Irish inflation to slow to 4.9% in 2023, economy to grow by 2.1% | Canada News Media
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Irish inflation to slow to 4.9% in 2023, economy to grow by 2.1%

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DUBLIN — Irish inflation is forecast to slow to 4.9% this year and the economy to grow by 2.1% due to its “remarkable resilience,” Ireland’s finance ministry said on Tuesday.

Inflation jumped to a near 40-year high of 9.2% last October but has since slowed to 7.7% and the finance ministry forecast that the headline rate would fall further to 2.5% next year.

But core inflation, which strips out unprocessed food and energy, is expected to average 4.4% this year and 3.2% in 2024.

Irish modified domestic demand, the government’s preferred measure of economic activity as it strips out many of the ways multinational activity can inflate growth, is set to expand by 2.5% next year, after the 2.1% forecast for 2023.

Modified domestic demand grew by 8.2% last year, making Ireland the fastest growing economy in the euro zone, but momentum fell sharply in the second half.

Ireland was also one of the few euro zone countries to record a budget surplus last year and the finance ministry expects that to grow to 3.5% of gross national income this year, 5.4% next year and as high as 6.3% in 2026.

Record corporate tax receipts, mostly paid by Ireland’s large hub of big multi-national companies, are mainly behind the huge projected surpluses.

The finance ministry said the public finances would still be in deficit this year without the “windfall” corporate receipts and that next year’s surplus would be 4.4 billion euros ($4.8 billion) and not the projected 16.2 billion euros without them. ($1 = 0.9133 euros) (Reporting by Padraic Halpin; Editing by Alexander Smith)

 

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Statistics Canada reports August retail sales up 0.4% at $66.6 billion

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says retail sales rose 0.4 per cent to $66.6 billion in August, helped by higher new car sales.

The agency says sales were up in four of nine subsectors as sales at motor vehicle and parts dealers rose 3.5 per cent, boosted by a 4.3 per cent increase at new car dealers and a 2.1 per cent gain at used car dealers.

Core retail sales — which exclude gasoline stations and fuel vendors and motor vehicle and parts dealers — fell 0.4 per cent in August.

Sales at food and beverage retailers dropped 1.5 per cent, while furniture, home furnishings, electronics and appliances retailers fell 1.4 per cent.

In volume terms, retail sales increased 0.7 per cent in August.

Looking ahead, Statistics Canada says its advance estimate of retail sales for September points to a gain of 0.4 per cent for the month, though it cautioned the figure would be revised.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 25, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Minimum wage to hire higher-paid temporary foreign workers set to increase

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OTTAWA – The federal government is expected to boost the minimum hourly wage that must be paid to temporary foreign workers in the high-wage stream as a way to encourage employers to hire more Canadian staff.

Under the current program’s high-wage labour market impact assessment (LMIA) stream, an employer must pay at least the median income in their province to qualify for a permit. A government official, who The Canadian Press is not naming because they are not authorized to speak publicly about the change, said Employment Minister Randy Boissonnault will announce Tuesday that the threshold will increase to 20 per cent above the provincial median hourly wage.

The change is scheduled to come into force on Nov. 8.

As with previous changes to the Temporary Foreign Worker program, the government’s goal is to encourage employers to hire more Canadian workers. The Liberal government has faced criticism for increasing the number of temporary residents allowed into Canada, which many have linked to housing shortages and a higher cost of living.

The program has also come under fire for allegations of mistreatment of workers.

A LMIA is required for an employer to hire a temporary foreign worker, and is used to demonstrate there aren’t enough Canadian workers to fill the positions they are filling.

In Ontario, the median hourly wage is $28.39 for the high-wage bracket, so once the change takes effect an employer will need to pay at least $34.07 per hour.

The government official estimates this change will affect up to 34,000 workers under the LMIA high-wage stream. Existing work permits will not be affected, but the official said the planned change will affect their renewals.

According to public data from Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, 183,820 temporary foreign worker permits became effective in 2023. That was up from 98,025 in 2019 — an 88 per cent increase.

The upcoming change is the latest in a series of moves to tighten eligibility rules in order to limit temporary residents, including international students and foreign workers. Those changes include imposing caps on the percentage of low-wage foreign workers in some sectors and ending permits in metropolitan areas with high unemployment rates.

Temporary foreign workers in the agriculture sector are not affected by past rule changes.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 21, 2024.

— With files from Nojoud Al Mallees

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PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

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OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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