Masks off! Uncovering the rise in real estate values in Oshawa - Oshawa Express | Canada News Media
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Masks off! Uncovering the rise in real estate values in Oshawa – Oshawa Express

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Lindsay Smith

By Lindsay Smith/Columnist

I am going to start this column off with a headline from May: “CMHC sees house prices in Canada falling between 9 per cent and 18 per cent over the next 12 months.”

Let’s look at another quote responding to real estate brokers disagreeing with this forecast. “Please question the motivation of anyone who wants you to believe prices will go up.”

I have mentioned before how inaccurate my crystal ball is so let’s dig into what is happening with prices in Oshawa.

We (if you remember pre-COVID-19 there was a real estate price boom) had a run up in prices in Ontario that ended in the spring of 2017. In Oshawa, the average detached home peaked in April 2017 at $668,000. The trigger that seemed to stall the market was a foreign buyer tax that sent a shock wave through the real estate marketplace. By the end of June 2017, the average detached home dropped in price to $508,000. Since then, we have seen a slow steady increase, and as we began 2020, we had a jump-up in values reminiscent of the boom of 2017. Then, in March, COVID-19 shuttered our market and it came to a standstill. Prices dropped and the doomsayers were predicting a collapse. Here is what happened – a turnaround that has surprised even the most positive pundits.

Average Detached Home Oshawa:
December 2019 – $600,709
January 2020 – $609,773
February 2020 – $625,618
March 2020 – $618,106
April 2020 – $567,134
May 2020 – $591,514
June 2020 – $629,826

This is an increase of about 5 per cent in six months! Even if my crystal ball was polished, I could not have seen this coming.

When I discuss market trends with my clients, I find the best way to allow them to capture what is trending is to keep things simple. In Oshawa, up to $650,000, there is less than one month of inventory available. What I mean by this is if nothing else was placed on the market for sale in Oshawa at below $650,000, it would take less than a month to sell all the available homes. In fact, it would take just over two weeks to sell everything for sale. In Oshawa over the past week, of all homes sold, 69% per cent sold for full asking price or for more than asking. This is what is called an “overheated” seller’s market.

This is the reality across most of Durham Region. In 2017, it took a tax law to upend the market. In 2020, a pandmeic cannot even slow things down.

One thing that will cause the market to fall back into more of a balanced one is when the number of available homes increases. This will allow the buyers more selection and more opportunity to negotiate. At the end of June 2020, we had 200 detached homes for sale. By the of end 2019, there were 461 homes available. This is one of the reasons for the multiple bids on homes causing the prices to sell over asking.

If you are planning on making a move, a seller’s market is a good opportunity to capture the best price and terms. If you are looking to buy, be certain the sales representative you are working with has a proven track record and negotiating skills that have been honed in volatile markets like the one today. A good quote to remember is, “When a person with experience meets a person with money, many times the person with the experience ends up with the money and the person with money ends up with the experience.” Experience in today’s market is critical.

If you need help understanding how the numbers may affect your area, or if you see a real estate emergency on the horizon, I can be reached at lindsay@buyselllove.ca.

Lindsay Smith Broker
Keller Williams Energy Brokerage

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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