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Metro Vancouver real estate: Foreign buyer ban coming

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A federal ban on foreigners buying residential real estate is set to go into effect in January.

But local real estate agents and pundits say they’re still in the dark about exactly how the ban will work and what it will mean to the real estate market on the North Shore.

Since last spring, when Ottawa first announced its intention to ban foreign buyers, “it’s been under the radar,” said Jason Soprovich, a West Vancouver real estate agent who specializes in luxury homes.

“We’ve been told that it’s coming into effect, and that it’s going to affect personal purchases of international buyers across the entire country, and that there will be a moratorium for two years, and that it will affect corporations being able to purchase as well.”

What’s less clear is what the impact will be, he said.

Impact of foreign buying ban unclear

The federal government introduced the new rules among efforts to dampen housing prices.

But Andy Yan, director of SFU’s city program, said that move has come about a decade too late. Between 2011 and 2016, foreigner buyers played an outsize role in some real estate markets, notably including West Vancouver, which became popular with affluent purchasers from China.

At that time, loose lending rules governing foreigners meant it was often easier to get a loan as a foreign student with assets than it was as a Canadian seeking a mortgage, said Yan.

The result was many foreigners were happy to use local real estate as an investment, he said.

Resulting rising prices are “what happens when residential property becomes a global commodity,” said Yan.

Going back to 2016, foreign buyers made up 24 per cent of West Vancouver real estate purchasers in the weeks leading up to the introduction of the provincial foreign buyers tax.

But once that tax was put in place in 2016, foreigners have made up a much smaller percentage of purchasers, said Soprovich.

During pandemic number of foreign buyers fell

As COVID-19 closed borders in 2020 and 2021, foreigners largely disappeared from real estate sales, he said. The real estate boom of last year was fuelled entirely by domestic buyers, said Soprovich.

Yan said foreigners haven’t been dissuaded entirely from buying local real estate. In fact, he said he wouldn’t be surprised to see a spike before the ban officially goes into place.

He added the two-year moratorium is a temporary measure and may be intended more for political appearances than to accomplish policy goals.

About nine per cent of West Van homes foreign owned

According to figures from the Ministry of Finance, about nine per cent of homes in West Vancouver have some kind of foreign ownership. In the District of North Vancouver, that percentage was lower – at about three per cent. In the City of North Vancouver, foreigners account for about five per cent of residential property owners.

Foreigners also pay about 60 per cent of the speculation and vacancy tax.

In West Vancouver, the amount paid – $6.58 million – is the third highest in the province.

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

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