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Mailbag: 2020 Draft dark horses, Rangers future moves – NHL.com

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Here is the April 1 edition of Dan Rosen’s weekly mailbag. If you have a question, tweet it to @drosennhl and use #OvertheBoards.

In this year’s draft class, who is your dark horse to maybe jump up and be selected early, much like when the Detroit Red Wings took Moritz Seider at No. 6 in 2019? — @theashcity

I’m not going to pretend that I’m a draft expert here, but your question piqued my interest and had me wondering the same thing. I am always a sucker for a good dark horse story and Seider certainly was that last season. Most draft experts, including our three at NHL.com — Mike G. Morreale, Adam Kimelman and Guillaume Lepage — had the defenseman going in the first round in their mock drafts last year, but few, if any, had him in the top 10. 

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Since we collaborate on a lot of projects at NHL.com, I enlisted Mike’s help for this answer because he constantly is talking to scouts while reporting on and watching draft-eligible players. Nobody covers the NHL Draft quite like he does, and Morreale targets defenseman Jake Sanderson from the USA Hockey National Team Development Program Under-18 team, and forward Jack Quinn of Ottawa in the Ontario Hockey League.

Of Sanderson, the son of former NHLer Geoff Sanderson, Morreale said he made a great impression on him at the 2020 USA Hockey BioSteel All-American Game on Jan. 20. 

“I’m not sure if he’s considered just outside the top 10 right now, but I think someone could step up and take him top eight,” Morreale said. “What makes this interesting is that, right now, Jamie Drysdale of Erie is the top defenseman available on the draft board, but Sanderson has been so good down the stretch.”

Here is Morreale’s story about Sanderson from Feb. 20: Sanderson could rank among best-ever defensemen at NTDP

Of Quinn, Morreale said the forward has elevated his draft standing after finishing second in the OHL with 52 goals and eighth with 89 points. He scored 15 power-play goals and 240 shots on goal, each first on Ottawa.

“He’s smart with the puck, shows a lot of poise, and plays a real responsible two-way game,” Morreale said. “I think there’s tons of upside potential and someone may take chance on him inside the top 10.” 

Do you think the New York Rangers need to get one more ELITE player to get over the hump? And does Igor Shesterkin become the No. 1 goalie? — Reiku78

Every team will say it needs one more top player. The Rangers are no different in that regard. Realistically, though, they need their young players to develop into top players. They need rookie forward Kaapo Kakko, the 19-year-old who was the No. 2 pick in the 2019 NHL Draft, to develop the way forward Andrei Svechnikov did from Year 1 to Year 2 for the Carolina Hurricanes. Svechnikov, the 20-year-old who was the No. 2 pick in the 2018 NHL Draft, had 37 points (20 goals, 17 assists) in 82 games as a rookie last season and 61 points (24 goals, 37 assists) through 68 games this season. Kakko, who has shown flashes of his potential, has 23 points (10 goals, 13 assists) in 66 games. He should be the Rangers’ next elite player. New York also needs center Filip Chytil to continue his development and become more of a scoring threat. He has made great strides this season in many areas, including knowing how and when to use his strength and get to the net. His production has followed to a degree; he has 23 points (14 goals, nine assists) in 60 games after scoring 23 points (11 goals, 12 assists) in 75 games last season. The Rangers need Chytil to become more of a 50-60-point player. They also need the continued maturation of defensemen Adam Fox and Ryan Lindgren, who look like they have the ingredients to be a top pair for a long time. Shesterkin, who already is the new No. 1 goalie, needs to continue to develop into the role. He has the makings of a future all-star. Still to come is the development of forward Vitali Kravtsov, and defensemen K’Andre Miller, Nils Lundkvist, Matthew Robertson and Yegor Rykov. So, yes, the Rangers would love another elite player, but they should already have at least one more in their organization. They don’t need to sign another one like they did forward Artemi Panarin last offseason, they need to patiently wait for one to develop.

Video: Panarin lighting it up for Rangers so far

Can the Colorado Avalanche’s rapid turnaround be replicated by other teams or did general manager Joe Sakic catch lightning in a bottle more than once? — @jtthenutt

Rapid is not a word I would use for the Avalanche turnaround. It has, in fact, taken several years for them to get to this point. Sakic started running the hockey operations department on May 10, 2013, and 51 days later the Avalanche selected forward Nathan MacKinnon with the No. 1 pick in the 2013 NHL Draft. They hit an unsustainable high in the 2013-14 season by finishing with 112 points only to lose to the Minnesota Wild in seven games in the Western Conference First Round. That team was nowhere near as good as 112 points would suggest. They didn’t possess the puck a lot and they relied on their goaltending to bail them out too often. They went down to 90 points the following season, 82 the season after, and bottomed out at 48 points in 2016-17, when they were not nearly as bad as their record because they still had the makings of a core with MacKinnon and forwards Mikko Rantanen and Gabriel Landeskog. Sakic has done a good job of filling in around that core in the past several seasons, and the addition this season of rookie defenseman Cale Makar, who was the No. 4 pick in the 2017 NHL Draft, has made a huge difference. But to say this has been a rapid climb to the Avalanche being Stanley Cup contenders wouldn’t be accurate in my opinion. The Avalanche this season, with 92 points in 70 games, have been bolstered by strong moves made in the offseason to acquire forwards Andre Burakovsky, Nazem Kadri and Joonas Donskoi and put them around the many players already in place, a roster they have been building for several seasons. 

Video: COL@CBJ: Kadri snaps home tying goal

What rule changes would you like to see next year? I would like to see the ability to ice the puck on the penalty kill taken away. — @HHIGirl72

I’m in agreement with you regarding icing on the penalty kill by the shorthanded team. This isn’t a rule change under consideration as far as I know, but I would be interested in hearing a discussion on it among the general managers. The thing is, it wouldn’t be a small change. It would materially change how teams would kill penalties. Teams would have to adjust how much they pass or skate the puck out of the defensive zone without the ability to shoot the puck down the ice and change the penalty killers on the fly. It also doesn’t stop you from icing the puck. You’d still be able to do that, but you’d face the same consequences as a normal icing in that the whistle would blow, the face-off would be in your defending zone, and you wouldn’t be able to change players, meaning tired penalty killers could be left on the ice. But tired players and attempts to pass or skate the puck across the red line for a dump in creates the opportunity for turnovers that lead to offense. The NHL has for years now been making rule changes to benefit offense and this would be another one.

I’m very much in favor of eliminating foot-in-the-air offside calls on video review. The general managers feel the same way. They voted at their meeting on March 3 to make a recommendation to the NHL/NHLPA Competition Committee that the application of the offside rule change to allow players to be considered onside as long as one of their skates is above the vertical plane of the blue line regardless if it is in contact with the ice. The hope among the GMs is that changing the rule to a more liberal interpretation of offside will lead to fewer coach’s challenges and that would lead to more goals being allowed to stay on the board. That means more offense, and that’s good.

While I’m not bullish on this last one, it would be intriguing to me to hear about penalties in overtime being reduced to one minute for a minor. Overtime is a maximum of five minutes and an argument could be made that it is too punitive to put a team on the penalty kill for two of those minutes, or potentially 40 percent of the OT session.

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NHL teams, take note: Alexandar Georgiev is proof that anything can happen in the playoffs

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It’s hard to say when, exactly, Alexandar Georgiev truly began to win some hearts and change some minds on Tuesday night.

Maybe it was in the back half of the second period; that was when the Colorado Avalanche, for the first time in their first-round Stanley Cup playoff series against the Winnipeg Jets, actually managed to hold a lead for more than, oh, two minutes or thereabouts. Maybe it was when the Avs walked into the locker room up 4-2 with 20 minutes to play.

Maybe it was midway through the third, when a series of saves by the Avalanche’s beleaguered starting goaltender helped preserve their two-goal buffer. Maybe it was when the buzzer sounded after their 5-2 win. Maybe it didn’t happen until the Avs made it into their locker room at Canada Life Centre, tied 1-1 with the Jets and headed for Denver.

At some point, though, it should’ve happened. If you were watching, you should’ve realized that Colorado — after a 7-6 Game 1 loss that had us all talking not just about all those goals, but at least one of the guys who’d allowed them — had squared things up, thanks in part to … well, that same guy.

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Georgiev, indeed, was the story of Game 2, stopping 28 of 30 shots, improving as the game progressed and providing a lesson on how quickly things can change in the playoffs — series to series, game to game, period to period, moment to moment. The narrative doesn’t always hold. Facts don’t always cooperate. Alexandar Georgiev, for one night and counting, was not a problem for the Colorado Avalanche. He was, in direct opposition to the way he played in Game 1, a solution. How could we view him as anything else?

He had a few big-moment saves, and most of them came midway through the third period with his team up 4-2. There he was with 12:44 remaining, stopping a puck that had awkwardly rolled off Nino Niederreiter’s stick; two missed posts by the Avs at the other end had helped spring Niederreiter for a breakaway. Game 1 Georgiev doesn’t make that save.

There he was, stopping Nikolaj Ehlers from the circle a few minutes later. There wasn’t an Avs defender within five feet, and there was nothing awkward about the puck Ehlers fired at his shoulder. Game 1 Georgiev gets scored on twice.

(That one might’ve been poetic justice. It was Ehlers who’d put the first puck of the night on Georgiev — a chip from center ice that he stopped, and that the crowd in Winnipeg greeted with the ol’ mock cheer. Whoops.)

By the end of it all, Georgiev had stared down Connor Hellebuyck and won, saving nearly 0.5 goals more than expected according to Natural Stat Trick, giving the Avalanche precisely what they needed and looking almost nothing like the guy we’d seen a couple days before. Conventional wisdom coming into this series was twofold: That the Avs have firepower, high-end talent and an overall edge — slight as it may be — on Winnipeg, and that Georgiev is shaky enough to nuke the whole thing.

That wasn’t without merit, either. Georgiev’s .897 save percentage in the regular season was six percentage points below the league average, and he hadn’t broken even in expected goals allowed (minus-0.21). He’d been even worse down the stretch, putting up an .856 save percentage in his final eight appearances, and worse still in Game 1, allowing seven goals on 23 shots and more than five goals more than expected. That’s not bad; that’s an oil spill. Writing him off would’ve been understandable. Writing off Jared Bednar for rolling him out there in Game 2 would’ve been understandable. Writing the Avs off — for all of Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar’s greatness — would’ve been understandable.

It just wouldn’t have been correct.

The fact that this all went down now, four days into a two-month ordeal, is a gift — because the postseason thus far has been short on surprises, almost as a rule. The Rangers and Oilers are overwhelming the Capitals and Kings. The Hurricanes are halfway done with the Islanders. The Canucks are struggling with the Predators. PanthersLightning is tight, but one team is clearly better than the other. BruinsMaple Leafs is a close matchup featuring psychic baggage that we don’t have time to unpack. In Golden KnightsStars, Mark Stone came back and scored a huge goal.

None of that should shock you. None of that should make you blink.

Georgiev being good enough for Colorado, though? After what we saw in Game 1? Strange, surprising and completely true. For now.

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"Laugh it off": Evander Kane says Oilers won’t take the bait against Kings | Offside

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The LA Kings tried every trick in the book to get the Edmonton Oilers off their game last night.

Hacks after the whistle, punches to the face, and interference with line changes were just some of the things that the Oilers had to endure, and throughout it all, there was not an ounce of retaliation.

All that badgering by the Kings resulted in at least two penalties against them and fuelled a red-hot Oilers power play that made them pay with three goals on four chances. That was by design for Edmonton, who knew that LA was going to try to pester them as much as they could.

That may have worked on past Oilers teams, but not this one.

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“We’ve been in a series now for the third year in a row with these guys,” Kane said after practice this morning. “We know them, they know us… it’s one of those things where maybe it makes it a little easier to kind of laugh it off, walk away, or take a shot.

“That type of stuff isn’t gonna affect us.”

Once upon a time, this type of play would get under the Oilers’ skin and result in retaliatory penalties. Yet, with a few hard-knock lessons handed down to them in the past few seasons, it seems like the team is as determined as ever to cut the extracurriculars and focus on getting revenge on the scoreboard.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, the longest-tenured player on this Oilers team, had to keep his emotions in check with Kings defender Vladislav Gavrikov, who punched him in the face early in the game. The easy reaction would be to punch back, but the veteran Nugen-Hopkins took his licks and wound up scoring later in the game.

“It’s going to be physical, the emotions are high, and there’s probably going to be some stuff after the whistle,” Nugent-Hopkins told reporters this morning. “I think it’s important to stay poised out there and not retaliate and just play through the whistles and let the other stuff just kind of happen.”

Oilers head coach Kris Knoblauch also noticed his team’s discipline. Playoff hockey is full of emotion, and keeping those in check to focus on the larger goal is difficult. He was happy with how his team set the tone.

“It’s not necessarily easy to do,” Knoblauch said. “You get punched in the face and sometimes the referees feel it’s enough to call a penalty, sometimes it’s not… You just have to take them, and sometimes, you get rewarded with the power play.

“I liked our guy’s response and we want to be sticking up for each other, we want to have that pack mentality, but it’s really important that we’re not the ones taking that extra penalty.”

There is no doubt that the Kings will continue to poke and prod at the Oilers as the series continues. Keeping those retaliations in check will only get more difficult, but if the team can continue to succeed on the scoreboard, it could get easier.

 

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Thatcher Demko injured, out for Game 2 between Canucks and Predators

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Thatcher Demko returned from injury just in time for the start of the Stanley Cup Playoffs but now is injured again.

After the Vancouver Canucks’ victory in Game 1, Demko was not made available to the media as he was “receiving treatment.” This is not unusual, so was not heavily reported at the time. Monday’s practice was turned into an optional skate — just nine players participated — so Demko’s absence did not seem particularly significant.

But when Demko was also missing from Tuesday’s gameday skate, alarm bells started going off.

According to multiple reports — and now the Canucks’ head coach, Rick Tocchet —Demko will not play in Game 2 and is in fact questionable for the rest of their series against the Nashville Predators.

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Demko made 22 saves on 24 shots, none bigger — and potentially injury-inducing — than his first-period save on Anthony Beauvillier where he went into the full splits.

While this is not necessarily where Demko got injured, it would be understandable if it was. Demko still stayed in the game and didn’t seem to be experiencing any difficulties at the time.

Demko is a major difference-maker for the Canucks and his injury casts a pall over the team’s emotional Game 1 victory.

Tocchet confirmed that Demko will not start in Game 2 but said Demko did skate on Monday on his own. He also said that Demko’s injury is unrelated to the knee injury he suffered during the season that caused him to miss five weeks. Instead, Tocchet suggested Demko was day-to-day, leaving open the possibility for his return in the first round.

TSN’s Farhan Lalji, however, has reported that Demko’s injury could indeed be to the same knee, even if it is not the same exact injury.

If Demko does indeed miss the rest of the series, the pressure will be on Casey DeSmith, who had a strong season when called upon intermittently as the team’s backup but struggled when thrust into the number-one role when Demko was injured. Behind DeSmith is rookie Arturs Silovs, who has come through with heroic performances in international competition for Latvia but hasn’t been able to repeat those performances at the NHL level.

DeSmith played one game against the Predators this season, making 26 saves on 28 shots in a 5-2 victory in December.

While DeSmith has limited experience in the Stanley Cup Playoffs, his one appearance was spectacular.

On May 3, 2022, DeSmith had to step in for the injured Tristan Jarry for the Pittsburgh Penguins, starting their first postseason game against the New York Rangers. DeSmith made 48 saves on 51 shots before leaving the game in the second overtime with an injury of his own, with Louis Domingue stepping in to make 17 more saves for the win.

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