Metro Vancouver’s presale condo market recovers in 2020, as long-term investors return - Vancouver Sun | Canada News Media
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Metro Vancouver’s presale condo market recovers in 2020, as long-term investors return – Vancouver Sun

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Investors will return to the presale condo market, “but it’s a much more longer-view investor. It’s not the speculator that we were seeing in 2016 and 2017.”

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Sales and prices for detached homes, condos and apartments have defied predictions that they would drop due to the pandemic. Fuelled by low interest rates, it’s been called the COVID-19 real estate boom.

What doesn’t show up in the monthly real estate board numbers are sales in the new or presale condo market where buyers purchase contracts for condos from developers who then build them. The market for these sales had just been showing signs of recovering when the pandemic shutdown happened in March 2020.

On Wednesday, Michael Ferreira of Urban Analytics, which tracks presale statistics and trends, will address a virtual luncheon for over 500 members of the Urban Development Institute, which represents the development industry.

Ferreira said that even though new, multi-family or presale condo sales in 2020 were the third-lowest since 2011, “it’s pretty remarkable that we finished with as many sales as we did,” considering the market was “basically paralyzed in the second quarter.”

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In particular, he points to an encouraging rally in the last quarter of 2020 when there were 3,800 presale condo sales. To compare, in the last quarter of 2018, there were 4,100 presale condo sales before the number dropped to 2,400 in the last quarter of 2019.

“We’re just 300 less (sales) than what we saw in 2018,” when sales and prices for presale condos were still rising, said Ferreira. “This time around (in 2020), I think it was really just a function of a window or opportunity where interest rates were low.

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“Prices had flattened after the (provincial) government-induced (tax) policies in 2018, that really took hold in 2019,” said Ferreira. “There was a bunch of pent-up demand from that that got released. And the results of that happened especially in the second half of (2020).”

Investors had been on the sidelines, he said. They “took their time to gauge what was going to happen as far as what they kept hearing. You know the predictions of prices dropping, the infamous (call by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.) that there would be a nine-to-18 per cent drop in real estate values.”

Ahead, he thinks, “we are going to see the investor (buyer) come back into the market, but it’s a much more longer-view investor. It’s not the speculator that we were seeing in 2016 and 2017,” when there were double-digit percentage price gains each year.

There are a lot of new condos “lining up to be released (for sale) into the market” for the rest of 2021. Because of this, prices won’t be rising, especially for highrise projects where there will be a higher number of units available.

But once travel restrictions are lifted and immigration resumes, that will change, said Ferreira. There will be renewed demand from buyers who have been “planning and wanting to move here and immigrate here. They may have started the process and gotten interrupted” by the pandemic.

jlee-young@postmedia.com

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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