'Investment bogeyman': Will Big Three cut wireless investment if forced to open network access? - Financial Post | Canada News Media
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'Investment bogeyman': Will Big Three cut wireless investment if forced to open network access? – Financial Post

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Canada’s Big Three wireless carriers say they’ll significantly axe investment if the federal telecom regulator forces them to sell wholesale access to their mobile networks, arguing this could hurt Canada’s position in the race to build next generation 5G networks.

Such warnings are a common refrain from the telecom industry whenever additional telecom regulation is on the table. This time, they come as the Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission considers opening up the industry to more competition under pressure from the Liberal government to cut cellphone bills by 25 per cent.

The regulator must decide whether to mandate resale access, a move that could usher in a host of new low-cost competitors called mobile virtual network operators. These can provide cheaper services since they don’t bear the costs of building entirely new networks — and they’d love to get a piece of the $27.1 billion Canadians spend on wireless services every year, 90 per cent of which goes to the Big Three providers BCE Inc., Rogers Communications Inc. and Telus Corp.

One week into the CRTC’s two-week public hearing on the state of wireless services in Canada, the battle lines have been drawn between wireless players that have already made big investments and hopeful entrants who argue it’s not feasible for each prospective competitor to start from scratch.

The CRTC’s preliminary view is that the new competition would benefit consumers more than it would hurt existing operators, especially since they’ve already invested extensively in recent years.

But the Big Three vehemently oppose the idea since it would hurt their ability to make money directly from customers after spending billions on infrastructure.

Telus chief executive Darren Entwistle said Telus will cut 5,000 jobs and $1 billion in investment over the next five years, along with a reduction in charitable spending, if the wireless resale is mandated. For those who suspect the cuts are an empty threat, Entwistle said this isn’t “theatre perpetrated by incumbents,” adding Telus’ board of directors signed a resolution instructing management to pursue the spending reduction plan should the CRTC mandate wireless reselling.

Bell chief executive Mirko Bibic said Bell’s annual capital spending would be “significantly less” than the $4 billion it currently spends if the CRTC mandates wholesale access.

By Bell’s calculations, overall industry investment will drop by $500 million annually should the rules go through.

Even regional operator Eastlink, owned by Halifax-based Bragg Communications Inc., said on Friday it has already cut $60 million from its capital budget due to the prospect of mandated wireless access and a separate decision that reduced rates for wholesale access to fixed internet connections.

Regional operators such as Eastlink, Shaw Communications Inc.’s Freedom Mobile and Quebecor Inc.’s Videotron oppose a widespread wireless resale model, as they’ve heavily invested in networks in the past three years.

That said, they’re not quite on the same team as the Big Three, which have argued against special provisions that allowed regional carriers to buy spectrum at a discount. They argue the CRTC should introduce rules that make it easier for regional operators to form seamless roaming and shared infrastructure agreements with the Big Three. But they stop short of advocating for mandated access across the board.

The CRTC has already mandated such access on the wired side of business. The Canadian Network Operators Consortium, an organization that represents independent internet providers that rely on buying wholesale network access from the bigger players, argued it should apply similar logic to the wireless industry in order to give Canadians better alternatives.

MVNOs still need to invest millions on equipment and operations, CNOC president Matt Stein told the commission.

As for the “investment bogeyman,” Stein argued the threat of pulling investments isn’t credible, adding the Big Three will still be earning revenue from resale to carriers.

The CRTC is evaluating a mountain of documents from economists with competing viewpoints on whether Canada’s wireless industry has a competition problem that needs to be solved. Different experts dispute whether the prices are higher here versus in peer countries.

Canadians have historically paid higher wireless rates than their peers around the world, but prices have dropped in the past year, particularly with the introduction of unlimited plans last summer in anticipation of regulatory pressure.

But it appears the government wants another 25 per cent drop from prices at the time they were elected, months after the biggest players made changes that put a big dent in data costs and data overage charges.

The hearings continue next week.

Financial Post

• Email: ejackson@nationalpost.com | Twitter:

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S&P/TSX composite down more than 200 points, U.S. stock markets also fall

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 150 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 150 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in technology, financial and energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also pushed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 171.41 points at 23,298.39.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 278.37 points at 41,369.79. The S&P 500 index was up 38.17 points at 5,630.35, while the Nasdaq composite was up 177.15 points at 17,733.18.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.19 cents US compared with 74.23 cents US on Wednesday.

The October crude oil contract was up US$1.75 at US$76.27 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.10 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$18.70 at US$2,556.50 an ounce and the December copper contract was down less than a penny at US$4.22 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 29, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Crypto Market Bloodbath Amid Broader Economic Concerns

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The crypto market has recently experienced a significant downturn, mirroring broader risk asset sell-offs. Over the past week, Bitcoin’s price dropped by 24%, reaching $53,000, while Ethereum plummeted nearly a third to $2,340. Major altcoins also suffered, with Cardano down 27.7%, Solana 36.2%, Dogecoin 34.6%, XRP 23.1%, Shiba Inu 30.1%, and BNB 25.7%.

The severe downturn in the crypto market appears to be part of a broader flight to safety, triggered by disappointing economic data. A worse-than-expected unemployment report on Friday marked the beginning of a technical recession, as defined by the Sahm Rule. This rule identifies a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least half a percentage point from its lowest point in the past year.

Friday’s figures met this threshold, signaling an abrupt economic downshift. Consequently, investors sought safer assets, leading to declines in major stock indices: the S&P 500 dropped 2%, the Nasdaq 2.5%, and the Dow 1.5%. This trend continued into Monday with further sell-offs overseas.

The crypto market’s rapid decline raises questions about its role as either a speculative asset or a hedge against inflation and recession. Despite hopes that crypto could act as a risk hedge, the recent crash suggests it remains a speculative investment.

Since the downturn, the crypto market has seen its largest three-day sell-off in nearly a year, losing over $500 billion in market value. According to CoinGlass data, this bloodbath wiped out more than $1 billion in leveraged positions within the last 24 hours, including $365 million in Bitcoin and $348 million in Ether.

Khushboo Khullar of Lightning Ventures, speaking to Bloomberg, argued that the crypto sell-off is part of a broader liquidity panic as traders rush to cover margin calls. Khullar views this as a temporary sell-off, presenting a potential buying opportunity.

Josh Gilbert, an eToro market analyst, supports Khullar’s perspective, suggesting that the expected Federal Reserve rate cuts could benefit crypto assets. “Crypto assets have sold off, but many investors will see an opportunity. We see Federal Reserve rate cuts, which are now likely to come sharper than expected, as hugely positive for crypto assets,” Gilbert told Coindesk.

Despite the recent volatility, crypto continues to make strides toward mainstream acceptance. Notably, Morgan Stanley will allow its advisors to offer Bitcoin ETFs starting Wednesday. This follows more than half a year after the introduction of the first Bitcoin ETF. The investment bank will enable over 15,000 of its financial advisors to sell BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC. This move is seen as a significant step toward the “mainstreamization” of crypto, given the lengthy regulatory and company processes in major investment banks.

The recent crypto market downturn highlights its volatility and the broader economic concerns affecting all risk assets. While some analysts see the current situation as a temporary sell-off and a buying opportunity, others caution against the speculative nature of crypto. As the market evolves, its role as a mainstream alternative asset continues to grow, marked by increasing institutional acceptance and new investment opportunities.

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