Israel Economy Takes Historic Hit But Tops Expectation for Worse | Canada News Media
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Israel Economy Takes Historic Hit But Tops Expectation for Worse

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(Bloomberg) —

Israel’s economy started 2020 with its worst quarter in at least 25 years, after a near total economic shutdown at home and abroad amid the coronavirus pandemic hammered private consumption.

Gross domestic product contracted a seasonally adjusted, annualized 7.1% in the first three months of the year, for the first quarterly contraction since 2012, according to the Central Bureau of Statistics. That was better than all but one estimate in a Bloomberg survey of seven analysts, whose median was for a decline of 13%.

Key Insights

  • Private consumption fell roughly 20%; exports held up best of any segment with a quarterly drop of just under 6%, while imports plummeted about 28% in the quarter
  • The Israeli government imposed relatively stringent restrictions on movement and business from March to combat the spread of the coronavirus outbreak, but the economy is now showing signs of recovery as the lockdown lifts
  • Although central bank officials previously forecast a contraction of 5.3% this year, some analysts expect them to publish a revised outlook alongside their interest rate decision later Monday, which could show a more upbeat view given the relatively quick rebound
  • Before the outbreak, private consumption and trade had led the Israeli economy to 30 consecutive quarters of growth and output was expected to converge to around potential of a roughly 3% expansion this year

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  • The Bank of Israel is expected to hold it key rate steady on Monday after playing a leading role in the country’s crisis response, as we explain in our preview. And here is a profile of Israel’s new Finance Minister Israel Katz, and the challenges he faces given his aspiration to be prime minister someday.

 

Source: bnnbloomberg-ca

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Edited By Harry Miller

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Economy

PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

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OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Statistics Canada says levels of food insecurity rose in 2022

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.

In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.

The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.

Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.

In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.

It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.

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Economy

Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales fell 1.3% to $69.4B in August

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales in August fell to their lowest level since January 2022 as sales in the primary metal and petroleum and coal product subsectors fell.

The agency says manufacturing sales fell 1.3 per cent to $69.4 billion in August, after rising 1.1 per cent in July.

The drop came as sales in the primary metal subsector dropped 6.4 per cent to $5.3 billion in August, on lower prices and lower volumes.

Sales in the petroleum and coal product subsector fell 3.7 per cent to $7.8 billion in August on lower prices.

Meanwhile, sales of aerospace products and parts rose 7.3 per cent to $2.7 billion in August and wood product sales increased 3.8 per cent to $3.1 billion.

Overall manufacturing sales in constant dollars fell 0.8 per cent in August.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

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