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Investment trust Chrysalis forecasts boost in fortunes for start-ups – Financial Times

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UK investment trust Chrysalis has hailed the rebound in tech stocks this summer as a sign that the fortunes of high-growth start-ups will improve over the coming months after a brutal start to the year.

Richard Watts and Nick Williamson, managers of the London listed trust that has bet heavily on growth stocks such as fintech groups Klarna and Starling, think the worst is over for the tech companies in their portfolio, hit hard by inflation and interest rate rises.

They said the rally in listed tech companies since July, along with earnings growth, will help their fund bounce back after its share price plunged 65 per cent since January.

The trust, managed by UK fund house Jupiter, was savaged as the market turned against flashy young tech companies that dominate its portfolio, with fundraising for these start-ups drying up.

Swedish buy-now-pay-later company Klarna, one of the trust’s biggest bets, had its valuation slashed 78 per cent in the second quarter. It was one of the unicorns, privately owned start-ups valued at more than $1bn, that suffered most in the tech crash.

“A re-rating of relevant listed peers, combined with strong revenue and earnings growth across the portfolio, should have positive implications for the value of [our] portfolio in forthcoming quarters,” Chrysalis said in quarterly results posted on Monday.

The tech-dominated Nasdaq 100 index has rallied 13 per cent since the beginning of July. A Goldman Sachs index tracking unprofitable tech companies has also risen nearly 10 per cent, but remains down 46 per cent since January.

However, top traders have warned clients that much of the July rally in US equities has been driven by hedge funds unwinding large bets on markets falling rather than new optimism about the outlook.

Chrysalis has stepped up its tech strategy, putting more cash behind its biggest bets — Starling, Klarna and Featurespace — as it participates in further fundraising rounds.

The trust’s portfolio companies have raised a total of $1.4bn this year, despite tougher conditions as interest rates rise, although about 60 per cent of Chrysalis holdings have yet to turn a profit.

Fresh funding for Klarna, once Europe’s most valuable private tech company, came with a steep cut to its valuation over the past year — from $46bn in June 2021 to $6.7bn in July 2022.

However, Chrysalis managers noted that Klarna’s listed peers, such as Affirm and PayPal, which it is valued against, had rebounded in the past month as markets rallied.

Chrysalis and other investment trusts, which invest in private companies, provide a rare window into how the value of start-ups such as Klarna change over time.

This is because they are required to regularly and publicly revalue their portfolio. Ordinarily, start-ups such as Klarna only disclose new valuations after raising funds.

Chrysalis attracted scrutiny after paying £117mn in performance and management fees last autumn as valuations for its portfolio companies soared.

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Economy

Energy stocks help lift S&P/TSX composite, U.S. stock markets also up

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was higher in late-morning trading, helped by strength in energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also moved up.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 34.91 points at 23,736.98.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 178.05 points at 41,800.13. The S&P 500 index was up 28.38 points at 5,661.47, while the Nasdaq composite was up 133.17 points at 17,725.30.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.56 cents US compared with 73.57 cents US on Monday.

The November crude oil contract was up 68 cents at US$69.70 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up three cents at US$2.40 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$7.80 at US$2,601.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.28 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX gains almost 100 points, U.S. markets also higher ahead of rate decision

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TORONTO – Strength in the base metal and technology sectors helped Canada’s main stock index gain almost 100 points on Friday, while U.S. stock markets climbed to their best week of the year.

“It’s been almost a complete opposite or retracement of what we saw last week,” said Philip Petursson, chief investment strategist at IG Wealth Management.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 297.01 points at 41,393.78. The S&P 500 index was up 30.26 points at 5,626.02, while the Nasdaq composite was up 114.30 points at 17,683.98.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 93.51 points at 23,568.65.

While last week saw a “healthy” pullback on weaker economic data, this week investors appeared to be buying the dip and hoping the central bank “comes to the rescue,” said Petursson.

Next week, the U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut its key interest rate for the first time in several years after it significantly hiked it to fight inflation.

But the magnitude of that first cut has been the subject of debate, and the market appears split on whether the cut will be a quarter of a percentage point or a larger half-point reduction.

Petursson thinks it’s clear the smaller cut is coming. Economic data recently hasn’t been great, but it hasn’t been that bad either, he said — and inflation may have come down significantly, but it’s not defeated just yet.

“I think they’re going to be very steady,” he said, with one small cut at each of their three decisions scheduled for the rest of 2024, and more into 2025.

“I don’t think there’s a sense of urgency on the part of the Fed that they have to do something immediately.

A larger cut could also send the wrong message to the markets, added Petursson: that the Fed made a mistake in waiting this long to cut, or that it’s seeing concerning signs in the economy.

It would also be “counter to what they’ve signaled,” he said.

More important than the cut — other than the new tone it sets — will be what Fed chair Jerome Powell has to say, according to Petursson.

“That’s going to be more important than the size of the cut itself,” he said.

In Canada, where the central bank has already cut three times, Petursson expects two more before the year is through.

“Here, the labour situation is worse than what we see in the United States,” he said.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.61 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down 32 cents at US$68.65 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down five cents at US$2.31 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$30.10 at US$2,610.70 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents US$4.24 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite down more than 200 points, U.S. stock markets also fall

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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