Looking to buy a house this year? Here’s what real estate experts are expecting | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Real eState

Looking to buy a house this year? Here’s what real estate experts are expecting

Published

 on

While home prices have dropped nine months in a row, many Canadians are still struggling to jump into the housing market amid high interest rates and low supply.

But real estate experts are flagging that there could soon be a number of material changes in the Canadian housing market just around the corner.

“I think the first and perhaps most important trend that we will see this year will be the transition from a rising interest rate environment, to a no news state as it relates to rates,” said Phil Soper, chief executive officer of Bridgemarq Real Estate Services and Royal LePage, in a phone interview on Tuesday.

“So I’d say the move to a stable rate environment, even though it’s at a higher level than it has been during the pandemic, will be the first step in reviving consumer confidence,” Soper said.

In December, the Bank of Canada hiked its key policy rate for the seventh time in a row, to 4.25 per cent.

FORECASTING A DROP IN PRICES

John Pasalis, president and broker at Realosophy Realty Inc., said he thinks housing prices will continue to fall amid this high-rate environment.

“I think the main trend this year is probably going to be continued downward pressure on housing prices. I think that’s the most likely event and I don’t think the market has really absorbed higher rates yet,” Pasalis said in a phone interview on Tuesday.

“We haven’t seen much distress from sellers yet, but it’s still early. As we move into the new year, sales are going to remain slow and we’re likely going to start to see a little bit more distress from sellers.”

The Canadian Real Estate Association reported home sales fell for the ninth straight time in November.

The actual national average home price was at $632,802, which was down 12 per cent from the same month a year ago.

But Jason Mercer, chief market analyst at the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board, said he thinks there could be some good news on the horizon for homebuyers.

“We’re starting to see a flat lining in terms of prices and I think that trend is going to carry forward through the first half of 2023, give or take,” Mercer said in a phone interview on Tuesday.

PENT-UP DEMAND

Some real estate experts are warning there could be a surge of homebuyers ready to jump into the market, as many individuals were sidelined over the past few years amid higher rates and elevated prices.

“The pent up demand that that occurred in 2022, it’s significant. Add to that a record number of new residents immigrating to Canada last year,” Soper said.

On Tuesday, Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada said the country added more than 431,000 new permanent residents in 2022.

This marked the largest annual increase of residents, breaking the prior year’s record of around 401,000 newcomers.

In the report, it said that “immigrants account for 36 per cent of physicians, 33 per cent of business owners with paid staff, and 41 per cent of engineers.”

Mercer said a lot of these skill sets match up with the high demand for jobs in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA).

He explained that many people could be moving to this region over the next few years and they will need to find a place to live.

“I think that (higher immigration levels) certainly suggests we’ll see a tightening in the ownership market (in the GTA) over the next couple of years that would support renewed price growth,” he said.

“I think we’re also going to continue to see strong growth in average (GTA) rents as well.”

CONDOMINIUM-FOCUSED MARKET

Experts are flagging that there could be a spotlight on condominium properties this year.

Soper said there was a hyper-focus on detached homes during the pandemic, but he sees that changing in the coming months.

“We see that flipping to a focus on condominiums in 2023 because they’re more affordable, investors are able to achieve outsized-returns because of the sharp rise in in rental prices and because of immigration,” he explained.

“Our research shows that for the first three years of their (immigrants’) time in Canada, almost all new Canadians rent condominiums, so all of that should put focus on condominiums versus detached housing.”

Pasalis said condo prices have been more stable than low-rise properties over the past few years but he thinks prices could drop even further as we “haven’t seen distressed condo sellers yet.”

“If investors get distressed, a lot of these condo properties are owned by investors so depending on their leverage we could start to see some properties selling,” he explained.

“But I don’t think it’s going to be a disaster because I think the flip side is that the rental market is still quite strong and that is definitely helping the condo market.”

Adblock test (Why?)

Source link

Continue Reading

Real eState

Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Real eState

Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

Published

 on

 

HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Real eState

Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

Published

 on

 

Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version