(Bloomberg) — China’s recovery gained traction in March, showing the world’s second-largest economy is strengthening after stringent pandemic restrictions were dropped and Covid infection waves eased.
Economy
Li Qiang: New premier tries to boost confidence in Chinese economy
|


China’s new Premier Li Qiang has sought to restore confidence in the country’s economy in his first public address since taking up the role.
He said that a growth target set last week – 5% – would “not be easy” to meet, but added that the “economy is stabilising and picking up again”.
The world’s second-largest economy is still reeling from the effects of Beijing’s zero-Covid policy.
Investors’ confidence too has taken a hit in recent years as China’s leader Xi Jinping consolidated his power, cracking down on private businesses, from tech companies to the tutoring industry.
In an attempt to allay those concerns, Mr Li said: “During a period last year, there was some incorrect opinion on the development of the private economy which worried some entrepreneurs… The environment for the private economy would get better and better and there would be more space for it.”
Mr Li also struck a more conciliatory tone towards the US: “China and the United States should co-operate, and must co-operate. When China and the US work together, there is much we can achieve. Encirclement and suppression are not advantageous for anyone.”
As party chief of Shanghai, he oversaw one of the harshest zero-Covid lockdowns that battered China’s economic hub, leaving many without food. Party officials often went above and beyond to implement what was seen as Mr Xi’s signature policy, which was reversed in December following widespread protests.
Although Mr Li’s appointment was near certain after the Party Congress in October, he was formally appointed to the role only during the Two Sessions, the annual meetings of China’s legislature and top political advisory body that ended on Monday.
As premier, he is now tasked with managing China’s economy and his elevation has surprised many – unlike almost all his predecessors, he has had no experience working in the central government. But he is known as a loyalist of Mr Xi’s, who worked closely with him in Zhejiang – one of China’s richest provinces – between 2002 and 2007.
“Running the State Council machinery will require some adjustments, but he likely had some ‘practice’ during zero-Covid since Shanghai, as the largest city in China, had to co-ordinate closely with State Council agencies and he even took over the Covid leading group for months now,” said Victor Shih, a professor at University of California San Diego.
“On issues that Xi cares about, there will be very little room for flexibility. However he [Li] may have greater ability to persuade Xi.”
The Economist Intelligence Unit’s principal economist Yue Su noted Mr Li did not use the opportunity to propose new economic measures.
“This means Li Qiang has limited ownership in policy decisions at least during his first year in the office and the Politburo meeting will still be the key to assessing China’s policy direction.”
She added that investors’ confidence would not come back immediately due to a lack of “institutional measures” – even if Mr Li looks like a “pro-business premier” who has a good track record in Zhejiang and Shanghai.
Mr Xi, the most powerful leader since Chairman Mao Zedong, also secured a historic third presidential term during the Two Sessions last week. This too was widely expected after the two-term limit on presidential term was removed five years ago.
“This is my third term holding such a high office as the country’s president. The trust of the people is the greatest motivation for me to move forward and a heavy responsibility on my shoulders,” Mr Xi said on Monday.
“Security is the bedrock of development, while stability is a prerequisite for prosperity.
“We must fully promote the modernisation of national defence and the armed forces, and build the people’s armed forces into a Great Wall of Steel that effectively safeguards national sovereignty, security and development interests.”
Additional reporting by BBC Chinese’s Yan Chen





Economy
Can Russia and China succeed in dethroning the dollar?
|



From: Counting the Cost
Russia turns to China’s Yuan as its foreign currency of choice and supports it in trade with other countries.
Since being shut out of much of the global financial system, Russia has sought alternatives to soften the effects of Western sanctions.
It has turned to China for an economic lifeline and has been increasingly embracing the yuan.
Trade between the two countries hit a record of $190bn last year, with much of those payments made in Chinese and Russian currencies.
The two biggest geopolitical rivals of the United States want to counterbalance the dominance of the dollar worldwide.
Elsewhere, Ukraine has won the IMF’s first loan to a country at war.





Economy
Charting the Global Economy: Recovery in China Gathers Pace
|
![8fk]oem8pg219s085bjy8e62_media_dl_1.png](https://smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital/financialpost/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/japans-huge-international-investments-cumulative-japanese-p.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&w=288&h=216&sig=P0fbDUnd3wuvMnjAs8a15A)
![8fk]oem8pg219s085bjy8e62_media_dl_1.png](https://smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital/financialpost/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/japans-huge-international-investments-cumulative-japanese-p.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&w=288&h=216&sig=P0fbDUnd3wuvMnjAs8a15A)
Asia
China’s economic recovery gathered pace in March, with gauges for manufacturing, services and construction activity remaining strong, boosting the outlook for growth this year.
South Korea’s construction deals fell by a record margin in the fourth quarter as the property market cooled with rising interest rates weakening demand and inflation fueling costs.
Europe
Underlying inflation in the euro area hit a fresh high, handing ammunition to ECB officials who say interest-rate increases aren’t over yet. The rise to 5.7% in March’s core price reading, which strips out volatile items like fuel and food costs, came alongside a record plunge in headline inflation to 6.9% from 8.5% in February.
While Sweden sits between France and Switzerland in a ranking of dollar billionaires, many poorer Swedes have seen the gap between the haves and the have-nots widen dramatically in recent times. At the heart of Sweden’s woes is a dysfunctional housing market, which has not only cemented social divides, but exacerbated them.
A key gauge of US inflation rose in February by less than expected and consumer spending stabilized, suggesting the Fed may be close to ending its most aggressive cycle of interest-rate hikes in decades. Excluding food and energy, the core personal consumption expenditures price index climbed 4.6%, matching the smallest annual increase since October 2021.
Banks reduced their borrowings from two Fed backstop lending facilities in the most recent week, a sign that liquidity demand may be stabilizing. US institutions had a combined $152.6 billion in outstanding borrowings in the week through March 29, compared with $163.9 billion the previous week.
The biggest banking scare since the 2008 financial crisis will ricochet through the economy for months as households and businesses find it harder to gain access to credit. That’s the scenario facing the US after the collapse of three regional lenders, and a giant global one, over an 11-day span, according to several economists.
World
South Africa and Ghana each lifted rates by more than expected, and Thailand signaled more tightening is on the horizon. Mexico slowed its pace of hikes while Hungary’s resisted government pressure to start monetary easing. Colombia increased rates to a 24-year high and Egypt went ahead with a jumbo hike.
Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda changed the course of global markets when he unleashed a $3.4 trillion firehose of Japanese cash on the investment world. Now Kazuo Ueda is likely to dismantle his legacy, setting the stage for a flow reversal that risks sending shockwaves through the global economy.
Emerging Markets
President Vladimir Putin’s drive to expand Russia’s armed forces is adding to labor shortages as his war in Ukraine draws hundreds of thousands of workers into the military from other sectors of the economy. The total number taken into service is likely to have exceeded half a million, according to Bloomberg’s Russia economist Alexander Isakov.
—With assistance from Ruth Carson, Enda Curran, Alexandra Harris, Sam Kim, Masaki Kondo, John Liu, Michael MacKenzie, Reade Pickert, Chris Reiter, Zoe Schneeweiss, Mark Sweetman, Craig Torres, Alexander Weber and Anton Wilen.





Economy
Can Russia and China succeed in dethroning the dollar?
|



Russia turns to China’s Yuan as its foreign currency of choice and supports it in trade with other countries.
Since being shut out of much of the global financial system, Russia has sought alternatives to soften the effects of Western sanctions.
It has turned to China for an economic lifeline and has been increasingly embracing the yuan.
Trade between the two countries hit a record of $190bn last year, with much of those payments made in Chinese and Russian currencies.
The two biggest geopolitical rivals of the United States want to counterbalance the dominance of the dollar worldwide.
Elsewhere, Ukraine has won the IMF’s first loan to a country at war.





-
Art22 hours ago
The fool’s gold of art forgery is a problem of the art world’s own making
-
News22 hours ago
Canada’s carbon pricing is going up again. What it means for your wallet
-
Health21 hours ago
Patient Volumes Up in Winnipeg Children’s ICU
-
Economy20 hours ago
Can Russia and China succeed in dethroning the dollar?
-
Investment20 hours ago
Is Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) A Risky Investment?
-
Business24 hours ago
What economists are saying about the latest GDP numbers
-
Health23 hours ago
Heads up – wood ticks are out and about in the Thompson
-
Politics12 hours ago
Ivanka Trump breaks silence on her dad’s indictment