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It's Not Over. Experts Warn of New COVID Wave – Welland Tribune



As British Columbia ends mask mandates and other pandemic measures, an independent group of experts warned Thursday the province could face a second, smaller Omicron wave within months.

The BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, composed of independent experts and academics, urged the government to authorize fourth vaccine doses for high-risk people and improve ventilation for essential services to blunt a potential sixth wave fuelled by the even more transmissible BA.2 sub-variant.

“With Canada having moved away from mask requirements and other mandated safety measures, there is a need to create safer indoor spaces, especially for those at higher risk,” the group’s report said.

COVID-19 cases among those 70-plus have dropped to less than a fifth of the peak of Omicron in January, according to the new report.

The drop in cases has been even more pronounced among younger age groups, but is difficult to quantify because most under 70 are no longer eligible for PCR testing.

But while B.C. will likely see short-term stability in case levels, the modelling group warns waning immunity from booster doses could see the BA.2 sub-variant fuel another Omicron wave nearing 1,500 daily reported cases by the end of April.

Omicron’s crest saw 4,078 daily cases reported on Dec. 31.

“The COVID-19 trajectory in B.C. over the next month depends strongly on how fast waning occurs and whether people continue to abide by safety measures, even if they are no longer required,” the report said.

Provincial health officer Dr. Bonnie Henry said last week that B.C. remains vulnerable to future variants that may transmit more easily or evade protection afforded by vaccines.

“Those are the things that we don’t yet know,” she said as she announced the end of the mask mandate March 10.

More than half of cases are now caused by the BA.2 sub-variant of Omicron, whose share of daily cases rose steadily through February and has now stabilized, Canada-wide data shows.

The risks of another wave are mitigated by the immunity British Columbians have from vaccination or previous infection, Henry and the group agree.

But they remain a concern for people who are considered high risk, including those over 70 and who are immunocompromised. The vast majority of high-risk and older people received their boosters before Dec. 31, almost three months ago.

According to reports from the United Kingdom and B.C.’s own figures, people who are unvaccinated are 10 times more likely to be hospitalized as a result of Omicron than those who are vaccinated.

But three to four months after a booster shot, that protection is cut in half.

Booster efficacy against infection from Omicron also drops sharply in the same timeframe.

“Many people in B.C., especially those most susceptible to severe health impacts of COVID-19, received boosters more than three months ago and are now experiencing declining levels of protection,” said the report.

The group recommended B.C. follow advice from Canada’s National Advisory Committee on Immunization to authorize a fourth dose for immunocompromised individuals three months after their third dose.

“The option of a fourth dose, 3 to 4 months following a third booster dose, would reduce hospitalization risks for those most susceptible to severe COVID-19 reaction,” the report said.

Ultimately, the group warned, the impacts of the BA.2 sub-variant will be determined by how many people continue to mask, limit gatherings and how quickly booster immunity wanes or is bolstered by fourth doses.

“While the COVID-19 situation is good and improving, B.C. faces a number of short-term risks,” the report said.

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Bird flu continues to spread among domestic, wild animals throughout North America – Just The News



Strains of H5N1 avian influenza continue to pop up in birds around the country, with authorities reporting infections in both domestic and wild animals, including some wild mammals.

Officials in Washington state late this week confirmed two more outbreaks among flocks of birds there, stating that the infections were found in non-commercial backyard flocks of poultry. 

Michigan’s Department of Natural Resources, meanwhile, said the infection had been detected in three wild baby red foxes which subsequently died from the illness. 

“At this point, it is unclear how the fox kits became infected, but it’s possible that they were exposed by consuming infected birds, such as waterfowl,” DNR Veterinarian Megan Moriarty told media.

Moriarty predicted additional infections in mammals in the state but said “they likely will be isolated cases.”

Another baby fox reportedly died in Minnesota after testing positive for avian flu, as did two in Ontario, Canada. 

Three wild red foxes in Wisconsin also reportedly tested positive for the virus, with officials stating that they likely ate infected birds in the wild. 

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Wildlife rescue on Vancouver Island to limit visitors as avian flu continues to spread in B.C. –



A wildlife rescue in the Comox Valley, on Vancouver Island, is closing its visitor centre starting Monday due to the spread of avian flu in B.C.

The Mountainaire Avian Rescue Society (MARS) Wildlife Rescue Centre, in Merville, B.C., announced it would be limiting visitors due to the risk that the disease poses to its captive birds, which include owls, eagles, and albino crows.

The decision comes after a small poultry flock in the Comox Valley tested positive for the highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza virus last week, the first such case on Vancouver Island.

It is part of a rapidly-spreading outbreak of the flu throughout North America, with eight cases recorded in B.C. since April 13.

The concern is that a visitor could inadvertently bring the virus to the MARS centre on their vehicle, shoes or clothing.

“All of the species that we have in permanent captivity here … they are especially susceptible to the avian flu,” said Gylaine Andersen, manager of wildlife rehabilitation at MARS. “They are more likely to get severe symptoms, and actually die from the flu, than other types of animals.”

“It was a really difficult decision to close the visitor centre because we need the visitor centre to support the wildlife rehab program. But we just had to do it for the safety of our resident birds.”

The centre hosts two bald eagles and multiple owls that were previously rescued, as well as a red-tailed hawk. MARS also has two albino crows in residence named Nimpkish and Kokish.

Nimpkish and Kokish, two albino crows, are seen here at the MARS Wildlife Rescue. They are particularly susceptible to avian flu, according to Gylaine Andersen. (MARS Wildlife Rescue)

Andersen said the temporary closure comes at the busiest time of year for the centre. It might struggle to weather the loss of income without public donations, she said.

“At this time of year, we’re getting lots of little baby birds and baby mammals at the hospital,” she told CBC News. “Over at the visitor centre, this is when we would have the most visitation from the public.”

The MARS wildlife hospital remains open, according to the rescue’s website, but Andersen said it would be “an expensive time of year” without funds for PPE and other medical equipment.

Andersen asked poultry owners to be extra vigilant as avian flu continues to spread in the province, and also reiterated a call to take down bird feeders to stop the spread among wild birds.

Avian flu cases have been confirmed in several other provinces, but no infections have been detected in humans.

Officials say the illness is not considered a significant concern for healthy people who are not in regular contact with infected birds.

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Mental Health Issues Demand Resolution



Should those who hold public office show that they are of sound mind and body before taking office and during the years they serve? Are those bureaucrats who truly run our government ever tested or investigated for various mental health issues that could surely affect their performance as public employees?

Imagine what the mental state of public servants is like these days? Besides the Pandemics’ influence upon us all, these men and women are responsible for public service to their communities and nation. Man public employees are under vigorous scrutiny for their honesty and performance as employees, but what about their mental health challenges? Various municipal, State and Federal authorities make attempts to pinpoint an employee in need, someone needing assistance and direction in their professional and personal lives, but it is difficult to do. Privacy and union issues often stand in between the person in need and those who would assist them. Furthermore, many employees refuse to seek assistance, for reasons of professional survival. Say an employee has an important job where many decisions are made influencing the community at large(ie Police). That person needs assistance for some mental health issues but fears either losing their jobs or being declared problematic employees, slowing promotions or professional advancement. They clam up, interiorizing their pain, fear or distress.

Most public institutions will honestly admit they do not invest enough into mental health services for their fellow employees.

Our elected officials have much to hide away from their future or present-day electors. What if they have a skeleton in their closet? A colourful personal history, a criminal record, possible mental health or physical health issue. Issues that are allowed to be hidden from the transparency portfolio. If asked, tell the truth(as they see it), otherwise hide what can be hidden. Politicians performing their service to the community, are placed under a microscope by the electorate and media alike. This must be stressful to them and their families too. Are elected officials ever evaluated for mental health status ever, before being elected and during their service?

Do you think anyone with a criminal record or under investigation should be removed or barred from holding office or in a position of public trust? Is the trust of the electorate easily given? A public official or employee could mishandle a portfolio, or commit a crime while in public service. How often have you seen such an individual stand before the media’s camera, proclaiming their innocence or sorrow of their actions?

We have heard many public officials call for hugely needed investments in the treatment of mental health issues, yet these investments are either moving at a snail’s pace or not at all. Our military and police have been calling for assistance regarding their need for mental health programs for two decades with little happening. The government’s response is usually words, words, and more words with little accountable assistance given. Our government has enough revenue to invest in weapons for the police and military, building structures and community centers, highways and new computers, but when asked to invest in people, their employees and the electorate, it’s either too costly or they have not the funds.

The Police and Military: Have an immediate need for trained mental health professionals, therapists and therapy-recoup centers. If the government can send them into harm’s way, they are responsible to maintain their mental health.

Government Agencies: Due to privacy issues, the government should make allotments to their employees available to find and go to therapy. A healthy employee is a trusted effective one. The government should source mental health professionals for those who serve them. Furthermore, Governments and their agencies are responsible to encourage, initiate and plan for the training of these professionals. A well-paid professional will make their placement a long-term investment. If our public employees can rely upon their employer to care for them, we can rely upon our public sector.

An established long-term mental health program needs to be established. This can be all-inclusive to the entire community. For example, gun owners, and drivers of vehicles should be required to invest their time in an interview and possible retraining every five years. Should a mental health issue be recognized, it can be dealt with appropriately and calmly. Bad habits, addictions, attitudes and illnesses developed over time can be recognized and something is done about them promptly and privately.

We have forgotten that much that we receive from and within our society is a privilege, something that should be earnt, and not awarded. Our mental health changes over time, and so too our responsibility to our communities, family and society. Is the public sector becoming our parents, our caregivers? In many ways, it is, and so our overall health, and that of our minds may be calling for community maintenance.

Steven Kaszab
Bradford, Ontario

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