Lululemon 'can't keep outgrowing market' when it's the leader - Yahoo Finance | Canada News Media
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Lululemon 'can't keep outgrowing market' when it's the leader – Yahoo Finance

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Athletic apparel brands Nike (NKE) and Lululemon (LULU) are falling Friday morning as the two stocks take a hit despite both companies topping their latest earnings expectations. Bernstein Senior Analyst Aneesha Sherman shares her insights on the athletic wear stocks, particularly Lululemon as it continues to capture more market share from luxury retail consumers.

“Year-to-date, in January [and] continuing into February and early March, the trends have been very weak in the US market, in particular. Management talked about this on the call yesterday, they said there was some challenging US consumer dynamics — traffic is flowing, conversion is flowing,” Sherman says. “I think it’s a combination of macro, the middle-income consumer is getting squeezed right now and that is the Lulu consumer…”

For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Yahoo Finance Live.

Editor’s note: This article was written by Luke Carberry Mogan.

Video Transcript

JARED BLIKRE: I want to shift gears to Lululemon, got to talk about that as well, strong results. I mean, strong reaction at least in the stock market to about this. But I guess some of the other analysts were worrying about the current environments. Fourth quarter is strong. But there are some trends month to date that seem to be troubling some analysts. I’m wondering if you can comment on that?

ANEESHA SHERMAN: Yeah. The trends recently, so holiday was very strong in December and that’s what drove the strong Q4 performance. But year to date in January and continuing into February and early March, the trends have been very weak in the US market in particular. And management talked about this on the call yesterday, they said there’s some challenging US consumer dynamics. Traffic is slowing. Conversion is slowing.

I think it’s a combination of macro. I mean, the middle income consumers getting squeezed right now and that is the consumer. But it’s also Lulus getting really big in the US. It is the number one market share holder in women’s apparel. And you can’t keep outgrowing the market once you’re the market leader. And so a little bit of that slowdown that was overdue is finally caught up to the stock.

SEANA SMITH: Aneesha, some of that slowdown a bit surprising to you, given the fact that high end consumer has held up so strong up until this point in Lulu hasn’t really seen much of that pressure before?

ANEESHA SHERMAN: But I think the key in what you’re saying is up until this point. We are seeing weakness in the high end consumer. Now where other premium brands. If you talk about Nordstrom, we talk about Coach, you talk about caring. They are seeing weakness in that consumer, which is the Lulu consumer. So it is not just low income pressure anymore. It is really creeping up the income spectrum and is hurting that Lulu consumer in a way that it wasn’t a year ago.

JARED BLIKRE: Aneesha, since we’re in between earnings periods right now, any trends or any thoughts on trends that you’ve seen develop over the last quarter, heading into the next one, what are the things that are on your radar right now?

ANEESHA SHERMAN: We’re seeing continued softness in the US market and consumer. Once we get to the summer, I think we will start to anniversary. Some of last year’s softness so we should see some incremental growth. And particularly, for the sportswear brands who are seeing some big sporting events coming up the Paris Olympics. The euro cup and soccer that should drive some traction as well.

So H2 is looking more optimistic than H1. H2 order books are stronger than H1. And H2 inventory levels will be cleaner than H1. So it does feel like it’s a bit of a year of two halves where we’re still in the thick of the H1 weakness. But things will start looking better as we get into mid-year.

SEANA SMITH: Aneesha, what do we need to see from Lululemon to spark some of that re acceleration of growth?

ANEESHA SHERMAN: I think we need to see some growth in the men’s business. So this has been a big growth area for them, which was meant to be helping to offset some of the slowdown in the core women’s business. But men’s has actually underperformed women’s this year. And Lulu CEO on the call yesterday talked about how men are a little bit more conservative with buying as well.

But he also talked about new innovation that they have out. They have new men’s pants, new men’s shoes. So if we see that starting to work in the men’s business starts picking up, that may offset some of the weakness in the women’s business as it starts to mature and slow which will be a positive catalyst for this.

SEANA SMITH: Now our colleague Brad Smith very excited about the new lineup of men’s shoes over at Lululemon. All right. Aneesha Sherman, always great to talk to you. Thanks so much for joining us here Bernstein senior analyst. Thanks Aneesha.

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Telus prioritizing ‘most important customers,’ avoiding ‘unprofitable’ offers: CFO

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Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.

The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.

Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.

The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.

Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”

“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.

“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”

Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.

The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.

It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.

Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.

It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.

“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.

The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.

Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.

The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.

“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.

Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.

“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.

“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”

Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.

On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.

That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.

Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”

“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.

“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”

French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.

“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.

“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:T)

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TC Energy cuts cost estimate for Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico

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CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.

It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.

The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.

TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRP)

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BCE reports Q3 loss on asset impairment charge, cuts revenue guidance

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BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.

The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.

“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”

Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.

BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.

The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.

BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.

It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.

The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”

Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)

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