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Low inventory: COVID real estate price rally pushes through October – TheChronicleHerald.ca

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When Yvan Rhéaume listed a semi-rural bungalow for sale last Friday, he hadn’t expected quite so much interest. The Right at Home sales agent was asking $950,000 for his client’s property in the West Lake Estates subdivision a few kilometres south of Carp.

Rhéaume was used to seeing strong bidding wars for residential properties listed between $400,000 and $500,000, but less competition for more expensive homes. This sale would prove different. By 7 p.m. Monday, the deadline for would-be buyers to submit offers, Rhéaume had received nine bids, all of them over the asking price. His clients accepted an offer for roughly $1.2 million.

“A house on the same street, the same size, had recently listed for $850,000 and sold for $1 million, so we knew we were in the right area as far as price goes,” Rhéaume said, “but I did not expect so many offers.”

His clients were ecstatic. They had planned to continue working for three more years until they were mortgage free and then move back to the Maritimes to be with family. Now those plans have been expedited.

Without doubt, this has been one of the strangest years for Ottawa’s housing resale market. After the number of sales plummeted more than 40 per cent year over year in March and April in response to the pandemic — and price increases dipped to single-digits — the city’s 3,000 real estate agents look to be making up all the ground lost and then some.  Sales of condos and single-family homes for the year will likely match the number posted in 2019, which was a very good year.

Average price gains since July have topped 20 per cent year over year for residential properties, including a 24.7 jump in October to $603,500, according to data published Wednesday by the Ottawa Real Estate Board. This data includes houses and condos sold in Ottawa proper as well as those in surrounding towns such Kemptville and Arnprior. Separating these two groups, the average price for residential properties sold in Ottawa improved 24 per cent to $665,000, while residential properties in the valley surged 30 per cent year over year to $442,000.

The price gains for condos across the Ottawa region were a less robust 15.5 per cent to $369,000. Indeed there are signs that the condo resale market is cooling somewhat as inventories climbed 14 per cent year over year compared to a 46 per cent decline in residential listings overall.

“The lack of inventory is definitely pushing up prices,” said Paul Rushforth, who runs the real estate agency that bears his name, “Next year will be strong as well.”

The Carp area sale encapsulates several key trends driving real estate prices.

The main push is coming from historically low interest rates that have sharply reduced borrowing costs associated with mortgages.

Residential property values here are also playing catch up with Vancouver and Toronto. Average house prices there and in surrounding areas surged more than 60 per cent between 2013 and 2017. Since then, Ottawa’s resale market has outpaced most of the rest of the country, albeit not enough to make up the difference. Prices here really began moving up sharply starting in mid-2019.

From June 2019 to September 2020, the benchmark price for single-family homes moved up 24 per cent to $581,000 according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Across the country, only Woodstock, Ont., saw a faster rate of price growth during this period.

The pandemic is also prompting a frantic search for more space.

“We’re seeing families with kids looking for bigger properties,” Rushforth said. “They’ve been cooped up in their existing houses for so long.”

Indeed, a look at the region’s real estate districts reveals a distinct shift favouring country living is under way. Residential prices in the Carp area surged 54 per cent year over year to $806,000 for the 16 homes sold in October, according to the Ottawa Real Estate Board. Other big gains in market value could be seen in semi-rural areas such as Greely, Manotick, Bells Corners and Stittsville.

Towns outside the city core also witnessed sharply increased interest. Gains in October topped 40 per cent year over year in Kemptville, Almonte and Smiths Falls.

“People who grew up in rural areas and moved downtown now have the opportunity to move back there,” said Zak Green, a sales representative with Engel & Völkers. “Retirees with great pensions are buying rural properties. So are younger people pre-children”.

The same night Yvan Rhéaume sold his Carp bungalow, a one-story home in North Kemptville listed for a shade under $400,000 also sparked a bidding war. The result: a final offer in excess of $540,000.

Another sign of the times.

Copyright Postmedia Network Inc., 2020

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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