday. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/File PhotoFILE PHOTO: Netflix reported first quarter earnings after the bell on Thursday. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/File Photo

Netflix reported first quarter earnings after the bell on Thursday. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/File Photo (REUTERS / Reuters)

Alexandra Canal is a Senior Reporter at Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X @allie_canal, LinkedIn, and email her at alexandra.canal@yahoofinance.com.

For the latest earnings reports and analysis, earnings whispers and expectations, and company earnings news, click here

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Oil Prices Erase Gains as Iran Downplays Reports of Israeli Missile Attack – OilPrice.com

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Oil Prices Erase Gains as Iran Downplays Reports of Israeli Missile Attack | OilPrice.com



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Tsvetana Paraskova

Tsvetana Paraskova

Tsvetana is a writer for Oilprice.com with over a decade of experience writing for news outlets such as iNVEZZ and SeeNews. 

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  • Oil prices initially spiked on Friday due to unconfirmed reports of an Israeli missile strike on Iran.
  • Prices briefly reached above $90 per barrel before falling back as Iran denied the attack.
  • Iranian media reported activating their air defense systems, not an Israeli strike.

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Oil prices gave up nearly all of early Friday’s gains after an Iranian official told Reuters that there hadn’t been a missile attack against Iran.

Oil surged by as much as $3 per barrel in Asian trade early on Friday after a U.S. official told ABC News today that Israel launched missile strikes against Iran in the early morning hours today. After briefly spiking to above $90 per barrel early on Friday in Asian trade, Brent fell back to $87.10 per barrel in the morning in Europe.

The news was later confirmed by Iranian media, which said the country’s air defense system took down three drones over the city of Isfahan, according to Al Jazeera. Flights to three cities including Tehran and Isfahan were suspended, Iranian media also reported.

Israel’s retaliation for Iran’s missile strikes last week was seen by most as a guarantee of escalation of the Middle East conflict since Iran had warned Tel Aviv that if it retaliates, so will Tehran in its turn and that retaliation would be on a greater scale than the missile strikes from last week. These developments were naturally seen as strongly bullish for oil prices.

However, hours after unconfirmed reports of an Israeli attack first emerged, Reuters quoted an Iranian official as saying that there was no missile strike carried out against Iran. The explosions that were heard in the large Iranian city of Isfahan were the result of the activation of the air defense systems of Iran, the official told Reuters.

Overall, Iran appears to downplay the event, with most official comments and news reports not mentioning Israel, Reuters notes.

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said that “there is no damage to Iran’s nuclear sites,” confirming Iranian reports on the matter.

The Isfahan province is home to Iran’s nuclear site for uranium enrichment.

“Brent briefly soared back above $90 before reversing lower after Iranian media downplayed a retaliatory strike by Israel,” Saxo Bank said in a Friday note.

The $5 a barrel trading range in oil prices over the past week has been driven by traders attempting to “quantify the level of risk premium needed to reflect heightened tensions but with no impact on supply,” the bank said, adding “Expect prices to bid ahead of the weekend.”

At the time of writing Brent was trading at $87.34 and WTI at $83.14.

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com

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