Is There A Real Estate Silver Lining In This Crisis? - Forbes | Canada News Media
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Is There A Real Estate Silver Lining In This Crisis? – Forbes

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The ongoing crisis has thrown everything and everyone for a loop. Social distancing means that schools and businesses are shut down and many people are out of work. A question for our industry is how is this affecting the broader real estate market — and how can investors who are still actively looking for opportunities possibly use the current market situation to their advantage?

If you have cash on hand and good credit, you have a leg up. In response to the economic uncertainty of the current crisis, large homebuying institutions are pausing or backing out of contracts, and banks on the coasts are tightening lending (although I have not seen that as much here in the Midwest yet). Banks will continue to lend, but since a number of borrowers will no longer be able to borrow due to credit restrictions that I anticipate slowly coming to all markets, if you have cash — in the form of a draw from a line of credit, loan from a universal life insurance policy, self-directed IRA, self-directed HSA or cash in the bank or other cash locations — now is a great time to take advantage of it.

One way is through flipping properties. Housing stock is currently extremely low here in St. Louis. According to our analysis of MARIS data, only 11,585 properties were on the market in February 2020 — the lowest number of available properties in the month of February since 2017. There are a number of reasons for that, with one being that housing starts are down and people in general are leery of listing their property during this crisis.

But, factor in that while people are quarantined in their homes, many are realizing that their current houses are inadequate. And then, couple that with the fact that a flip house is vacant and unlived in for showings. While conforming to safety guidelines, it is a good time to renovate and flip a house. Per our analysis of MARIS data, housing prices are continuing to go up, with an average cost of $162,500 in February 2020, almost a $20,000 increase since February 2017, presenting a great opportunity for investors who take action now.

Another possibility for real estate investors lies in rentals. Here in St. Louis, more tenants are deciding to renew their current leases than ever before. My property management company has the lowest amount of rental stock on the market than we have ever had — slightly lower than a normal winter rental stock. We are also still signing leases for vacant properties, but the normal seasonal churn that we see heating up in April has not happened.

Between the low stock and the decreased amount of churn, investing in rentals right now would be a smart idea, especially since the federal stimulus and unemployment packages should allow some people affected by the crisis to continue to pay rent. However, I don’t recommend investing in super high-end properties, because we can expect that wages will continue to be depressed while the public health crisis is ongoing.

Whether you decide to flip properties or rent them, between the depleted stock and the number of institutions exiting the market, the current unfortunate situation does present an opportunity for real estate investors. Although I anticipate a little bit of price churn as things normalize to the new reality, investors who want to use the overall market situation to their advantage have a prime opportunity to do so.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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